RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Union Berlin: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Friday, 24/04/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig Home 4.49 xG · 20 shots

1. FC Union Berlin Away 0.19 xG · 4 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

22' Max Finkgräfe RB Leipzig · 0.08 xG chance 1–0
25' Rômulo RB Leipzig · 0.91 xG chance 2–0
63' Ridle Baku RB Leipzig · 0.24 xG chance 3–0
78' Danilho Doekhi 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.10 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

RB Leipzig 1. FC Union Berlin

Shots: 20; 4
On target: 10; 1
Inside the box: 14; 3
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.05
Open play xG: 3.61; 0.02
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 4.22 for RB Leipzig and 0.18 for 1. FC Union Berlin.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 4.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RB Leipzig
1. FC Union Berlin
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RB Leipzig

1.96 xG created 1.57 xGA

W 2.26 created, 2.88 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 1.12 created, 1.20 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 2.39 created, 0.78 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.49 created, 1.34 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 2.43 created, 1.78 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 2.09 created, 1.45 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

1. FC Union Berlin

1.11 xG created 1.83 xGA

L 1.16 created, 1.96 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 0.54 created, 1.11 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.21 created, 5.53 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 1.95 created, 0.33 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.99 created, 1.85 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.79 created, 0.19 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

RB Leipzig: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

1. FC Union Berlin 3:1 RB Leipzig 12/12/2025 xG 1.42 – 0.55

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.