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Fixtures

Hamburger SV fixtures 2026/2027

Hamburger SV · Bundesliga 2026/2027 →

What Hamburger SV have left to play in Bundesliga 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

30 matches ahead in Bundesliga

Run difficulty 3.7 of 5 Difficult
Projected xG / match 1.30
Projected xGA / match 1.77
Projected xPts 31.8 / 90

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 30 matches ahead of Hamburger SV in Bundesliga rates 3.7 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Difficult. 19 of them rate harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 1.30 projected xG a match from them and 31.8 of the 90 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is FC Bayern München away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 85/99 and a defence rated 78/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

The first 10 of the 30 matches in this run. The list below carries every one of them.

Kindest fixture

FC Schalke 04 home Sat 12/12

3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 32/99

Projected xG 1.62 – 1.37 Hamburger SV win 42%

Toughest fixture

FC Bayern München away Sat 03/04

5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 85/99, defence 78/99

Projected xG 0.91 – 2.66 Hamburger SV win 8%

  • Open the match page for TSG Hoffenheim

    Sat 10/10 Away TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.12 – 2.15 Projected xPts 0.72
  • Open the match page for VfB Stuttgart

    Sat 17/10 Home VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 67/99, defence 44/99
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.79 Projected xPts 1.17
  • Open the match page for SC Paderborn 07

    Sat 24/10 Away SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 48/99
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.66 Projected xPts 1.00
  • Open the match page for Eintracht Frankfurt

    Sun 01/11 Away Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 41/99
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.73 Projected xPts 1.00
  • Open the match page for Borussia M'gladbach

    Fri 06/11 Home Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 31/99
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.39 Projected xPts 1.53
  • Open the match page for SV Werder Bremen

    Sun 22/11 Away SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 65/99
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.67 Projected xPts 0.90
  • Open the match page for FC Bayern München

    Sat 28/11 Home FC Bayern München Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 85/99, defence 78/99
    Projected xG 1.15 – 2.11 Projected xPts 0.75
  • Open the match page for 1. FC Union Berlin

    Sat 05/12 Away 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 37/99
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.68 Projected xPts 1.06
  • Open the match page for FC Schalke 04

    Sat 12/12 Home FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.37 Projected xPts 1.53
  • Open the match page for SV 07 Elversberg

    Sat 19/12 Away SV 07 Elversberg Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 39/99, defence 31/99
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.80 Projected xPts 1.03
  • Open the match page for Bayer 04 Leverkusen

    Sat 09/01 Home Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 74/99
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.88 Projected xPts 0.91
  • Open the match page for SC Freiburg

    Wed 13/01 Away SC Freiburg Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 63/99
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.97 Projected xPts 0.75
  • Open the match page for FC Augsburg

    Sat 16/01 Home FC Augsburg Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 19/99
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.55 Projected xPts 1.52
  • Open the match page for Borussia Dortmund

    Sat 23/01 Home Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 51/99, defence 79/99
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.58 Projected xPts 1.03
  • Open the match page for 1. FSV Mainz 05

    Sat 30/01 Away 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 57/99
    Projected xG 1.10 – 2.18 Projected xPts 0.69
  • Open the match page for RB Leipzig

    Sat 06/02 Home RB Leipzig Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 72/99, defence 60/99
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.86 Projected xPts 1.02
  • Open the match page for 1. FC Köln

    Sat 13/02 Away 1. FC Köln Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 50/99
    Projected xG 1.15 – 2.06 Projected xPts 0.78
  • Open the match page for TSG Hoffenheim

    Sat 20/02 Home TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.71 Projected xPts 1.15
  • Open the match page for VfB Stuttgart

    Sat 27/02 Away VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 67/99, defence 44/99
    Projected xG 1.20 – 2.25 Projected xPts 0.72
  • Open the match page for SC Paderborn 07

    Wed 03/03 Home SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 48/99
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.32 Projected xPts 1.45
  • Open the match page for Eintracht Frankfurt

    Sat 06/03 Home Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 41/99
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.47
  • Open the match page for Borussia M'gladbach

    Sat 13/03 Away Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 31/99
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.74 Projected xPts 1.05
  • Open the match page for SV Werder Bremen

    Sat 20/03 Home SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 65/99
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.33 Projected xPts 1.32
  • Open the match page for FC Bayern München

    Sat 03/04 Away FC Bayern München Bundesliga

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 85/99, defence 78/99
    Projected xG 0.91 – 2.66 Projected xPts 0.41
  • Open the match page for 1. FC Union Berlin

    Sat 10/04 Home 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 37/99
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.33 Projected xPts 1.52
  • Open the match page for FC Schalke 04

    Sat 17/04 Away FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.72 Projected xPts 1.06
  • Open the match page for SV 07 Elversberg

    Sat 24/04 Home SV 07 Elversberg Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 39/99, defence 31/99
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.43 Projected xPts 1.51
  • Open the match page for Bayer 04 Leverkusen

    Sat 08/05 Away Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 74/99
    Projected xG 0.95 – 2.36 Projected xPts 0.53
  • Open the match page for SC Freiburg

    Sat 15/05 Home SC Freiburg Bundesliga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 63/99
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.57 Projected xPts 1.18
  • Open the match page for FC Augsburg

    Sat 22/05 Away FC Augsburg Bundesliga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 19/99
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.95 Projected xPts 1.02

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Bundesliga.

Fixture difficulty in Bundesliga

Reads each matchup for Hamburger SV: the band is cut from the model's chances of Hamburger SV winning and losing the match, so Hamburger SV's own strength and home advantage are in it.

3.7 Hamburger SV's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Upcoming opponent strength

number 14 hardest of 18 in Bundesliga

−0.12 xG vs league average

Over 5 upcoming league fixtures

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Bundesliga's average club, with no venue and nothing of Hamburger SV's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Upcoming

−0.12 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 14 hardest of 18

  1. TSG Hoffenheim Away +0.19
  2. VfB Stuttgart Home +0.17
  3. SC Paderborn 07 Away −0.28
  4. Eintracht Frankfurt Away −0.29
  5. Borussia M'gladbach Home −0.39

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Bundesliga and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →

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