Saturday, 07/11/2026 at 16:00
8d 5h to kick-offCharlton Athletic – Sheffield United
- Charlton Athletic
- 34%
- Fair 2.92 Fair odds 2.92
- Draw
- 31%
- Fair 3.22 Fair odds 3.22
- Sheffield United
- 35%
- Fair 2.89 Fair odds 2.89
No prices yet
No bookmaker has priced this match yet, so there is nothing to hold the model's numbers against. How this is decided →
- Charlton Athletic 20/20
- Sheffield United 20/20
- Model updated 30 October, 09:30
- Odds not yet available
Where the model disagrees with the market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Recent form
- L 0.63 created, 1.57 conceded against Wolverhampton
- L 0.48 created, 0.54 conceded against Stoke City
- W 0.68 created, 1.39 conceded against Lincoln City
- L 2.01 created, 2.22 conceded against Portsmouth
- W 1.18 created, 0.50 conceded against Bristol City
- D 2.47 created, 1.09 conceded against Derby County
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Goals & scorelines
- Total goals
- 2.58
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- Sheffield United 2+ goals
- 38%
- Sheffield United clean sheet
- 25%
Most likely scorelines
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 35% of the model's distribution.
- 1:1
- 15.8%
- 1:2
- 9.4%
- 2:1
- 9.3%
Why the model leans Sheffield United, but not by much
Attack, defence and recent form all point to Sheffield United.
- Attack
- Favours Sheffield United
- 15th vs 22nd
- Sheffield United attack v Charlton Athletic defence
- Defence
- Favours Sheffield United
- 19th vs 23rd
- Sheffield United defence v Charlton Athletic attack
- Recent xG form
- Favours Sheffield United
- +0.02 vs -0.33
- xGD per match, last 6
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | Charlton Athletic | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 0.99 · 22nd | (better) 1.18 · 18th |
| xGA / match | 1.58 · 18th | (better) 1.46 · 13th |
| xGD / match | -0.60 · 20th | (better) -0.28 · 17th |
| xPts / match | 0.97 · 21st | (better) 1.17 · 17th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.33 | (better) +0.02 |
Head to head
Charlton Athletic 2 Draws 0 Sheffield United 0
Got a different price?
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How the edge is calculated
Edge is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
What the model doesn't know
It reads expected goals and nothing else — not the lineups, injuries or suspensions, what either side is playing for, the weather or a congested schedule.
Model details- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Charlton Athletic sample
- 20 matches
- Sheffield United sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · Charlton Athletic
- 6 matches
- Away xG sample · Sheffield United
- 6 matches
- Computed
- Friday, 30/10/2026 at 09:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.