xgEdge

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Eintracht Frankfurt Home 1.21 xG · 11 shots
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 0.89 xG · 11 shots
13 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 26' Arthur Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.11 xG chance 0–1
  2. 33' Malik Tillman Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.07 xG chance 0–2
  3. 50' Robin Koch Eintracht Frankfurt · 0.44 xG chance 1–2
  4. 90' Aleix García Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.21 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Eintracht Frankfurt Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots
11
11
On target
4
4
Inside the box
9
5
xG per shot
0.11
0.08
Open play xG
0.44
0.83
Set-piece xG
0.80
0.02
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.26 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.89 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Eintracht Frankfurt · Robin Koch · 50' · Goal · 7 m · 0.44 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Nathaniel Brown · 51' · No goal · 10 m · 0.27 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Aleix García · 90' · Goal · 6 m · 0.21 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Edmond Tapsoba · 45' · No goal · 9 m · 0.19 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Aurèle Amenda · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Arthur · 26' · Goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Aurèle Amenda · 89' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Robin Koch · 50' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Malik Tillman · 33' · Goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Exequiel Palacios · 76' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Exequiel Palacios · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Martin Terrier · 45' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab · 87' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Rasmus Kristensen · 32' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Arnaud Kalimuendo · 65' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Arthur · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Jarell Quansah · 17' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Arnaud Kalimuendo · 37' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Nathaniel Brown · 38' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Ezequiel Fernández · 56' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Arthur Theate · 67' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 82' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

22 shots · 2.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Eintracht Frankfurt

1.14 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • W 1.05 created, 0.62 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • D 1.59 created, 0.75 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • D 1.58 created, 2.38 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 0.98 created, 2.31 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • D 0.98 created, 1.96 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • L 0.65 created, 1.35 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.98 xG created 1.35 xGA

  • L 1.63 created, 1.28 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • W 2.07 created, 0.20 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 2.72 created, 1.77 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.96 created, 2.60 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • L 0.96 created, 1.55 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • W 2.56 created, 0.70 conceded against SV Werder Bremen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.