Udinese 3:0 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Monday, 02/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Udinese Home 1.65 xG · 10 shots

Fiorentina Away 0.66 xG · 10 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

10' Christian Kabasele Udinese · 0.28 xG chance 1–0
64' Keinan Davis (pen.) Udinese · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
90' Adam Buksa Udinese · 0.15 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Udinese Fiorentina

Shots: 10; 10
On target: 7; 0
Inside the box: 8; 5
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.57; 0.31
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.36
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.86 for Udinese and 0.66 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.36 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Udinese
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Udinese

0.76 xG created 1.24 xGA

L 0.22 created, 1.59 conceded against Inter
W 1.67 created, 0.88 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.69 created, 0.73 conceded against Roma
L 0.88 created, 1.59 conceded against Lecce
L 0.54 created, 1.37 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.56 created, 1.27 conceded against Bologna

Fiorentina

1.70 xG created 1.03 xGA

W 1.73 created, 1.31 conceded against Bologna
L 2.15 created, 1.08 conceded against Cagliari
L 1.36 created, 1.80 conceded against Napoli
D 1.58 created, 0.88 conceded against Torino
W 1.53 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 1.84 created, 0.28 conceded against Pisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Udinese: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Fiorentina 5:1 Udinese 21/12/2025 xG 3.20 – 0.64

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.