Goals vs xG
Who is scoring above and below their chances?
xG measures the quality of a player's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.
Current season · 450+ min · 2.0+ xG · Data to 21 September 2026
Eligibility
- Minutes
- At least 450 minutes this season, so one hot week can't top the list.
- Chances
- At least 2.0 xG, and a gap of at least one goal either way. Including penalties, in the goals and in the xG.
- Competitions
- Only competitions with per-player shot data, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.
Mathias Christensen has scored 8 goals from 3.09 xG, 4.91 above their chances: the largest qualifying gap across 13 competitions.
| # | Player | G − xG | G | xG | Shots | Min | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Troy Nyhammer Tromsø IL · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.3 xG | +1.68 | 4 | 2.32 | 18 | 822 | 1 G · 0.6 xG+0.4 |
| 51 | Žan Celar Basel · Swiss Super League 6 goals from 4.3 xG | +1.68 | 6 | 4.32 | 17 | 786 | 3 G · 2.2 xG+0.8 |
| 53 | Adrian Benedyczak Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig 4 goals from 2.3 xG | +1.67 | 4 | 2.33 | 20 | 524 | 3 G · 1.2 xG+1.8 |
| 54 | Gonçalo Paciência Santa Clara · Liga Portugal 5 goals from 3.4 xG | +1.65 | 5 | 3.35 | 22 | 518 | 2 G · 1.5 xG+0.5 |
| 55 | John Mercado AC Sparta Praha · Czech First League 4 goals from 2.4 xG | +1.63 | 4 | 2.37 | 18 | 703 | 3 G · 1.2 xG+1.8 |
| 55 | Kristoffer Askildsen Viking FK · Eliteserien 5 goals from 3.4 xG | +1.63 | 5 | 3.37 | 37 | 1,660 | 0 G · 0.5 xG−0.5 |
| 57 | Trent Kone Doherty Molde FK · Eliteserien 6 goals from 4.4 xG | +1.56 | 6 | 4.44 | 25 | 591 | 5 G · 2.4 xG+2.6 |
| 58 | Eldor Shomurodov Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig 6 goals from 4.5 xG | +1.55 | 6 | 4.45 | 18 | 505 | 5 G · 3.5 xG+1.5 |
| 58 | Luciano Valente Feyenoord · Eredivisie 4 goals from 2.5 xG | +1.55 | 4 | 2.45 | 15 | 601 | 3 G · 1.8 xG+1.2 |
| 60 | Friday Etim FC Midtjylland · Superliga (Denmark) 4 goals from 2.5 xG | +1.53 | 4 | 2.47 | 21 | 521 | 3 G · 2.0 xG+1.0 |
| 61 | Teodor Haltvik KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.5 xG | +1.49 | 4 | 2.51 | 16 | 549 | 1 G · 0.8 xG+0.2 |
| 61 | Winsley Boteli Mokango FC Sion · Swiss Super League 6 goals from 4.5 xG | +1.49 | 6 | 4.51 | 28 | 575 | 3 G · 2.0 xG+1.0 |
| 63 | Rafik El Arguioui SC Cambuur · Eredivisie 4 goals from 2.6 xG | +1.45 | 4 | 2.55 | 21 | 630 | 3 G · 1.3 xG+1.7 |
| 64 | Aksel Baran Potur HamKam · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.6 xG | +1.40 | 4 | 2.60 | 23 | 1,418 | 1 G · 0.9 xG+0.1 |
| 65 | Jiří Klíma Mladá Boleslav · Czech First League 4 goals from 2.6 xG | +1.38 | 4 | 2.62 | 15 | 525 | 1 G · 0.8 xG+0.2 |
| 66 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan AC Horsens · Superliga (Denmark) 4 goals from 2.7 xG | +1.35 | 4 | 2.65 | 19 | 615 | 3 G · 1.9 xG+1.1 |
| 67 | Peter Christiansen Viking FK · Eliteserien 11 goals from 9.7 xG | +1.33 | 11 | 9.67 | 57 | 1,726 | 3 G · 2.9 xG+0.1 |
| 68 | Michele Šego HNK Hajduk Split · HNL 4 goals from 2.7 xG | +1.31 | 4 | 2.69 | 10 | 533 | 3 G · 2.5 xG+0.5 |
| 69 | Fredrik Gulbrandsen Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien 6 goals from 4.7 xG | +1.30 | 6 | 4.70 | 20 | 944 | 2 G · 1.9 xG+0.1 |
| 70 | Mustapha Isah RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League 5 goals from 3.7 xG | +1.29 | 5 | 3.71 | 18 | 561 | 3 G · 3.1 xG−0.1 |
| 71 | Leandro Antonetti CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal 4 goals from 2.8 xG | +1.20 | 4 | 2.80 | 23 | 623 | 2 G · 1.9 xG+0.1 |
| 72 | Rafiu Durosinmi KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League 5 goals from 3.8 xG | +1.19 | 5 | 3.81 | 17 | 518 | 3 G · 2.3 xG+0.7 |
| 73 | Simen Nordli Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.8 xG | +1.17 | 4 | 2.83 | 19 | 760 | 2 G · 0.9 xG+1.1 |
| 74 | Kasper Høgh Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 7 goals from 5.8 xG | +1.16 | 7 | 5.84 | 35 | 938 | 4 G · 2.9 xG+1.1 |
| 75 | Josh Fowler St. Johnstone · Scottish Premiership 4 goals from 2.9 xG | +1.13 | 4 | 2.87 | 9 | 480 | 3 G · 2.6 xG+0.4 |
| 76 | Lamine Yamal Barcelona · La Liga 7 goals from 5.9 xG | +1.10 | 7 | 5.90 | 38 | 581 | 7 G · 5.1 xG+2.0 |
| 77 | Rafał Augustyniak Legia Warszawa · Ekstraklasa 4 goals from 2.9 xG | +1.09 | 4 | 2.91 | 15 | 810 | 3 G · 2.0 xG+1.0 |
| 78 | Gianni Stensness Viking FK · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.9 xG | +1.06 | 4 | 2.94 | 26 | 1,665 | 1 G · 1.4 xG−0.4 |
| 79 | Ivan Barbero FC Arouca · Liga Portugal 4 goals from 3.0 xG | +1.05 | 4 | 2.95 | 15 | 507 | 2 G · 1.7 xG+0.3 |
- Above xG
- Below xG
- Last 5 gap of 2 or more
- under 600
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
Coverage 19 competitions feed this list. Which ones, and which cannot yet. Show Hide
- On this list
- Allsvenskan Austrian Bundesliga Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Russian Premier League Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Swiss Super League
- Lists open after 6 matches
- Bundesliga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A Super League Greece
- Team figures only
- Cypriot First Division Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga See the teams list