xgEdge

LASK's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses

9 pts 10–1 goals +9 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.51 – 2.03
2.50 – 0.68 per match
xGD
+5.48
+1.83 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

9 pts 7.6 xPts

+1.4 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

LASK's perfect record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 3 matches, for +5.48 xG difference overall on 7.51–2.03. Their points total of 9 sits 1.4 above the model's 7.6 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results LASK are 1.37 points above their xPts.

Points
9
xPts
7.63
Gap
+1.37
Fri 31/07 Fri 14/08 Sat 29/08 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.70 +1.23 +1.37 +0.70 +0.53 +0.14 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
LASK: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Fri 31/07 Grazer AK 1902 3 2.30 +0.70 +0.70
Fri 14/08 SV Ried 3 2.47 +0.53 +1.23
Sat 29/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 3 2.86 +0.14 +1.37

Scores and xG

LASK first

  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.88

    xGA 0.28

    xGD +2.60

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Rheindorf Altach, Sat 29/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.86
    Points minus xPts
    +0.14

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.32

    xGA 0.76

    xGD +1.56

    4:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Ried, Fri 14/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.47
    Points minus xPts
    +0.53

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.31

    xGA 0.99

    xGD +1.32

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grazer AK 1902, Fri 31/07

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.30
    Points minus xPts
    +0.70

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →