Expected goals
SC Austria Lustenau expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct
SC Austria Lustenau's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
SC Austria Lustenau xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2.68 |
| #2 | LASK | 2.54 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 2.26 |
| #4 | SV Ried | 1.96 |
| #5 | SK Sturm Graz | 1.83 |
| #6 | WSG Tirol | 1.52 |
| #7 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 1.24 |
| #8 | SC Austria Lustenau | 1.24 |
| #9 | Grazer AK 1902 | 1.14 |
| #10 | Wolfsberger AC | 1.14 |
| #11 | TSV Hartberg | 1.01 |
| #12 | Austria Wien | 0.74 |
- League avg
- 1.61
- Total
- 8.65 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 0.93 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1.08 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 1.10 |
| #4 | SK Sturm Graz | 1.29 |
| #5 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 1.33 |
| #6 | SV Ried | 1.75 |
| #7 | Grazer AK 1902 | 1.75 |
| #8 | WSG Tirol | 1.76 |
| #9 | Austria Wien | 1.85 |
| #10 | SC Austria Lustenau | 1.89 |
| #11 | TSV Hartberg | 2.02 |
| #12 | Wolfsberger AC | 2.53 |
- League avg
- 1.61
- Total
- 13.21 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | +1.60 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | +1.60 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | +1.16 |
| #4 | SK Sturm Graz | +0.53 |
| #5 | SV Ried | +0.22 |
| #6 | SC Rheindorf Altach | -0.08 |
| #7 | WSG Tirol | -0.24 |
| #8 | Grazer AK 1902 | -0.61 |
| #9 | SC Austria Lustenau | -0.65 |
| #10 | TSV Hartberg | -1.01 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | -1.12 |
| #12 | Wolfsberger AC | -1.39 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -4.56 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 2.33 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2.33 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 1.95 |
| #4 | SK Sturm Graz | 1.70 |
| #5 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 1.42 |
| #6 | SV Ried | 1.40 |
| #7 | WSG Tirol | 1.32 |
| #8 | Grazer AK 1902 | 1.20 |
| #9 | SC Austria Lustenau | 0.93 |
| #10 | TSV Hartberg | 0.79 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | 0.77 |
| #12 | Wolfsberger AC | 0.70 |
- League avg
- 1.41
- Total
- 6.53 vs 8 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
SC Austria Lustenau's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Austrian Bundesliga. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.65 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 8 goals are 0.65 below 8.65 xG, while 8 points are 1.47 above 6.53 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
SC Austria Lustenau are 0.65 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -1.84, against Austria Wien on Sun 13/09.
- Goals
- 8
- xG
- 8.65
- Gap
- -0.65
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 02/08 | SV Ried | 1 | 0.78 | +0.22 | +0.22 |
| Sat 08/08 | Grazer AK 1902 | 1 | 0.56 | +0.44 | +0.66 |
| Sat 15/08 | Wolfsberger AC | 2 | 3.13 | -1.13 | -0.47 |
| Sat 22/08 | SK Sturm Graz | 1 | 0.96 | +0.04 | -0.43 |
| Fri 28/08 | WSG Tirol | 0 | 0.93 | -0.93 | -1.36 |
| Sun 13/09 | Austria Wien | 1 | 1.48 | -0.48 | -1.84 |
| Sat 19/09 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 2 | 0.81 | +1.19 | -0.65 |
SC Austria Lustenau xG trend
Current form +0.02 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against SV Ried on Sun 02/08 (-1.58).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.24
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.22
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 02/08 | SV Ried | 0.82 | 2.40 | -1.58 | -1.58 |
| Sat 08/08 | Grazer AK 1902 | 0.53 | 1.49 | -0.96 | -1.27 |
| Sat 15/08 | Wolfsberger AC | 2.96 | 1.33 | +1.63 | -0.30 |
| Sat 22/08 | SK Sturm Graz | 0.73 | 0.88 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| Fri 28/08 | WSG Tirol | 0.89 | 1.39 | -0.50 | -0.31 |
| Sun 13/09 | Austria Wien | 1.48 | 1.52 | -0.04 | -0.27 |
| Sat 19/09 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 0.85 | 0.73 | +0.12 | -0.21 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.18 npxG and 1.39 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 11 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
- −0.17 xG vs league average
- Over 7 league matches
- Last 5
- number 10 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
- −0.14 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.17 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 11 hardest of 12
- SC Rheindorf Altach Home −0.18
- Austria Wien Away −0.22
- WSG Tirol Home −0.25
- SK Sturm Graz Away +0.41
- Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48
- Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
- SV Ried Home −0.17
Last 5
−0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 12
- SC Rheindorf Altach Home −0.18
- Austria Wien Away −0.22
- WSG Tirol Home −0.25
- SK Sturm Graz Away +0.41
- Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48
SC Austria Lustenau shots and chance quality
Average volume, low quality. SC Austria Lustenau take 14.1 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #6 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #10 for quality. 54% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 27%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 21.0 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 20.4 |
| =3 | SK Rapid Wien | 16.1 |
| =3 | SK Sturm Graz | 16.1 |
| #5 | SV Ried | 15.6 |
| #6 | SC Austria Lustenau | 14.1 |
| #7 | Grazer AK 1902 | 12.7 |
| #8 | Wolfsberger AC | 11.9 |
| #9 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 11.7 |
| #10 | WSG Tirol | 11.0 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | 9.6 |
| #12 | TSV Hartberg | 9.0 |
- League avg
- 14.1
- Total
- 99 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | SK Rapid Wien | 0.13 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0.13 |
| #3 | LASK | 0.11 |
| #4 | SV Ried | 0.11 |
| #5 | WSG Tirol | 0.10 |
| #6 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 0.10 |
| #7 | TSV Hartberg | 0.10 |
| #8 | Wolfsberger AC | 0.09 |
| #9 | SK Sturm Graz | 0.09 |
| #10 | SC Austria Lustenau | 0.08 |
| #11 | Grazer AK 1902 | 0.08 |
| #12 | Austria Wien | 0.08 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 8.26 npxG from 99 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 7.7 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 11.0 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 12.1 |
| #4 | WSG Tirol | 12.4 |
| #5 | Austria Wien | 13.0 |
| =6 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 13.9 |
| =6 | SK Sturm Graz | 13.9 |
| #8 | SC Austria Lustenau | 15.0 |
| #9 | Grazer AK 1902 | 16.1 |
| #10 | SV Ried | 17.0 |
| #11 | Wolfsberger AC | 17.6 |
| #12 | TSV Hartberg | 19.6 |
- League avg
- 14.1
- Total
- 105 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | SK Sturm Graz | 0.08 |
| #2 | SV Ried | 0.09 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 0.09 |
| #4 | TSV Hartberg | 0.09 |
| #5 | SC Austria Lustenau | 0.09 |
| #6 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0.09 |
| #7 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 0.09 |
| #8 | Grazer AK 1902 | 0.10 |
| #9 | LASK | 0.10 |
| #10 | Wolfsberger AC | 0.13 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | 0.14 |
| #12 | WSG Tirol | 0.14 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 9.74 npxGA from 105 shots
Shot profile
54% inside the box
League avg 62%
From 53 of 99 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
73% allowed inside the box
League avg 62%
From 77 of 105 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
80% open play · 20% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 1.7 of 8.3 npxG over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
69% open play · 31% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 3.0 of 9.8 npxG allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
SC Austria Lustenau home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| xG / match | 1.41 | 1.00 |
| xGA / match | 1.98 | 1.76 |
| xGD / match | -0.57 | -0.76 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.03 | 0.80 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every SC Austria Lustenau match by xG
At home this season
- Matches
- 4
- xG / match
- 1.41
- xGA / match
- 1.98
- xGD / match
- -0.57
- Points
- 7 of 12
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.13. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
SC Austria Lustenau in Austrian Bundesliga
Attack
- xG / match #8 of 12
- Shots / match #6 of 12
- Chance quality #10 of 12
- Home xG #6 of 12
- Away xG #10 of 12
Defence
- xGA / match #10 of 12
- Shots allowed #8 of 12
- Chance quality allowed #5 of 12
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.