xgEdge

FC St. Gallen 1879's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses

6 pts 6–10 goals −4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.60 – 7.02
1.52 – 1.40 per match
xGD
+0.58
+0.12 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 2 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

6 pts 7.3 xPts

−1.3 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

FC St. Gallen 1879's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 5 matches, for +0.58 xG difference overall on 7.60–7.02. Their points total of 6 sits 1.3 below the model's 7.3 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results FC St. Gallen 1879 are 1.31 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -2.36, against FC Lugano on Wed 16/09.

Points
6
xPts
7.31
Gap
-1.31
Wed 02/09 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Wed 16/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.09 +0.14 -1.23 -2.36 -1.31 -1.09 +1.23 -1.37 -1.13 +1.05 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
FC St. Gallen 1879: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Wed 02/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich 0 1.09 -1.09 -1.09
Sun 06/09 Servette FC 3 1.77 +1.23 +0.14
Sat 12/09 FC Sion 0 1.37 -1.37 -1.23
Wed 16/09 FC Lugano 0 1.13 -1.13 -2.36
Sun 20/09 Basel 3 1.95 +1.05 -1.31

Scores and xG

FC St. Gallen 1879 first

  • Away Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.00

    xGA 1.22

    xGD +0.78

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Basel, Sun 20/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.95
    Points minus xPts
    +1.05

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.14

    xGA 1.41

    xGD -0.27

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lugano, Wed 16/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.12
    Points minus xPts
    -1.12

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.29

    xGA 1.26

    xGD +0.03

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Sion, Sat 12/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.38
    Points minus xPts
    -1.38

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.37

    xGA 0.90

    xGD +0.47

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Servette FC, Sun 06/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.76
    Points minus xPts
    +1.24

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.80

    xGA 2.23

    xGD -0.43

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grasshopper Club Zürich, Wed 02/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.09
    Points minus xPts
    -1.09

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Servette FC 2:0

· Away xG / xGA 1.37 – 0.90

Goal difference
+2
xGD
+0.47
GD minus xGD
+1.53

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC Sion 0:3

· Home xG / xGA 1.29 – 1.26

Goal difference
-3
xGD
+0.03
GD minus xGD
-3.03

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice · View in Season →

How the model works →