Goals vs xG

Who is scoring above and below their chances?

xG measures the quality of a player's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.

Current season · 450+ min · 2.0+ xG · Data to 21 September 2026

Eligibility

Minutes: At least 450 minutes this season, so one hot week can't top the list.
Chances: At least 2.0 xG, and a gap of at least one goal either way. Including penalties, in the goals and in the xG.
Competitions: Only competitions with per-player shot data, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.

Side

Above xG Below xG

Period

Season Last 5

Goals

Non-penalty All goals

47 players · 11 competitions

Henrik Langaas Skogvold has scored 0 goals from 3.89 xG, 3.89 below their chances: the largest qualifying gap below xG across 11 competitions.

Ranked on the gap below xG among 47 qualifying players in 11 competitions.
#	Player	G − xG	G	xG	Shots	Min	Last 5
1	Henrik Langaas Skogvold Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien 0 goals from 3.9 xG	−3.89	0	3.89	33	1,587	0 G · 0.5 xG−0.5
2	Sondre Auklend Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 1 goal from 3.9 xG	−2.90	1	3.90	31	1,421	0 G · 1.3 xG−1.3
3	James Ampofo IK Start · Eliteserien 0 goals from 2.8 xG	−2.81	0	2.81	29	613	0 G · 1.4 xG−1.4
4	Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson Lyngby · Superliga (Denmark) 3 goals from 5.7 xG	−2.71	3	5.71	25	725	3 G · 4.2 xG−1.2
5	Jesper Cornelius IK Start · Eliteserien 5 goals from 7.7 xG	−2.68	5	7.68	55	1,603	1 G · 2.5 xG−1.5
6	Daniel Karlsbakk Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien 7 goals from 9.7 xG	−2.67	7	9.67	44	1,852	2 G · 2.8 xG−0.8
7	Ilias Sebaoui Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League 1 goal from 3.5 xG	−2.54	1	3.54	27	619	0 G · 2.4 xG−2.4
7	Gustavo Silva Vitória SC · Liga Portugal 1 goal from 3.5 xG	−2.54	1	3.54	25	525	1 G · 3.0 xG−2.0
9	Odin Luras Bjørtuft Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 0 goals from 2.5 xG	−2.48	0	2.48	21	1,858	0 G · 0.2 xG−0.2
10	Leo Cornic SK Brann · Eliteserien 0 goals from 2.3 xG	−2.29	0	2.29	23	1,453	0 G · 0.2 xG−0.2
11	Sondre Sørløkk Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien 0 goals from 2.3 xG	−2.28	0	2.28	21	1,170	0 G · 1.0 xG−1.0
12	Mexx Meerdink AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie 3 goals from 5.3 xG	−2.27	3	5.27	23	562	2 G · 4.2 xG−2.2
13	Maksym Khlan Górnik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa 1 goal from 3.3 xG	−2.25	1	3.25	35	754	0 G · 2.4 xG−2.4
14	Chupete Málaga · La Liga 1 goal from 3.1 xG	−2.13	1	3.13	15	563	0 G · 1.4 xG−1.4
15	Samuel Krasniqi Grasshopper Club Zürich · Swiss Super League 2 goals from 4.1 xG	−2.08	2	4.08	34	810	2 G · 3.6 xG−1.6
16	Danijel Šturm SK Slavia Praha · Czech First League 1 goal from 3.0 xG	−2.03	1	3.03	15	582	1 G · 2.5 xG−1.5
16	Prince Amoako Junior FC Nordsjælland · Superliga (Denmark) 0 goals from 2.0 xG	−2.03	0	2.03	27	477	0 G · 1.2 xG−1.2
18	Omar Janneh FC Lausanne-Sport · Swiss Super League 1 goal from 3.0 xG	−1.98	1	2.98	16	711	1 G · 1.2 xG−0.2
18	Ibrahim Adel FC Nordsjælland · Superliga (Denmark) 1 goal from 3.0 xG	−1.98	1	2.98	20	485	0 G · 1.2 xG−1.2
20	Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · La Liga 1 goal from 3.0 xG	−1.96	1	2.96	22	565	0 G · 1.7 xG−1.7
20	Tawanda Maswanhise Motherwell · Scottish Premiership 1 goal from 3.0 xG	−1.96	1	2.96	15	484	1 G · 2.5 xG−1.5
22	Nikolas Muci Grasshopper Club Zürich · Swiss Super League 1 goal from 2.9 xG	−1.93	1	2.93	19	494	0 G · 1.4 xG−1.4
23	Mbaye Ndiaye Motor Lublin · Ekstraklasa 1 goal from 2.7 xG	−1.73	1	2.73	22	769	0 G · 0.3 xG−0.3
24	Steve Ngoura Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League 2 goals from 3.7 xG	−1.71	2	3.71	21	485	1 G · 2.2 xG−1.2
25	Runar Robinsonn Norheim FC Nordsjælland · Superliga (Denmark) 1 goal from 2.7 xG	−1.70	1	2.70	13	751	0 G · 0.5 xG−0.5
26	Samu Vitória SC · Liga Portugal 1 goal from 2.7 xG	−1.68	1	2.68	18	562	0 G · 2.2 xG−2.2
27	Abdoull Tanko FK Pardubice · Czech First League 1 goal from 2.6 xG	−1.62	1	2.62	11	472	1 G · 1.2 xG−0.2
28	Elias Sørensen Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien 1 goal from 2.6 xG	−1.59	1	2.59	14	535	1 G · 1.9 xG−0.9
29	Dino Islamović Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien 2 goals from 3.6 xG	−1.55	2	3.55	17	529	2 G · 2.3 xG−0.3
30	Eirik Schulze IK Start · Eliteserien 1 goal from 2.5 xG	−1.54	1	2.54	31	952	0 G · 0.8 xG−0.8
31	Ola Brynhildsen Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 1 goal from 2.5 xG	−1.53	1	2.53	24	680	0 G · 0.9 xG−0.9
32	Danylo Sikan RSC Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League 1 goal from 2.5 xG	−1.50	1	2.50	23	505	1 G · 2.0 xG−1.0
33	Karol Świderski Widzew Łódź · Ekstraklasa 1 goal from 2.5 xG	−1.48	1	2.48	18	637	1 G · 1.2 xG−0.2
34	Oihan Sancet Athletic Club · La Liga 1 goal from 2.5 xG	−1.45	1	2.45	17	515	1 G · 2.1 xG−1.1
35	Jesús Imaz Jagiellonia Białystok · Ekstraklasa 2 goals from 3.4 xG	−1.40	2	3.40	17	480	2 G · 3.3 xG−1.3
36	Noah Ganaus Odense Boldklub · Superliga (Denmark) 2 goals from 3.3 xG	−1.34	2	3.34	22	721	1 G · 1.8 xG−0.8
37	Mathias Grundetjern Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien 5 goals from 6.3 xG	−1.33	5	6.33	42	1,503	3 G · 2.4 xG+0.6
38	Lars Olden Larsen Tromsø IL · Eliteserien 1 goal from 2.3 xG	−1.28	1	2.28	29	1,301	0 G · 0.5 xG−0.5
39	Jalal Abdullai Molde FK · Eliteserien 3 goals from 4.2 xG	−1.23	3	4.23	37	989	2 G · 1.6 xG+0.4
40	Vit Skrkon Baník Ostrava · Czech First League 1 goal from 2.2 xG	−1.21	1	2.21	15	469	1 G · 1.9 xG−0.9
41	Patrick Berg Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 2 goals from 3.2 xG	−1.19	2	3.19	48	1,618	0 G · 0.9 xG−0.9
42	Orkun Kökçü Beşiktaş · Süper Lig 1 goal from 2.2 xG	−1.15	1	2.15	21	501	1 G · 1.7 xG−0.7
42	Václav Jurečka Baník Ostrava · Czech First League 1 goal from 2.2 xG	−1.15	1	2.15	7	462	0 G · 1.1 xG−1.1
44	Jonatan Braut Brunes AC Sparta Praha · Czech First League 1 goal from 2.1 xG	−1.14	1	2.14	20	589	0 G · 1.3 xG−1.3
45	Mustapha Isah Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien 1 goal from 2.1 xG	−1.13	1	2.13	20	926	0 G · 0.5 xG−0.5
46	Nicolò Tresoldi Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League 3 goals from 4.1 xG	−1.11	3	4.11	21	530	1 G · 2.1 xG−1.1
47	Ulrik Mathisen SK Brann · Eliteserien 1 goal from 2.0 xG	−1.02	1	2.02	19	944	0 G · 0.4 xG−0.4

Above xG
Below xG
Last 5 gap of 2 or more
under 600

Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.

Coverage 19 competitions feed this list. Which ones, and which cannot yet. Show

On this list: Allsvenskan Austrian Bundesliga Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Russian Premier League Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Swiss Super League
Lists open after 6 matches: Bundesliga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A Super League Greece
Team figures only: Cypriot First Division Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga See the teams list

Every competition → How the model works →