Fiorentina 1:1 Inter: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 22/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 2.28 xG · 16 shots

Inter Away 1.32 xG · 12 shots

11 Fiorentina had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

1' Francesco Pio Esposito Inter · 0.53 xG chance 0–1
77' Cher Ndour Fiorentina · 0.93 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Inter

Shots: 16; 12
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 9; 11
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.11
Open play xG: 2.33; 0.58
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.76
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.32 for Fiorentina and 1.32 for Inter.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.67 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Inter
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.45 xG created 0.89 xGA

D 1.58 created, 0.88 conceded against Torino
W 1.53 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 1.84 created, 0.28 conceded against Pisa
L 0.66 created, 1.65 conceded against Udinese
D 1.30 created, 0.25 conceded against Parma
W 1.79 created, 1.44 conceded against Cremonese

Inter

1.83 xG created 0.65 xGA

W 2.59 created, 0.78 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.88 created, 0.92 conceded against Juventus
W 2.15 created, 0.12 conceded against Lecce
W 1.54 created, 0.21 conceded against Genoa
L 1.24 created, 0.77 conceded against Milan
D 1.58 created, 1.12 conceded against Atalanta

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Fiorentina: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Inter 3:0 Fiorentina 29/10/2025 xG 2.63 – 0.72

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.