VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht Frankfurt: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 2.33 xG · 22 shots

Eintracht Frankfurt Away 1.29 xG · 10 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

21' Oscar Højlund Eintracht Frankfurt · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
32' Arnaud Kalimuendo Eintracht Frankfurt · 0.38 xG chance 0–2
90' Dženan Pejčinović VfL Wolfsburg · 0.34 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg Eintracht Frankfurt

Shots: 22; 10
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 13; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.91; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.66
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.16 for VfL Wolfsburg and 1.39 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 3.51 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

1.21 xG created 2.19 xGA

L 1.59 created, 1.79 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.80 created, 3.06 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.84 created, 1.82 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 0.27 created, 1.86 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.76 created, 0.37 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 2.02 created, 4.25 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Eintracht Frankfurt

1.39 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 2.35 created, 2.79 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.08 created, 0.55 conceded against SC Freiburg
D 0.41 created, 0.48 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 0.92 created, 0.15 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.23 created, 1.55 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
D 2.34 created, 3.11 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg 30/11/2025 xG 1.59 – 1.86

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.