xgEdge
Goals vs xG

Who is scoring above and below their chances?

xG measures the quality of a player's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.

Current season · 450+ min · 2.0+ xG · Data to 21 September 2026

Eligibility
Minutes
At least 450 minutes this season, so one hot week can't top the list.
Chances
At least 2.0 xG, and a gap of at least one goal either way. Including penalties, in the goals and in the xG.
Competitions
Only competitions with per-player shot data, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.

79 players · 13 competitions

Mathias Christensen has scored 8 goals from 3.09 xG, 4.91 above their chances: the largest qualifying gap across 13 competitions.

Ranked on the gap above xG among 79 qualifying players in 13 competitions.
# Player G − xG G xG Shots Min Last 5
1 Mathias Christensen Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien 8 goals from 3.1 xG +4.91 8 3.09 38 1,642 4 G · 1.7 xG+2.3
2 Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano · La Liga 7 goals from 2.3 xG +4.72 7 2.28 19 470 6 G · 2.1 xG+3.9
3 Simen Kvia-Egeskog Viking FK · Eliteserien 8 goals from 4.0 xG +4.03 8 3.97 23 1,449 3 G · 0.7 xG+2.3
4 Leander Alvheim Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien 10 goals from 6.3 xG +3.70 10 6.30 49 1,561 4 G · 1.9 xG+2.1
4 Carl Lange Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien 6 goals from 2.3 xG +3.70 6 2.30 43 1,771 2 G · 0.9 xG+1.1
6 Andreas Helmersen Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 11 goals from 7.5 xG +3.48 11 7.52 43 871 6 G · 3.0 xG+3.0
7 Emil Frederiksen NK Istra 1961 · HNL 7 goals from 3.7 xG +3.34 7 3.66 20 682 4 G · 1.8 xG+2.2
7 Jens Hjertø-Dahl Tromsø IL · Eliteserien 7 goals from 3.7 xG +3.34 7 3.66 38 1,202 2 G · 0.6 xG+1.4
9 Mohamed Salah Trabzonspor · Süper Lig 7 goals from 3.7 xG +3.27 7 3.73 19 481 7 G · 3.5 xG+3.5
10 Raphinha Barcelona · La Liga 12 goals from 8.8 xG +3.22 12 8.78 25 555 9 G · 6.1 xG+2.9
11 Mame Alassane Niang HamKam · Eliteserien 6 goals from 2.8 xG +3.21 6 2.79 20 900 2 G · 1.0 xG+1.0
12 Eirik Hestad Molde FK · Eliteserien 8 goals from 4.9 xG +3.15 8 4.85 26 1,161 3 G · 1.5 xG+1.5
13 Dion Drena Beljo GNK Dinamo Zagreb · HNL 9 goals from 6.0 xG +3.00 9 6.00 32 506 7 G · 4.9 xG+2.1
14 Amin Chiakha Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien 13 goals from 10.0 xG +2.99 13 10.01 57 1,769 5 G · 3.4 xG+1.6
15 Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien 5 goals from 2.0 xG +2.97 5 2.03 30 1,217 1 G · 0.3 xG+0.7
16 Samuel Essende Young Boys · Swiss Super League 10 goals from 7.1 xG +2.95 10 7.05 48 790 6 G · 3.1 xG+2.9
17 Jordi Sánchez Pogoń Szczecin · Ekstraklasa 8 goals from 5.1 xG +2.93 8 5.07 22 761 3 G · 1.5 xG+1.5
18 Gjivai Zechiël Feyenoord · Eredivisie 5 goals from 2.1 xG +2.88 5 2.12 19 597 4 G · 1.0 xG+3.1
19 Mohamed Elyounoussi FC København · Superliga (Denmark) 6 goals from 3.2 xG +2.83 6 3.17 25 703 2 G · 1.5 xG+0.5
19 Kristian Lonebu Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien 7 goals from 4.2 xG +2.83 7 4.17 38 1,318 2 G · 1.4 xG+0.6
21 Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Lech Poznań · Ekstraklasa 5 goals from 2.2 xG +2.82 5 2.18 16 454 3 G · 1.7 xG+1.3
21 Kristall Máni Ingason SK Brann · Eliteserien 6 goals from 3.2 xG +2.82 6 3.18 22 1,121 2 G · 0.9 xG+1.2
23 Lucas Haren Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien 8 goals from 5.2 xG +2.80 8 5.20 42 1,314 2 G · 2.6 xG−0.6
24 Armando León NK Osijek · HNL 5 goals from 2.2 xG +2.79 5 2.21 15 639 3 G · 1.0 xG+2.0
25 Christoph Lang LASK · Austrian Bundesliga 5 goals from 2.3 xG +2.75 5 2.25 14 486 4 G · 1.6 xG+2.4
25 Ilia Shkurin GKS Katowice · Ekstraklasa 6 goals from 3.3 xG +2.75 6 3.25 20 682 5 G · 1.9 xG+3.1
27 Henrik Heggheim Viking FK · Eliteserien 5 goals from 2.3 xG +2.72 5 2.28 17 1,506 1 G · 0.9 xG+0.1
28 Bård Finne SK Brann · Eliteserien 5 goals from 2.4 xG +2.58 5 2.42 21 627 2 G · 0.3 xG+1.7
29 Jens Petter Hauge Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 5 goals from 2.5 xG +2.55 5 2.45 28 1,167 3 G · 0.9 xG+2.1
30 Søren Tengstedt Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie 5 goals from 2.5 xG +2.54 5 2.46 20 591 3 G · 1.5 xG+1.5
31 Fernando Niño Elche · La Liga 5 goals from 2.7 xG +2.32 5 2.68 11 470 5 G · 2.2 xG+2.8
31 Roberto Fernández Espanyol · La Liga 6 goals from 3.7 xG +2.32 6 3.68 16 613 4 G · 2.4 xG+1.7
33 Wiktor Nowak SK Slavia Praha · Czech First League 5 goals from 2.7 xG +2.30 5 2.70 17 621 2 G · 0.6 xG+1.4
34 Ilija Nestorovski NK Slaven Belupo · HNL 5 goals from 2.7 xG +2.27 5 2.73 21 565 4 G · 2.3 xG+1.7
35 Emil Breivik Molde FK · Eliteserien 7 goals from 4.8 xG +2.25 7 4.75 44 1,884 0 G · 0.5 xG−0.5
36 Vangelis Pavlidis Benfica · Liga Portugal 8 goals from 6.0 xG +2.05 8 5.95 24 557 4 G · 3.4 xG+0.6
36 Emil Konradsen Ceide Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien 5 goals from 3.0 xG +2.05 5 2.95 39 1,728 3 G · 0.9 xG+2.1
38 Georgios Koutsias Famalicão · Liga Portugal 5 goals from 3.0 xG +2.01 5 2.99 10 555 4 G · 2.1 xG+1.9
39 Luis Javier Suárez Sporting · Liga Portugal 6 goals from 4.0 xG +2.00 6 4.00 14 457 6 G · 4.0 xG+2.0
39 Hamza Jaganjac NK Istra 1961 · HNL 4 goals from 2.0 xG +2.00 4 2.00 15 600 4 G · 1.4 xG+2.6
41 Evangelos Patoulidis Sandefjord Fotball · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.1 xG +1.95 4 2.05 40 1,375 1 G · 0.3 xG+0.7
42 Abraham Marcus CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal 4 goals from 2.1 xG +1.91 4 2.09 17 623 3 G · 1.3 xG+1.7
43 Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson FC Groningen · Eredivisie 4 goals from 2.1 xG +1.88 4 2.12 16 515 2 G · 0.8 xG+1.2
44 Gabri Veiga FC Porto · Liga Portugal 4 goals from 2.2 xG +1.82 4 2.18 19 493 3 G · 1.1 xG+1.9
45 Alexander Warneryd Tromsø IL · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.2 xG +1.81 4 2.19 28 1,491 0 G · 0.5 xG−0.5
46 Juan Cabrera FC Vaduz · Swiss Super League 4 goals from 2.2 xG +1.79 4 2.21 19 694 3 G · 0.9 xG+2.2
47 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Deportivo La Coruña · La Liga 5 goals from 3.2 xG +1.76 5 3.24 17 560 3 G · 2.1 xG+0.9
48 Jesús Ramírez Çorum FK · Süper Lig 4 goals from 2.3 xG +1.72 4 2.28 18 502 3 G · 1.9 xG+1.1
49 Christian Fassnacht Young Boys · Swiss Super League 4 goals from 2.3 xG +1.70 4 2.30 9 454 4 G · 2.3 xG+1.7
50 Håkon Evjen Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 5 goals from 3.3 xG +1.69 5 3.31 18 753 2 G · 1.8 xG+0.2
  • Above xG
  • Below xG
  • Last 5 gap of 2 or more
  • under 600

Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.

Coverage 19 competitions feed this list. Which ones, and which cannot yet. Show
On this list
Allsvenskan Austrian Bundesliga Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Russian Premier League Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Swiss Super League
Lists open after 6 matches
Bundesliga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A Super League Greece
Team figures only
Cypriot First Division Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga See the teams list