Napoli 2:1 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Napoli Home 1.80 xG · 19 shots

Fiorentina Away 1.36 xG · 15 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

11' Antonio Vergara Napoli · 0.08 xG chance 1–0
49' Miguel Gutiérrez Napoli · 0.03 xG chance 2–0
57' Manor Solomon Fiorentina · 0.22 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Napoli Fiorentina

Shots: 19; 15
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 13; 12
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.74; 0.81
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.60
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.80 for Napoli and 1.39 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 3.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Napoli
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Napoli

1.08 xG created 0.97 xGA

W 1.86 created, 0.36 conceded against Lazio
D 1.22 created, 1.82 conceded against Hellas Verona
D 0.74 created, 1.45 conceded against Inter
D 1.37 created, 0.18 conceded against Parma
W 0.58 created, 0.91 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.73 created, 1.09 conceded against Juventus

Fiorentina

1.79 xG created 1.46 xGA

L 1.23 created, 0.95 conceded against Parma
W 2.06 created, 0.73 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.64 created, 2.74 conceded against Lazio
D 1.90 created, 1.93 conceded against Milan
W 1.73 created, 1.31 conceded against Bologna
L 2.15 created, 1.08 conceded against Cagliari

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Napoli: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Fiorentina 1:3 Napoli 13/09/2025 xG 1.65 – 3.29

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.