Saturday, 08/08/2026 at 12:00
Kicked offChornomorets Odesa – Kolos Kovalivka
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What the model expects
This match has not been through the model yet, so there is no projection to show for it.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | Chornomorets Odesa | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 0.54 · 16th from 4 matches | (better) 1.34 · 10th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.30 · 8th from 4 matches | 1.69 · 11th |
| xGD / match | -0.76 · 12th from 4 matches | (better) -0.34 · 10th |
| xPts / match | 0.74 · 14th from 4 matches | (better) 1.15 · 10th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.90 from 1 match | (better) -0.19 |
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
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Model details
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- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Chornomorets Odesa sample
- 4 matches
- Kolos Kovalivka sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · Chornomorets Odesa
- 3 matches
- Away xG sample · Kolos Kovalivka
- 4 matches
Warnings
- Chornomorets Odesa has only 4 matches in the database. Below 10 matches the estimate is very unreliable.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.