xgEdge

Expected goals

SK Rapid Wien expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

SK Rapid Wien's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SK Rapid Wien xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.26 xG per match
#3/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
15.84 7 matches
Defence
1.10 xGA per match
#3/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
7.72 7 matches
xG difference
+1.16 xGD per match
#3/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
+8.12 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.95 xPts per match
#3/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
13.66 vs 18 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SK Rapid Wien's underlying numbers are among the best in Austrian Bundesliga. They rank #3 for xG difference at +1.16 per match, driven by both elite shot volume and the league's best chance quality. Their 21 goals are 5.16 above 15.84 xG, while 18 points are 4.34 above 13.66 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.99 xG from penalties
21 15.84 +5.16 scored 5.16 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 7.72 -0.72 conceded 0.72 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
18 13.66 +4.34 4.34 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SK Rapid Wien are 5.16 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
21
xG
15.84
Gap
+5.16
Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 12/09 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 -0.63 -0.40 +2.11 +3.10 +3.08 +5.03 +5.16 -0.63 +0.23 +2.51 +0.99 -0.02 +1.95 +0.13 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SK Rapid Wien: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 1 1.63 -0.63 -0.63
Sun 09/08 SV Ried 2 1.77 +0.23 -0.40
Sun 16/08 Grazer AK 1902 8 5.49 +2.51 +2.11
Sun 30/08 SK Sturm Graz 3 2.01 +0.99 +3.10
Wed 02/09 Red Bull Salzburg 1 1.02 -0.02 +3.08
Sat 12/09 Wolfsberger AC 3 1.05 +1.95 +5.03
Fri 18/09 WSG Tirol 3 2.87 +0.13 +5.16

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SK Rapid Wien xG trend

Current form +1.14 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against Red Bull Salzburg on Wed 02/09 (-1.88).

npxG · last 6
2.24
npxGA · last 6
1.10
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +0.25 Sun 02/08 +0.33 Sun 09/08 +5.12 Sun 16/08 +0.52 Sun 30/08 -1.88 Wed 02/09 +0.27 Sat 12/09 +2.49 Fri 18/09 +1.01 season avg
SK Rapid Wien: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.40 1.15 +0.25 +0.25
Sun 09/08 SV Ried 1.63 1.30 +0.33 +0.29
Sun 16/08 Grazer AK 1902 5.88 0.76 +5.12 +1.90
Sun 30/08 SK Sturm Graz 1.23 0.71 +0.52 +1.56
Wed 02/09 Red Bull Salzburg 0.95 2.83 -1.88 +0.87
Sat 12/09 Wolfsberger AC 0.91 0.64 +0.27 +0.77
Fri 18/09 WSG Tirol 2.85 0.36 +2.49 +1.01

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.12 npxG and 1.11 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 9 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 9 hardest of 12

  1. WSG Tirol Home −0.25
  2. Wolfsberger AC Away −0.48
  3. Red Bull Salzburg Away +0.74
  4. SK Sturm Graz Home +0.41
  5. Grazer AK 1902 Home −0.29
  6. SV Ried Away −0.17
  7. SC Rheindorf Altach Home −0.18

Last 5

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 12

  1. WSG Tirol Home −0.25
  2. Wolfsberger AC Away −0.48
  3. Red Bull Salzburg Away +0.74
  4. SK Sturm Graz Home +0.41
  5. Grazer AK 1902 Home −0.29

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SK Rapid Wien shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. SK Rapid Wien take 16.1 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =3 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #1 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 16% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.1 shots per match
=3/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
113 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#1/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
14.85 npxG from 113 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.1 shots per match
#3/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
85 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#3/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
7.75 npxGA from 85 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 77 of 113 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

49% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 42 of 85 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.4 of 14.8 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

85% open play · 15% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.2 of 7.8 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

SK Rapid Wien home and away xG

SK Rapid Wien per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 3.00 1.28
xGA / match 0.78 1.53
xGD / match +2.22 -0.25
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.44 1.29

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SK Rapid Wien match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
2.49
xGA / match
1.07
xGD / match
+1.42
Points
12 of 15
  1. Fri 18/09 WSG Tirol H xG 2.87 xGA 0.36 xGD +2.51
  2. Sat 12/09 Wolfsberger AC A xG 1.05 xGA 0.77 xGD +0.28
  3. Wed 02/09 Red Bull Salzburg A Weakest underlying xG 1.02 xGA 2.75 xGD -1.73
  4. Sun 30/08 SK Sturm Graz H xG 2.01 P xGA 0.72 xGD +1.29
  5. Sun 16/08 Grazer AK 1902 H Best underlying xG 5.49 xGA 0.76 xGD +4.73

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 5.49. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SK Rapid Wien in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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