Como 3:4 Inter: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Como Home 3.12 xG · 24 shots

Inter Away 0.88 xG · 7 shots

34 The result went against the chances

Goals

36' Álex Valle Como · 0.27 xG chance 1–0
45' Nico Paz Como · 0.08 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
45' Marcus Thuram Inter · 0.17 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
49' Marcus Thuram Inter · 0.16 xG chance 2–2
58' Denzel Dumfries Inter · 0.24 xG chance 2–3
72' Denzel Dumfries Inter · 0.15 xG chance 2–4
89' Lucas Da Cunha (pen.) Como · 0.82 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

Como Inter

Shots: 24; 7
On target: 8; 5
Inside the box: 16; 5
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.14; 0.52
Set-piece xG: 1.20; 0.39
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.29 for Como and 0.93 for Inter.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 4.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Como
Inter
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Como

1.51 xG created 0.61 xGA

W 1.41 created, 0.70 conceded against Juventus
W 2.77 created, 0.24 conceded against Lecce
W 0.55 created, 0.47 conceded against Cagliari
W 2.22 created, 0.86 conceded against Roma
W 1.49 created, 0.41 conceded against Pisa
D 0.60 created, 0.96 conceded against Udinese

Inter

1.50 xG created 0.91 xGA

W 2.15 created, 0.12 conceded against Lecce
W 1.54 created, 0.21 conceded against Genoa
L 1.24 created, 0.77 conceded against Milan
D 1.58 created, 1.12 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.32 created, 2.28 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.17 created, 0.96 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Como: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Inter 4:0 Como 06/12/2025 xG 1.42 – 1.02

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.