Frosinone's attacking and defensive expected goals in Serie A 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Frosinone xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Inter | 2.90 |
| #2 | Roma | 2.56 |
| #3 | Como | 1.89 |
| #4 | Monza | 1.79 |
| #5 | Sassuolo | 1.73 |
| #6 | Fiorentina | 1.72 |
| #7 | Milan | 1.58 |
| #8 | Juventus | 1.55 |
| #9 | Lazio | 1.55 |
| #10 | Frosinone | 1.51 |
| #11 | Venezia | 1.49 |
| #12 | Napoli | 1.44 |
| #13 | Udinese | 1.40 |
| #14 | Bologna | 1.18 |
| #15 | Cagliari | 1.09 |
| #16 | Lecce | 1.06 |
| #17 | Torino | 1.03 |
| #18 | Genoa | 0.89 |
| #19 | Atalanta | 0.81 |
| #20 | Parma | 0.68 |
- League avg
- 1.49
- Total
- 7.53 5 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Juventus | 0.48 |
| #2 | Bologna | 0.95 |
| #3 | Monza | 1.06 |
| #4 | Roma | 1.11 |
| #5 | Milan | 1.18 |
| #6 | Lazio | 1.24 |
| =7 | Genoa | 1.33 |
| =7 | Sassuolo | 1.33 |
| #9 | Fiorentina | 1.33 |
| #10 | Inter | 1.34 |
| #11 | Napoli | 1.40 |
| #12 | Como | 1.53 |
| #13 | Parma | 1.58 |
| #14 | Torino | 1.69 |
| #15 | Cagliari | 1.76 |
| #16 | Udinese | 1.84 |
| #17 | Atalanta | 1.87 |
| #18 | Frosinone | 2.10 |
| #19 | Venezia | 2.35 |
| #20 | Lecce | 2.38 |
- League avg
- 1.49
- Total
- 10.48 5 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Inter | +1.55 |
| #2 | Roma | +1.45 |
| #3 | Juventus | +1.07 |
| #4 | Monza | +0.73 |
| #5 | Sassuolo | +0.41 |
| #6 | Milan | +0.40 |
| #7 | Fiorentina | +0.39 |
| #8 | Como | +0.36 |
| #9 | Lazio | +0.30 |
| #10 | Bologna | +0.24 |
| #11 | Napoli | +0.03 |
| =12 | Genoa | -0.44 |
| =12 | Udinese | -0.44 |
| #14 | Frosinone | -0.59 |
| #15 | Torino | -0.66 |
| #16 | Cagliari | -0.66 |
| #17 | Venezia | -0.87 |
| #18 | Parma | -0.90 |
| #19 | Atalanta | -1.06 |
| #20 | Lecce | -1.32 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -2.95 5 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Roma | 2.23 |
| #2 | Juventus | 2.23 |
| #3 | Inter | 2.21 |
| #4 | Monza | 1.89 |
| #5 | Fiorentina | 1.69 |
| #6 | Milan | 1.63 |
| #7 | Sassuolo | 1.63 |
| #8 | Lazio | 1.62 |
| #9 | Como | 1.60 |
| #10 | Bologna | 1.55 |
| #11 | Napoli | 1.50 |
| #12 | Udinese | 1.13 |
| #13 | Cagliari | 1.11 |
| #14 | Genoa | 1.00 |
| #15 | Frosinone | 0.98 |
| #16 | Venezia | 0.93 |
| #17 | Torino | 0.88 |
| #18 | Parma | 0.70 |
| #19 | Atalanta | 0.67 |
| #20 | Lecce | 0.60 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 4.92 vs 10 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Frosinone's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Serie A. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.59 per match, built on high shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 9 goals are 1.47 above 7.53 xG, while 10 points are 5.08 above 4.92 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Frosinone are 1.47 goals above their xG after 5 matches. The gap was widest at +2.58, against Venezia on Sun 06/09.
- Goals
- 9
- xG
- 7.53
- Gap
- +1.47
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 23/08 | Juventus | 0 | 0.41 | -0.41 | -0.41 |
| Sat 29/08 | Fiorentina | 3 | 1.11 | +1.89 | +1.48 |
| Sun 06/09 | Venezia | 3 | 1.90 | +1.10 | +2.58 |
| Sat 12/09 | Genoa | 1 | 1.93 | -0.93 | +1.65 |
| Sun 20/09 | Como | 2 | 2.18 | -0.18 | +1.47 |
Frosinone xG trend
Current form -0.44 npxGD per match
All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.
Out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches. The worst was against Juventus on Sun 23/08 (-1.55).
- npxG · last 5
- 1.43
- npxGA · last 5
- 1.87
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 23/08 | Juventus | 0.45 | 2.00 | -1.55 | -1.55 |
| Sat 29/08 | Fiorentina | 1.06 | 1.88 | -0.82 | -1.19 |
| Sun 06/09 | Venezia | 1.73 | 2.18 | -0.45 | -0.94 |
| Sat 12/09 | Genoa | 1.95 | 1.07 | +0.88 | -0.49 |
| Sun 20/09 | Como | 1.97 | 2.23 | -0.26 | -0.44 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.43 npxG and 1.87 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 5 hardest of 20 in Serie A
- +0.10 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 5 hardest of 20
- Como Home +0.48
- Genoa Away −0.25
- Venezia Home −0.32
- Fiorentina Away +0.03
- Juventus Home +0.58
Frosinone shots and chance quality
High volume, low quality. Frosinone take 16.8 shots a match (league 14.6) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =6 in Serie A for volume and #15 for quality. 67% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 31% of their npxG (league 24%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Como | 23.4 |
| #2 | Inter | 23.2 |
| #3 | Roma | 20.6 |
| #4 | Juventus | 17.6 |
| #5 | Sassuolo | 17.2 |
| =6 | Fiorentina | 16.8 |
| =6 | Frosinone | 16.8 |
| #8 | Monza | 14.4 |
| #9 | Udinese | 14.2 |
| #10 | Venezia | 14.0 |
| #11 | Napoli | 13.8 |
| #12 | Bologna | 13.4 |
| =13 | Lazio | 12.8 |
| =13 | Milan | 12.8 |
| =15 | Atalanta | 11.8 |
| =15 | Genoa | 11.8 |
| #17 | Cagliari | 10.8 |
| #18 | Torino | 9.4 |
| #19 | Lecce | 8.4 |
| #20 | Parma | 8.2 |
- League avg
- 14.6
- Total
- 84 shots from 5 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Roma | 0.13 |
| #2 | Inter | 0.12 |
| #3 | Monza | 0.11 |
| #4 | Napoli | 0.11 |
| #5 | Lecce | 0.11 |
| #6 | Milan | 0.11 |
| #7 | Lazio | 0.11 |
| #8 | Venezia | 0.10 |
| #9 | Fiorentina | 0.10 |
| #10 | Torino | 0.09 |
| #11 | Sassuolo | 0.09 |
| #12 | Bologna | 0.09 |
| #13 | Juventus | 0.09 |
| #14 | Udinese | 0.09 |
| #15 | Frosinone | 0.09 |
| #16 | Como | 0.08 |
| #17 | Parma | 0.08 |
| #18 | Cagliari | 0.08 |
| #19 | Genoa | 0.06 |
| #20 | Atalanta | 0.06 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 7.16 npxG from 84 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Juventus | 7.8 |
| #2 | Milan | 9.0 |
| #3 | Roma | 9.2 |
| #4 | Inter | 11.4 |
| =5 | Bologna | 11.8 |
| =5 | Fiorentina | 11.8 |
| =5 | Monza | 11.8 |
| #8 | Lazio | 13.0 |
| #9 | Venezia | 14.4 |
| #10 | Como | 15.0 |
| #11 | Torino | 15.4 |
| =12 | Genoa | 15.8 |
| =12 | Sassuolo | 15.8 |
| =14 | Lecce | 16.6 |
| =14 | Napoli | 16.6 |
| #16 | Udinese | 17.2 |
| #17 | Parma | 18.4 |
| #18 | Atalanta | 19.2 |
| #19 | Cagliari | 20.4 |
| #20 | Frosinone | 20.8 |
- League avg
- 14.6
- Total
- 104 shots allowed from 5 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Juventus | 0.06 |
| #2 | Sassuolo | 0.07 |
| #3 | Napoli | 0.07 |
| #4 | Genoa | 0.08 |
| #5 | Cagliari | 0.08 |
| #6 | Bologna | 0.08 |
| #7 | Lazio | 0.08 |
| #8 | Frosinone | 0.09 |
| #9 | Torino | 0.09 |
| #10 | Como | 0.09 |
| #11 | Monza | 0.09 |
| #12 | Parma | 0.09 |
| #13 | Atalanta | 0.09 |
| #14 | Udinese | 0.11 |
| #15 | Roma | 0.11 |
| #16 | Inter | 0.11 |
| #17 | Fiorentina | 0.11 |
| #18 | Milan | 0.13 |
| #19 | Lecce | 0.14 |
| #20 | Venezia | 0.15 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 9.36 npxGA from 104 shots
Shot profile
67% inside the box
League avg 66%
From 56 of 84 shots over 5 matches
Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.
61% allowed inside the box
League avg 66%
From 63 of 104 shots allowed over 5 matches
Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.
69% open play · 31% set pieces
League avg 24% set pieces
From 2.3 of 7.2 npxG over 5 matches
Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.
78% open play · 22% set pieces
League avg 24% set pieces
From 2.1 of 9.4 npxG allowed over 5 matches
Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.
Frosinone home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away only 2 matches with xG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| xG / match | 1.50 | 1.52 |
| xGA / match | 2.16 | 2.01 |
| xGD / match | -0.66 | -0.48 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.95 | 1.03 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Frosinone match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 5
- xG / match
- 1.51
- xGA / match
- 2.10
- xGD / match
- -0.59
- Points
- 10 of 15
- Sun 20/09 Como H Best underlying xG 2.18 xGA 2.12 xGD +0.06 xPts 1.42
- Sat 12/09 Genoa A xG 1.93 xGA 1.88 P xGD +0.05 xPts 1.41
- Sun 06/09 Venezia H xG 1.90 xGA 2.17 xGD -0.27 xPts 1.20
- Sat 29/08 Fiorentina A Against the chances xG 1.11 xGA 2.13 xGD -1.02 xPts 0.65
- Sun 23/08 Juventus H Weakest underlying xG 0.41 xGA 2.18 xGD -1.77 xPts 0.23
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Frosinone in Serie A
Attack
- xG / match #10 of 20
- Shots / match =6 of 20
- Chance quality #15 of 20
- Home xG #6 of 20
- Away xG #13 of 20
Defence
- xGA / match #18 of 20
- Shots allowed #20 of 20
- Chance quality allowed #8 of 20
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.