Super League Greece expected points table 2026/2027
Every Super League Greece club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
Olympiacos FC lead on expected points with 11.25 over 5 matches with xG. That is 1.44 clear of AEK Athens. Iraklis 1908 sit 6 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 8 against 14 on expected points. Asteras Aktor sit 5 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 12 against 7 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos FC OLY | 5 | 10 | 11.25 | −1.25 | 5 | 4 places below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | AEK Athens AEK | 5 | 11 | 9.81 | +1.19 | 3 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 3 | PAOK PAO | 5 | 12 | 9.41 | +2.59 | 2 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 4 | Panathinaikos PAN | 5 | 15 | 8.66 | +3.34 | 1 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 5 | AE Kifisia AEK | 5 | 5 | 7.68 | −2.68 | 9 | 4 places below its expected-points rank |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki ARI | 5 | 7 | 6.95 | +0.05 | 7 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | Asteras Aktor AST | 5 | 2 | 6.12 | −4.12 | 12 | 5 places below its expected-points rank |
| 8 | OFI Crete OFI | 5 | 10 | 6.11 | +3.89 | 4 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 9 | PS Kalamata PSK | 5 | 4 | 6.00 | −2.00 | 10 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 10 | Atromitos Athens ATR | 5 | 2 | 5.12 | −3.12 | 11 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 11 | Panetolikos PAN | 5 | 9 | 5.09 | +3.91 | 6 | 5 places above its expected-points rank |
| 12 | NPS Volos NPS | 5 | 2 | 4.70 | −2.70 | 13 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 13 | APO Levadiakos APO | 5 | 1 | 3.56 | −2.56 | 14 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 14 | Iraklis 1908 IRA | 5 | 6 | 3.26 | +2.74 | 8 | 6 places above its expected-points rank |
xG is available for 4 of 5 matches for Panathinaikos. xG is available for 4 of 5 matches for AE Kifisia. For those clubs every expected figure counts only the matches with xG, and the goals it is compared with come from those same matches.
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.