xgEdge

Expected goals

LASK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

LASK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

LASK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.54 xG per match
#2/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
17.77 7 matches
Defence
0.93 xGA per match
#1/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
6.54 7 matches
xG difference
+1.60 xGD per match
#1/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
+11.23 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.33 xPts per match
#1/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
16.33 vs 16 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

LASK's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.60 per match, driven by the league's highest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 19 goals are 1.23 above 17.77 xG, while 16 points are 0.33 below 16.33 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.48 xG from penalties
19 17.77 +1.23 scored 1.23 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 6.54 +0.46 conceded 0.46 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
16 16.33 -0.33 0.33 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

LASK are 1.23 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
19
xG
17.77
Gap
+1.23
Fri 31/07 Sun 09/08 Fri 14/08 Sat 29/08 Tue 01/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.69 -1.02 +0.66 +0.78 +0.99 +0.05 +1.23 +0.69 -1.71 +1.68 +0.12 +0.21 -0.94 +1.18 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
LASK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 31/07 Grazer AK 1902 3 2.31 +0.69 +0.69
Sun 09/08 Austria Wien 2 3.71 -1.71 -1.02
Fri 14/08 SV Ried 4 2.32 +1.68 +0.66
Sat 29/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 3 2.88 +0.12 +0.78
Tue 01/09 Wolfsberger AC 3 2.79 +0.21 +0.99
Sun 13/09 SK Sturm Graz 1 1.94 -0.94 +0.05
Sun 20/09 TSV Hartberg 3 1.82 +1.18 +1.23

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

LASK xG trend

Current form +1.68 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against SK Sturm Graz on Sun 13/09 (-0.49).

npxG · last 6
2.44
npxGA · last 6
0.75
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.72 Fri 31/07 +3.13 Sun 09/08 +1.32 Fri 14/08 +2.59 Sat 29/08 +2.28 Tue 01/09 -0.49 Sun 13/09 +1.27 Sun 20/09 +1.55 season avg
LASK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 31/07 Grazer AK 1902 1.67 0.95 +0.72 +0.72
Sun 09/08 Austria Wien 3.34 0.21 +3.13 +1.92
Fri 14/08 SV Ried 2.12 0.80 +1.32 +1.72
Sat 29/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 2.87 0.28 +2.59 +1.94
Tue 01/09 Wolfsberger AC 2.55 0.27 +2.28 +2.01
Sun 13/09 SK Sturm Graz 1.94 2.43 -0.49 +1.59
Sun 20/09 TSV Hartberg 1.80 0.53 +1.27 +1.55

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.33 npxG and 0.78 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.21 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 12 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.19 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.21 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. TSV Hartberg Away −0.52
  2. SK Sturm Graz Away +0.41
  3. Wolfsberger AC Away −0.48
  4. SC Rheindorf Altach Home −0.18
  5. SV Ried Home −0.17
  6. Austria Wien Away −0.22
  7. Grazer AK 1902 Home −0.29

Last 5

−0.19 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. TSV Hartberg Away −0.52
  2. SK Sturm Graz Away +0.41
  3. Wolfsberger AC Away −0.48
  4. SC Rheindorf Altach Home −0.18
  5. SV Ried Home −0.17

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

LASK shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. LASK take 21.0 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #1 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #3 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 37% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
21.0 shots per match
#1/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
147 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#3/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
16.29 npxG from 147 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
7.7 shots per match
#1/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
54 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#9/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
5.47 npxGA from 54 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 95 of 147 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

52% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 28 of 54 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

63% open play · 37% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 6.1 of 16.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.1 of 5.4 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

LASK home and away xG

LASK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 2.50 2.57
xGA / match 0.68 1.13
xGD / match +1.83 +1.44
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.54 2.17

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every LASK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
2.54
xGA / match
0.93
xGD / match
+1.60
Points
16 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 TSV Hartberg A xG 1.82 xGA 0.63 xGD +1.19
  2. Sun 13/09 SK Sturm Graz A Weakest underlying xG 1.94 xGA 3.40 P xGD -1.46
  3. Tue 01/09 Wolfsberger AC A xG 2.79 xGA 0.27 xGD +2.52
  4. Sat 29/08 SC Rheindorf Altach H xG 2.88 xGA 0.28 xGD +2.60
  5. Fri 14/08 SV Ried H xG 2.32 xGA 0.76 xGD +1.56
  6. Sun 09/08 Austria Wien A Best underlying xG 3.71 xGA 0.21 xGD +3.50
  7. Fri 31/07 Grazer AK 1902 H xG 2.31 P xGA 0.99 xGD +1.32

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.71. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

LASK in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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