Inter 5:2 Roma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 05/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Inter Home 1.17 xG · 17 shots

Roma Away 0.96 xG · 9 shots

52 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

2' Lautaro Martínez Inter · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
40' Gianluca Mancini Roma · 0.47 xG chance 1–1
45' Hakan Çalhanoğlu Inter · 0.02 xG chance 2–1
52' Lautaro Martínez Inter · 0.18 xG chance 3–1
55' Marcus Thuram Inter · 0.05 xG chance 4–1
63' Nicolò Barella Inter · 0.10 xG chance 5–1
70' Lorenzo Pellegrini Roma · 0.10 xG chance 5–2

The shots behind it

Inter Roma

Shots: 17; 9
On target: 9; 3
Inside the box: 14; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.01; 0.39
Set-piece xG: 0.15; 0.58
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.17 for Inter and 0.96 for Roma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.13 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Inter
Roma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Inter

1.62 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 1.88 created, 0.92 conceded against Juventus
W 2.15 created, 0.12 conceded against Lecce
W 1.54 created, 0.21 conceded against Genoa
L 1.24 created, 0.77 conceded against Milan
D 1.58 created, 1.12 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.32 created, 2.28 conceded against Fiorentina

Roma

1.23 xG created 1.35 xGA

D 1.70 created, 0.58 conceded against Napoli
W 2.00 created, 0.07 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.65 created, 1.40 conceded against Juventus
L 0.35 created, 2.75 conceded against Genoa
L 0.86 created, 2.22 conceded against Como
W 0.84 created, 1.08 conceded against Lecce

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Inter: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Roma 0:1 Inter 18/10/2025 xG 1.35 – 0.63

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.