xgEdge

Expected goals

Bukovyna Chernivtsi expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ukrainian Premier League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Bukovyna Chernivtsi's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Bukovyna Chernivtsi xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.86 xG per match
#6/16
Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Metalist 1925 2.42
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.19
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 2.10
#4 Karpaty Lviv 1.90
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 1.88
#6 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.86
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 1.81
#8 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.74
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.36
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.34
#11 Zoria Luhansk 1.15
#12 Veres Rivne 0.94
#13 Kudrivka 0.86
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.71
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.60
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.54
League avg
1.51
Total
13.05 7 matches
Defence
2.01 xGA per match
#12/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.68
#2 Metalist 1925 0.79
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.92
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.94
#5 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.09
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.17
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 1.26
#8 Chornomorets Odesa 1.30
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.37
#10 Karpaty Lviv 1.59
#11 Kolos Kovalivka 1.69
#12 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2.01
#13 Veres Rivne 2.06
#14 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2.32
#15 Kudrivka 2.50
#16 Obolon Kyiv 2.79
League avg
1.51
Total
14.04 7 matches
xG difference
-0.14 xGD per match
#8/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Metalist 1925 +1.63
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr +1.51
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk +0.96
#4 Dynamo Kyiv +0.87
#5 LNZ Cherkasy +0.84
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi +0.57
#7 Karpaty Lviv +0.30
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi -0.14
#9 Zoria Luhansk -0.22
#10 Kolos Kovalivka -0.34
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv -0.38
#12 Chornomorets Odesa -0.76
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.96
#14 Veres Rivne -1.13
#15 Kudrivka -1.65
#16 Obolon Kyiv -2.19
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.99 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.38 xPts per match
#8/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.29
#2 Metalist 1925 2.23
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 2.02
#4 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.01
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.72
#6 LNZ Cherkasy 1.64
#7 Karpaty Lviv 1.58
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.38
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.20
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.15
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.01
#12 Veres Rivne 0.85
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.83
#14 Chornomorets Odesa 0.74
#15 Kudrivka 0.54
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.48
League avg
1.40
Total
9.65 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Bukovyna Chernivtsi's underlying numbers sit close to the Ukrainian Premier League average. They rank #8 for xG difference at -0.14 per match, driven by high shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 4 goals are 9.05 below 13.05 xG, while 7 points are 2.65 below 9.65 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
4 13.05 -9.05 scored 9.05 fewer than xG far outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
6 14.04 -8.04 conceded 8.04 fewer than xGA far outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
7 9.65 -2.65 2.65 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Bukovyna Chernivtsi are 9.05 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
4
xG
13.05
Gap
-9.05
Mon 03/08 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 -0.22 -3.49 -6.32 -4.74 -6.92 -8.23 -9.05 -0.22 -3.27 -2.83 +1.58 -2.18 -1.31 -0.82 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 03/08 LNZ Cherkasy 0 0.22 -0.22 -0.22
Sat 08/08 Obolon Kyiv 0 3.27 -3.27 -3.49
Sat 15/08 Karpaty Lviv 0 2.83 -2.83 -6.32
Mon 31/08 Dynamo Kyiv 3 1.42 +1.58 -4.74
Sun 06/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0 2.18 -2.18 -6.92
Sun 13/09 Zoria Luhansk 1 2.31 -1.31 -8.23
Sat 19/09 Metalist 1925 0 0.82 -0.82 -9.05

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Bukovyna Chernivtsi xG trend

Current form +0.34 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against LNZ Cherkasy on Mon 03/08 (-3.27).

npxG · last 6
2.14
npxGA · last 6
1.80
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -3.27 Mon 03/08 +3.23 Sat 08/08 +0.87 Sat 15/08 -1.46 Mon 31/08 -0.01 Sun 06/09 +1.61 Sun 13/09 -2.22 Sat 19/09 -0.18 season avg
Bukovyna Chernivtsi: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 03/08 LNZ Cherkasy 0.22 3.49 -3.27 -3.27
Sat 08/08 Obolon Kyiv 3.27 0.04 +3.23 -0.02
Sat 15/08 Karpaty Lviv 2.83 1.96 +0.87 +0.28
Mon 31/08 Dynamo Kyiv 1.42 2.88 -1.46 -0.16
Sun 06/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 2.18 2.19 -0.01 -0.13
Sun 13/09 Zoria Luhansk 2.31 0.70 +1.61 +0.16
Sat 19/09 Metalist 1925 0.82 3.04 -2.22 -0.18

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.86 npxG and 2.04 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.12 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.18 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.12 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 16

  1. Metalist 1925 Away +0.60
  2. Zoria Luhansk Home −0.13
  3. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.22
  4. Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.64
  5. Karpaty Lviv Away 0.00
  6. Obolon Kyiv Home −0.45
  7. LNZ Cherkasy Home +0.39

Last 5

+0.18 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 16

  1. Metalist 1925 Away +0.60
  2. Zoria Luhansk Home −0.13
  3. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.22
  4. Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.64
  5. Karpaty Lviv Away 0.00

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Bukovyna Chernivtsi shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Bukovyna Chernivtsi take 16.0 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #4 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #5 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.0 shots per match
#4/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 20.3
#2 Metalist 1925 17.8
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 16.3
#4 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 16.0
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 15.2
#6 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14.3
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 13.8
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 13.6
#9 Karpaty Lviv 13.1
#10 Zoria Luhansk 13.0
#11 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.4
#12 Veres Rivne 11.2
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 10.3
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 10.0
#15 Kudrivka 8.8
#16 Obolon Kyiv 8.3
League avg
13.5
Total
112 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#5/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Karpaty Lviv 0.14
#2 Metalist 1925 0.14
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 0.13
#4 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.12
#5 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#6 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.12
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 0.11
#8 Kudrivka 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#11 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#12 Veres Rivne 0.09
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.08
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.07
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.05
League avg
0.11
Total
13.05 npxG from 112 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.3 shots per match
#14/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk 7.0
#2 Metalist 1925 7.3
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 7.7
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 9.7
#5 LNZ Cherkasy 11.2
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.1
#7 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 14.6
#8 Karpaty Lviv 14.9
#9 Zoria Luhansk 15.0
#10 Veres Rivne 15.6
#11 Obolon Kyiv 16.5
#12 Kolos Kovalivka 16.6
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 16.8
#14 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 17.3
#15 Kudrivka 18.2
#16 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 18.3
League avg
13.5
Total
121 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#11/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#2 Chornomorets Odesa 0.08
#3 Karpaty Lviv 0.09
#4 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.10
#6 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 0.10
#8 Dynamo Kyiv 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.11
#11 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#12 Veres Rivne 0.12
#13 Metalist 1925 0.13
#14 Kudrivka 0.13
#15 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.13
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.13
League avg
0.11
Total
14.30 npxGA from 121 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

58% inside the box

League avg 54%

From 65 of 112 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

50% allowed inside the box

League avg 54%

From 61 of 121 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Bukovyna Chernivtsi home and away xG

Bukovyna Chernivtsi per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.81 1.94
xGA / match 1.71 2.40
xGD / match +0.09 -0.45
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.53 1.17

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Bukovyna Chernivtsi match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.86
xGA / match
2.01
xGD / match
-0.14
Points
7 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 Metalist 1925 A xG 0.82 xGA 3.04 xGD -2.22
  2. Sun 13/09 Zoria Luhansk H xG 2.31 xGA 0.70 xGD +1.61
  3. Sun 06/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi A xG 2.18 xGA 2.19 xGD -0.01
  4. Mon 31/08 Dynamo Kyiv H Against the chances xG 1.42 xGA 2.62 xGD -1.20
  5. Sat 15/08 Karpaty Lviv A xG 2.83 xGA 1.96 xGD +0.87
  6. Sat 08/08 Obolon Kyiv H Best underlying xG 3.27 xGA 0.04 xGD +3.23
  7. Mon 03/08 LNZ Cherkasy H Weakest underlying xG 0.22 xGA 3.49 xGD -3.27

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.49. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Bukovyna Chernivtsi in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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