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Expected goals

SC Austria Lustenau expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

SC Austria Lustenau's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SC Austria Lustenau xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.24 xG per match
#8/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
8.65 7 matches
Defence
1.89 xGA per match
#10/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
13.21 7 matches
xG difference
-0.65 xGD per match
#9/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
-4.56 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.93 xPts per match
#9/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
6.53 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SC Austria Lustenau's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Austrian Bundesliga. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.65 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 8 goals are 0.65 below 8.65 xG, while 8 points are 1.47 above 6.53 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
8 8.65 -0.65 scored 0.65 fewer than xG within normal variance
11 13.21 -2.21 conceded 2.21 fewer than xGA within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SC Austria Lustenau are 0.65 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -1.84, against Austria Wien on Sun 13/09.

Goals
8
xG
8.65
Gap
-0.65
Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.22 +0.66 -0.47 -0.43 -1.36 -1.84 -0.65 +0.22 +0.44 -1.13 +0.04 -0.93 -0.48 +1.19 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SC Austria Lustenau: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 SV Ried 1 0.78 +0.22 +0.22
Sat 08/08 Grazer AK 1902 1 0.56 +0.44 +0.66
Sat 15/08 Wolfsberger AC 2 3.13 -1.13 -0.47
Sat 22/08 SK Sturm Graz 1 0.96 +0.04 -0.43
Fri 28/08 WSG Tirol 0 0.93 -0.93 -1.36
Sun 13/09 Austria Wien 1 1.48 -0.48 -1.84
Sat 19/09 SC Rheindorf Altach 2 0.81 +1.19 -0.65

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SC Austria Lustenau xG trend

Current form +0.02 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against SV Ried on Sun 02/08 (-1.58).

npxG · last 6
1.24
npxGA · last 6
1.22
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.58 Sun 02/08 -0.96 Sat 08/08 +1.63 Sat 15/08 -0.15 Sat 22/08 -0.50 Fri 28/08 -0.04 Sun 13/09 +0.12 Sat 19/09 -0.21 season avg
SC Austria Lustenau: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 SV Ried 0.82 2.40 -1.58 -1.58
Sat 08/08 Grazer AK 1902 0.53 1.49 -0.96 -1.27
Sat 15/08 Wolfsberger AC 2.96 1.33 +1.63 -0.30
Sat 22/08 SK Sturm Graz 0.73 0.88 -0.15 -0.26
Fri 28/08 WSG Tirol 0.89 1.39 -0.50 -0.31
Sun 13/09 Austria Wien 1.48 1.52 -0.04 -0.27
Sat 19/09 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.85 0.73 +0.12 -0.21

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.18 npxG and 1.39 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 11 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.17 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.14 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.17 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 11 hardest of 12

  1. SC Rheindorf Altach Home −0.18
  2. Austria Wien Away −0.22
  3. WSG Tirol Home −0.25
  4. SK Sturm Graz Away +0.41
  5. Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48
  6. Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
  7. SV Ried Home −0.17

Last 5

−0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

  1. SC Rheindorf Altach Home −0.18
  2. Austria Wien Away −0.22
  3. WSG Tirol Home −0.25
  4. SK Sturm Graz Away +0.41
  5. Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SC Austria Lustenau shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. SC Austria Lustenau take 14.1 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #6 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #10 for quality. 54% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.1 shots per match
#6/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
99 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#10/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
8.26 npxG from 99 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.0 shots per match
#8/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
105 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#5/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
9.74 npxGA from 105 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

54% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 53 of 99 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

73% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 77 of 105 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.7 of 8.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

69% open play · 31% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.0 of 9.8 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

SC Austria Lustenau home and away xG

SC Austria Lustenau per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.41 1.00
xGA / match 1.98 1.76
xGD / match -0.57 -0.76
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.03 0.80

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SC Austria Lustenau match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.13. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SC Austria Lustenau in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →