Superliga (Denmark) expected points table 2026/2027
Every Superliga (Denmark) club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
FC Nordsjælland lead on expected points with 17.07 over 9 matches with xG. That is 1.72 clear of FC København. Brøndby IF sit 4 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 5 against 9 on expected points. Lyngby sit 5 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 10 against 5 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nordsjælland FCN | 9 | 17 | 17.07 | −0.07 | 4 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | FC København FCK | 9 | 24 | 15.35 | +8.65 | 1 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 3 | Viborg FF VIB | 9 | 17 | 15.30 | +1.70 | 3 | Same place as on expected points |
| 4 | FC Midtjylland FCM | 9 | 19 | 14.51 | +4.49 | 2 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 5 | Lyngby LYN | 9 | 7 | 14.48 | −7.48 | 10 | 5 places below its expected-points rank |
| 6 | AGF AGF | 9 | 5 | 13.37 | −8.37 | 11 | 5 places below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | Odense Boldklub ODE | 9 | 9 | 11.66 | −2.66 | 9 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 8 | Silkeborg IF SIL | 9 | 10 | 10.94 | −0.94 | 7 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 9 | Brøndby IF BRØ | 9 | 13 | 10.61 | +2.39 | 5 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 10 | AC Horsens ACH | 9 | 11 | 9.42 | +1.58 | 6 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 11 | Randers FC RAN | 9 | 10 | 8.88 | +1.12 | 8 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 12 | Sønderjyske Fodbold SØN | 9 | 5 | 7.35 | −2.35 | 12 | Same place as on expected points |
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.