Genoa 2:1 Roma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Genoa Home 2.75 xG · 11 shots

Roma Away 0.35 xG · 8 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

52' Junior Messias (pen.) Genoa · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
55' Evan Ndicka Roma · 0.08 xG chance 1–1
80' Vitinha Genoa · 0.89 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Genoa Roma

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 5; 1
Inside the box: 8; 7
xG per shot: 0.25; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.82; 0.16
Set-piece xG: 1.08; 0.18
Penalties: 1; 0

Genoa's shots add up to 2.72 xG and Roma's to 0.34; the published figures are 2.75 and 0.35.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 3.06 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Genoa
Roma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Genoa

1.12 xG created 1.55 xGA

W 0.54 created, 0.50 conceded against Bologna
L 1.58 created, 2.00 conceded against Lazio
L 1.32 created, 2.30 conceded against Napoli
D 1.25 created, 2.36 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.80 created, 0.57 conceded against Torino
L 0.21 created, 1.54 conceded against Inter

Roma

1.69 xG created 0.59 xGA

D 2.75 created, 0.44 conceded against Milan
L 0.73 created, 0.69 conceded against Udinese
W 1.33 created, 0.35 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.70 created, 0.58 conceded against Napoli
W 2.00 created, 0.07 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.65 created, 1.40 conceded against Juventus

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Genoa: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Roma 3:1 Genoa 29/12/2025 xG 1.37 – 0.71

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.