Torino 1:2 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 15/02/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Torino Home 0.49 xG · 7 shots

Bologna Away 1.35 xG · 15 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

49' Nikola Vlašić (o.g.) Bologna · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
62' Nikola Vlašić Torino · 0.14 xG chance 1–1
70' Santiago Castro Bologna · 0.11 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Torino Bologna

Shots: 7; 15
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 5; 10
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.21; 1.11
Set-piece xG: 0.22; 0.33
Penalties: —; —

Torino's shots add up to 0.43 xG and Bologna's to 1.44; the published figures are 0.49 and 1.35.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.87 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Torino
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Torino

0.91 xG created 1.94 xGA

L 1.09 created, 2.15 conceded against Udinese
L 0.75 created, 2.61 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.41 created, 1.84 conceded against Roma
L 0.48 created, 2.89 conceded against Como
W 1.87 created, 0.58 conceded against Lecce
D 0.88 created, 1.58 conceded against Fiorentina

Bologna

0.90 xG created 1.19 xGA

D 1.15 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 0.79 created, 1.20 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 1.31 created, 1.73 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.50 created, 0.54 conceded against Genoa
L 0.45 created, 2.62 conceded against Milan
L 1.22 created, 0.18 conceded against Parma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Torino: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Bologna 0:0 Torino 29/10/2025 xG 0.43 – 0.54

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.