xgEdge

Tuesday, 06/01/2026 at 18:00

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Match report · Serie A

Lecce 0:2 Roma

Lecce Home 0.55 xG · 6 shots
Roma Away 1.33 xG · 10 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 14' Evan Ferguson Roma · 0.07 xG chance 0–1
  2. 71' Artem Dovbyk Roma · 0.46 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Lecce Roma
Shots
6
10
On target
1
3
Inside the box
2
6
xG per shot
0.09
0.14
Open play xG
0.55
0.40
Set-piece xG
0.02
0.97
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.55 for Lecce and 1.33 for Roma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Roma · Artem Dovbyk · 71' · Goal · 5 m · 0.46 xG Lecce · Santiago Pierotti · 59' · No goal · 10 m · 0.42 xG Roma · Paulo Dybala · 61' · No goal · 8 m · 0.32 xG Roma · Evan Ferguson · 42' · No goal · 7 m · 0.22 xG Roma · Paulo Dybala · 6' · No goal · 22 m · 0.15 xG Roma · Evan Ferguson · 14' · Goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Roma · Bryan Cristante · 16' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Lecce · Lameck Banda · 25' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Roma · Bryan Cristante · 69' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Roma · Stephan El Shaarawy · 37' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Lecce · Nikola Štulić · 66' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Lecce · N'Dri Konan · 67' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Lecce · Nikola Štulić · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Lecce · Ylber Ramadani · 9' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Roma · Wesley · 61' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Roma · Niccolò Pisilli · 71' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

16 shots · 1.94 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Lecce
  • Roma
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Lecce

0.96 xG created 1.72 xGA

  • L 0.62 created, 1.89 conceded against Lazio
  • W 1.00 created, 1.74 conceded against Torino
  • L 0.92 created, 2.08 conceded against Cremonese
  • W 2.20 created, 0.22 conceded against Pisa
  • L 0.76 created, 1.63 conceded against Como
  • D 0.26 created, 2.77 conceded against Juventus
Roma

0.94 xG created 1.45 xGA

  • L 0.52 created, 1.17 conceded against Napoli
  • L 0.36 created, 1.80 conceded against Cagliari
  • W 1.16 created, 0.60 conceded against Como
  • L 1.44 created, 2.55 conceded against Juventus
  • W 1.37 created, 0.71 conceded against Genoa
  • L 0.78 created, 1.88 conceded against Atalanta

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.