Saturday, 07/11/2026 at 20:30
32d 22h to kick-offGrasshopper Club Zürich – FC Lausanne-Sport
Model updated 5 October, 21:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- Grasshopper Club Zürich
- 43%
- Draw
- 29%
- FC Lausanne-Sport
- 27%
| Grasshopper Club Zürich | Draw | FC Lausanne-Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.31 | 3.41 | 3.65 |
- Total goals
- 2.80
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Both teams to score
- 62%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans Grasshopper Club Zürich
43% Grasshopper Club Zürich to win
- Attack
- 8th vs 6th
- Grasshopper Club Zürich attack v FC Lausanne-Sport defence
- Defence
- 12th vs 12th
- Grasshopper Club Zürich defence v FC Lausanne-Sport attack
- Recent xG form
- -0.01 vs -0.79
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.56 – 1.23
- Grasshopper Club Zürich v FC Lausanne-Sport
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | Grasshopper Club Zürich | FC Lausanne-Sport |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 2.01 · 3rd | 0.85 · 12th |
| xGA / match | 2.18 · 11th | (better) 1.37 · 2nd |
| xGD / match | (better) -0.18 · 8th | -0.52 · 10th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.29 · 7th | 0.94 · 12th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) -0.01 | -0.79 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 34% of the model's distribution.
- Grasshopper Club Zürich clean sheet
- 26%
- Grasshopper Club Zürich 2+ goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Both teams to score: no
- 38%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 14.6%
- 2:1
- 10.8%
- 1:2
- 8.3%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
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Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Grasshopper Club Zürich sample
- 20 matches
- FC Lausanne-Sport sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · Grasshopper Club Zürich
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · FC Lausanne-Sport
- 4 matches
- Computed
- Monday, 05/10/2026 at 21:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.