xgEdge

WSG Tirol's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

3 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss

2 pts 3–6 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.15 – 6.50
1.72 – 2.17 per match
xGD
-1.35
-0.45 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

2 pts 3.5 xPts

−1.5 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · Austrian Bundesliga · Home

WSG Tirol's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 3 matches, for −1.35 xG difference overall on 5.15–6.50. Their points total of 2 sits 1.5 below the model's 3.5 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results WSG Tirol are 1.51 points below their xPts.

Points
2
xPts
3.51
Gap
-1.51
Sat 01/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 13/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.56 -0.48 -1.51 +0.56 -1.04 -1.03 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
WSG Tirol: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 01/08 SK Sturm Graz 1 0.44 +0.56 +0.56
Sun 16/08 Red Bull Salzburg 0 1.04 -1.04 -0.48
Sun 13/09 TSV Hartberg 1 2.03 -1.03 -1.51

Scores and xG

WSG Tirol first

  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 1.47

    xGA 0.71

    xGD +0.76

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · TSV Hartberg, Sun 13/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.02
    Points minus xPts
    -1.02

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 2.81

    xGA 3.47

    xGD -0.66

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Red Bull Salzburg, Sun 16/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.05
    Points minus xPts
    -1.05

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 0.87

    xGA 2.32

    xGD -1.45

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sturm Graz, Sat 01/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.44
    Points minus xPts
    +0.56

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →