Roma 3:3 Juventus: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Roma Home 1.65 xG · 11 shots

Juventus Away 1.40 xG · 13 shots

33 Roma had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

39' Wesley Roma · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
47' Francisco Conceição Juventus · 0.02 xG chance 1–1
54' Evan Ndicka Roma · 0.16 xG chance 2–1
65' Donyell Malen Roma · 0.18 xG chance 3–1
78' Jérémie Boga Juventus · 0.12 xG chance 3–2
90' Federico Gatti Juventus · 0.69 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

Roma Juventus

Shots: 11; 13
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 11; 5
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.39; 0.58
Set-piece xG: 0.24; 0.83
Penalties: —; —

Roma's shots add up to 1.63 xG and Juventus's to 1.41; the published figures are 1.65 and 1.40.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.04 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Roma
Juventus
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Roma

1.72 xG created 0.42 xGA

W 1.84 created, 0.41 conceded against Torino
D 2.75 created, 0.44 conceded against Milan
L 0.73 created, 0.69 conceded against Udinese
W 1.33 created, 0.35 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.70 created, 0.58 conceded against Napoli
W 2.00 created, 0.07 conceded against Cremonese

Juventus

1.80 xG created 0.96 xGA

L 1.35 created, 0.11 conceded against Cagliari
W 1.09 created, 0.73 conceded against Napoli
W 4.03 created, 0.55 conceded against Parma
D 2.73 created, 1.06 conceded against Lazio
L 0.92 created, 1.88 conceded against Inter
L 0.70 created, 1.41 conceded against Como

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Roma: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Juventus 2:1 Roma 20/12/2025 xG 2.55 – 1.44

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.