What AEL Limassol have left to play in Cypriot First Division 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
4 matches ahead in Cypriot First Division
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 4 matches ahead of AEL Limassol in Cypriot First Division rates 3.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 1 of them rates easier than balanced, and 1 of them rates harder than balanced. The model expects 1.15 projected xG a match from them and 4.6 of the 12 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Omonia Nicosia away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 87/99 and a defence rated 76/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
ALS Omonia home Sun 11/10
Projected xG 1.55 – 1.10 AEL Limassol win 46%
Omonia Nicosia away Fri 30/10
Projected xG 0.81 – 1.93 AEL Limassol win 12%
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Open the match page for ALS Omonia
Sun 11/10 Home ALS Omonia Cypriot First Division
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 24/99Projected xG 1.55 – 1.10 Projected xPts 1.68- AEL Limassol
- 46%
- Draw
- 30%
- ALS Omonia
- 24%
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Open the match page for Omonia Aradippou
Fri 16/10 Away Omonia Aradippou Cypriot First Division
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 38/99Projected xG 1.20 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.21- Omonia Aradippou
- 39%
- Draw
- 31%
- AEL Limassol
- 30%
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Open the match page for Aris Limassol
Fri 23/10 Home Aris Limassol Cypriot First Division
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 68/99Projected xG 1.04 – 1.31 Projected xPts 1.12- AEL Limassol
- 27%
- Draw
- 32%
- Aris Limassol
- 41%
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Open the match page for Omonia Nicosia
Fri 30/10 Away Omonia Nicosia Cypriot First Division
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 87/99, defence 76/99Projected xG 0.81 – 1.93 Projected xPts 0.61- Omonia Nicosia
- 63%
- Draw
- 24%
- AEL Limassol
- 12%
Cypriot First Division publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
After the regular season Cypriot First Division splits into groups, and those fixtures are set once the table decides who is in which.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Cypriot First Division.
Fixture difficulty in Cypriot First Division
Reads each matchup for AEL Limassol: the band is cut from the model's chances of AEL Limassol winning and losing the match, so AEL Limassol's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 4 opponents
+0.16 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 4 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Cypriot First Division's average club, with no venue and nothing of AEL Limassol's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 4
+0.16 xG vs league average · over 4 fixtures
- ALS Omonia Home −0.42
- Omonia Aradippou Away −0.13
- Aris Limassol Home +0.33
- Omonia Nicosia Away +0.86
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Cypriot First Division and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.