xgEdge

Expected goals

Chornomorets Odesa expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ukrainian Premier League · after 4 matches · updated 1 Oct

Chornomorets Odesa's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Chornomorets Odesa xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.54 xG per match
#16/16
Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Metalist 1925 2.42
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.19
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 2.10
#4 Karpaty Lviv 1.90
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 1.88
#6 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.86
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 1.81
#8 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.74
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.36
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.34
#11 Zoria Luhansk 1.15
#12 Veres Rivne 0.94
#13 Kudrivka 0.86
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.71
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.60
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.54
League avg
1.51
Total
2.15 4 matches
Defence
1.30 xGA per match
#8/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.68
#2 Metalist 1925 0.79
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.92
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.94
#5 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.09
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.17
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 1.26
#8 Chornomorets Odesa 1.30
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.37
#10 Karpaty Lviv 1.59
#11 Kolos Kovalivka 1.69
#12 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2.01
#13 Veres Rivne 2.06
#14 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2.32
#15 Kudrivka 2.50
#16 Obolon Kyiv 2.79
League avg
1.51
Total
5.20 4 matches
xG difference
-0.76 xGD per match
#12/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Metalist 1925 +1.63
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr +1.51
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk +0.96
#4 Dynamo Kyiv +0.87
#5 LNZ Cherkasy +0.84
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi +0.57
#7 Karpaty Lviv +0.30
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi -0.14
#9 Zoria Luhansk -0.22
#10 Kolos Kovalivka -0.34
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv -0.38
#12 Chornomorets Odesa -0.76
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.96
#14 Veres Rivne -1.13
#15 Kudrivka -1.65
#16 Obolon Kyiv -2.19
League avg
0.00
Total
-3.05 4 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.74 xPts per match
#14/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.29
#2 Metalist 1925 2.23
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 2.02
#4 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.01
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.72
#6 LNZ Cherkasy 1.64
#7 Karpaty Lviv 1.58
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.38
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.20
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.15
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.01
#12 Veres Rivne 0.85
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.83
#14 Chornomorets Odesa 0.74
#15 Kudrivka 0.54
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.48
League avg
1.40
Total
2.95 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 4 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 4 of 6 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Chornomorets Odesa's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.76 per match, from low shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. After only 4 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
2 2.15 -0.15 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 5.20 -1.20 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 2.95 +1.05 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Chornomorets Odesa are 0.15 goals below their xG after 4 matches.

Goals
2
xG
2.15
Gap
-0.15
Sun 02/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Mon 14/09 -1 0 +1 +0.78 +0.77 +0.31 -0.15 +0.78 -0.01 -0.46 -0.46 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Chornomorets Odesa: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 Polissya Zhytomyr 1 0.22 +0.78 +0.78
Sun 30/08 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1 1.01 -0.01 +0.77
Fri 04/09 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0 0.46 -0.46 +0.31
Mon 14/09 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0.46 -0.46 -0.15

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Chornomorets Odesa xG trend

Current form -0.76 npxGD per match

All 4 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 4 matches. The worst was against Shakhtar Donetsk on Mon 14/09 (-1.44).

npxG · last 4
0.54
npxGA · last 4
1.30
-2 -1 0 +1 -0.90 Sun 02/08 -0.83 Sun 30/08 +0.13 Fri 04/09 -1.44 Mon 14/09 -0.76 season avg
Chornomorets Odesa: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.22 1.12 -0.90 -0.90
Sun 30/08 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.01 1.84 -0.83 -0.87
Fri 04/09 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.47 0.34 +0.13 -0.53
Mon 14/09 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.46 1.90 -1.44 -0.76

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.54 npxG and 1.30 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.12 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
number 7 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.12 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 16

  1. Obolon Kyiv Home −0.45
  2. Shakhtar Donetsk Away +0.66
  3. FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Home −0.35
  4. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home −0.18
  5. LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.39
  6. Polissya Zhytomyr Home +0.64

Last 5

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 16

  1. Obolon Kyiv Home −0.45
  2. Shakhtar Donetsk Away +0.66
  3. FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Home −0.35
  4. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home −0.18
  5. LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.39

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Chornomorets Odesa shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Chornomorets Odesa take 10.3 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.05 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #13 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #16 for quality. 39% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.3 shots per match
#13/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 20.3
#2 Metalist 1925 17.8
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 16.3
#4 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 16.0
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 15.2
#6 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14.3
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 13.8
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 13.6
#9 Karpaty Lviv 13.1
#10 Zoria Luhansk 13.0
#11 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.4
#12 Veres Rivne 11.2
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 10.3
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 10.0
#15 Kudrivka 8.8
#16 Obolon Kyiv 8.3
League avg
13.5
Total
41 shots from 4 matches
Chance quality
0.05 npxG per shot
#16/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Karpaty Lviv 0.14
#2 Metalist 1925 0.14
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 0.13
#4 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.12
#5 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#6 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.12
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 0.11
#8 Kudrivka 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#11 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#12 Veres Rivne 0.09
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.08
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.07
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.05
League avg
0.11
Total
2.16 npxG from 41 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.8 shots per match
#13/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk 7.0
#2 Metalist 1925 7.3
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 7.7
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 9.7
#5 LNZ Cherkasy 11.2
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.1
#7 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 14.6
#8 Karpaty Lviv 14.9
#9 Zoria Luhansk 15.0
#10 Veres Rivne 15.6
#11 Obolon Kyiv 16.5
#12 Kolos Kovalivka 16.6
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 16.8
#14 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 17.3
#15 Kudrivka 18.2
#16 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 18.3
League avg
13.5
Total
67 shots allowed from 4 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#2/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#2 Chornomorets Odesa 0.08
#3 Karpaty Lviv 0.09
#4 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.10
#6 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 0.10
#8 Dynamo Kyiv 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.11
#11 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#12 Veres Rivne 0.12
#13 Metalist 1925 0.13
#14 Kudrivka 0.13
#15 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.13
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.13
League avg
0.11
Total
5.20 npxGA from 67 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

39% inside the box

League avg 54%

From 16 of 41 shots over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

51% allowed inside the box

League avg 54%

From 34 of 67 shots allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Chornomorets Odesa home and away xG

Chornomorets Odesa per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 1 match with xG
Matches 4 3 with xG 2 1 with xG
xG / match 0.56 0.46
xGA / match 1.10 1.90
xGD / match -0.54 -1.44
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.88 0.33

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Chornomorets Odesa match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
6 4 with xG
xG / match
0.54
xGA / match
1.30
xGD / match
-0.76
Points
5 of 18
  1. Fri 18/09 Obolon Kyiv H
  2. Mon 14/09 Shakhtar Donetsk A xG 0.46 xGA 1.90 xGD -1.44
  3. Fri 04/09 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv H xG 0.46 xGA 0.34 xGD +0.12
  4. Sun 30/08 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih H xG 1.01 xGA 1.84 xGD -0.83
  5. Sun 16/08 LNZ Cherkasy A
  6. Sun 02/08 Polissya Zhytomyr H xG 0.22 xGA 1.12 xGD -0.90

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Chornomorets Odesa in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect