Expected goals

Akritas Chlorakas expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Cypriot First Division · after 33 matches · updated 4 Oct

Akritas Chlorakas's attacking and defensive expected goals in Cypriot First Division 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Akritas Chlorakas xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓

Attack

1.14 xG per match

#10/14

Attack (xG per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	xG per match
#1	Omonia Nicosia	2.26
#2	AEK Larnaca	1.72
#3	Aris Limassol	1.68
#4	Pafos FC	1.63
#5	Apollon Limassol	1.57
#6	APOEL Nicosia	1.37
#7	Omonia Aradippou	1.26
#8	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	1.20
#9	Anorthosis Famagusta	1.16
#10	Akritas Chlorakas	1.14
#11	Ethnikos Achnas	1.14
#12	AEL Limassol	1.06
#13	Olympiakos Nicosia	0.97
#14	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0.51

League avg: 1.35
Total: 37.64 33 matches

Defence

1.50 xGA per match

#9/14

Defence (xGA per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	xGA per match
#1	Omonia Nicosia	0.83
#2	Apollon Limassol	0.98
#3	Aris Limassol	1.10
#4	APOEL Nicosia	1.10
#5	AEK Larnaca	1.13
#6	Pafos FC	1.25
#7	Anorthosis Famagusta	1.46
#8	AEL Limassol	1.48
#9	Akritas Chlorakas	1.50
#10	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	1.51
#11	Omonia Aradippou	1.52
#12	Olympiakos Nicosia	1.53
#13	Ethnikos Achnas	1.58
#14	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	2.17

League avg: 1.35
Total: 49.42 33 matches

xG difference

-0.36 xGD per match

#10/14

xG difference (xGD per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	xGD per match
#1	Omonia Nicosia	+1.43
#2	Apollon Limassol	+0.59
#3	AEK Larnaca	+0.59
#4	Aris Limassol	+0.58
#5	Pafos FC	+0.38
#6	APOEL Nicosia	+0.27
#7	Omonia Aradippou	-0.26
#8	Anorthosis Famagusta	-0.30
#9	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	-0.32
#10	Akritas Chlorakas	-0.36
#11	AEL Limassol	-0.42
#12	Ethnikos Achnas	-0.44
#13	Olympiakos Nicosia	-0.56
#14	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	-1.65

League avg: 0.00
Total: -11.78 33 matches

Expected points Model

1.19 xPts per match

#10/14

Expected points (xPts per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	xPts per match
#1	Omonia Nicosia	2.24
#2	Apollon Limassol	1.79
#3	Aris Limassol	1.76
#4	AEK Larnaca	1.66
#5	Pafos FC	1.55
#6	APOEL Nicosia	1.52
#7	Omonia Aradippou	1.25
#8	Anorthosis Famagusta	1.24
#9	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	1.19
#10	Akritas Chlorakas	1.19
#11	AEL Limassol	1.16
#12	Ethnikos Achnas	1.15
#13	Olympiakos Nicosia	0.98
#14	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0.44

League avg: 1.39
Total: 39.13 vs 35 actual pts

What the xG says

Akritas Chlorakas's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Cypriot First Division. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.36 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 31 goals are 6.64 below 37.64 xG, while 35 points are 4.13 below 39.13 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected

Goals vs xG Includes 4.14 xG from penalties

31 37.64 -6.64 scored 6.64 fewer than xG outside normal variance

Goals conceded vs xGA

58 49.42 +8.58 conceded 8.58 more than xGA outside normal variance

Points vs xPts Model

35 39.13 -4.13 4.13 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Akritas Chlorakas are 6.64 goals below their xG after 33 matches.

Goals: 31
xG: 37.64
Gap: -6.64

Akritas Chlorakas: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Goals	xG	Match gap	Running gap
Sun 24/08	Ethnikos Achnas	0	0.28	-0.28	-0.28
Fri 29/08	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	1	0.65	+0.35	+0.07
Sat 13/09	Omonia Nicosia	0	0.70	-0.70	-0.63
Sat 20/09	APOEL Nicosia	0	0.38	-0.38	-1.01
Sat 27/09	AEL Limassol	2	1.09	+0.91	-0.10
Sat 04/10	Apollon Limassol	0	0.69	-0.69	-0.79
Sat 18/10	Anorthosis Famagusta	2	1.69	+0.31	-0.48
Sun 26/10	Omonia Aradippou	0	1.61	-1.61	-2.09
Fri 31/10	Aris Limassol	1	0.37	+0.63	-1.46
Sat 08/11	Olympiakos Nicosia	1	1.74	-0.74	-2.20
Mon 24/11	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	3	1.62	+1.38	-0.82
Mon 01/12	AEK Larnaca	1	0.57	+0.43	-0.39
Fri 05/12	Pafos FC	0	1.39	-1.39	-1.78
Sat 13/12	Ethnikos Achnas	3	0.79	+2.21	+0.43
Sat 20/12	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	1	0.81	+0.19	+0.62
Sat 03/01	Omonia Nicosia	0	0.99	-0.99	-0.37
Sat 10/01	APOEL Nicosia	1	0.71	+0.29	-0.08
Sat 17/01	AEL Limassol	0	0.69	-0.69	-0.77
Sat 24/01	Apollon Limassol	0	0.32	-0.32	-1.09
Sun 01/02	Anorthosis Famagusta	2	1.87	+0.13	-0.96
Mon 09/02	Omonia Aradippou	0	0.76	-0.76	-1.72
Sat 14/02	Aris Limassol	1	0.83	+0.17	-1.55
Sat 21/02	Olympiakos Nicosia	3	2.08	+0.92	-0.63
Sun 01/03	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	1	1.00	+0.00	-0.63
Fri 06/03	AEK Larnaca	0	1.29	-1.29	-1.92
Sat 14/03	Pafos FC	0	0.59	-0.59	-2.51
Sat 21/03	Anorthosis Famagusta	2	0.80	+1.20	-1.31
Mon 06/04	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	0	1.12	-1.12	-2.43
Sun 19/04	Olympiakos Nicosia	1	2.24	-1.24	-3.67
Sat 25/04	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	2	1.21	+0.79	-2.88
Fri 01/05	Ethnikos Achnas	1	1.59	-0.59	-3.47
Sat 09/05	Omonia Aradippou	1	1.54	-0.54	-4.01
Fri 15/05	AEL Limassol	1	3.63	-2.63	-6.64

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Akritas Chlorakas have conceded 8.58 more than their xGA after 33 matches. The gap was widest at +8.89, against Enosis Neon Ypsona FC on Mon 06/04.

Conceded: 58
xGA: 49.42
Gap: +8.58

Akritas Chlorakas: Goals conceded vs xGA, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Conceded	xGA	Match gap	Running gap
Sun 24/08	Ethnikos Achnas	0	0.81	-0.81	-0.81
Fri 29/08	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0	0.33	-0.33	-1.14
Sat 13/09	Omonia Nicosia	3	1.57	+1.43	+0.29
Sat 20/09	APOEL Nicosia	4	1.54	+2.46	+2.75
Sat 27/09	AEL Limassol	0	0.32	-0.32	+2.43
Sat 04/10	Apollon Limassol	2	1.29	+0.71	+3.14
Sat 18/10	Anorthosis Famagusta	2	1.28	+0.72	+3.86
Sun 26/10	Omonia Aradippou	1	0.90	+0.10	+3.96
Fri 31/10	Aris Limassol	3	3.12	-0.12	+3.84
Sat 08/11	Olympiakos Nicosia	1	0.67	+0.33	+4.17
Mon 24/11	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	0	0.40	-0.40	+3.77
Mon 01/12	AEK Larnaca	1	1.17	-0.17	+3.60
Fri 05/12	Pafos FC	4	1.81	+2.19	+5.79
Sat 13/12	Ethnikos Achnas	1	1.92	-0.92	+4.87
Sat 20/12	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0	0.68	-0.68	+4.19
Sat 03/01	Omonia Nicosia	4	5.23	-1.23	+2.96
Sat 10/01	APOEL Nicosia	2	2.83	-0.83	+2.13
Sat 17/01	AEL Limassol	2	0.67	+1.33	+3.46
Sat 24/01	Apollon Limassol	4	2.26	+1.74	+5.20
Sun 01/02	Anorthosis Famagusta	0	0.84	-0.84	+4.36
Mon 09/02	Omonia Aradippou	2	1.75	+0.25	+4.61
Sat 14/02	Aris Limassol	1	1.04	-0.04	+4.57
Sat 21/02	Olympiakos Nicosia	1	1.92	-0.92	+3.65
Sun 01/03	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	3	2.66	+0.34	+3.99
Fri 06/03	AEK Larnaca	3	2.89	+0.11	+4.10
Sat 14/03	Pafos FC	4	1.70	+2.30	+6.40
Sat 21/03	Anorthosis Famagusta	3	1.29	+1.71	+8.11
Mon 06/04	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	2	1.22	+0.78	+8.89
Sun 19/04	Olympiakos Nicosia	0	1.19	-1.19	+7.70
Sat 25/04	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	1	0.51	+0.49	+8.19
Fri 01/05	Ethnikos Achnas	0	0.94	-0.94	+7.25
Sat 09/05	Omonia Aradippou	2	1.87	+0.13	+7.38
Fri 15/05	AEL Limassol	2	0.80	+1.20	+8.58

Points minus xPts, match by match

Akritas Chlorakas are 4.13 points below their xPts after 33 matches.

Points: 35
xPts: 39.13
Gap: -4.13

Akritas Chlorakas: Points vs xPts, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Points	xPts	Match gap	Running gap
Sun 24/08	Ethnikos Achnas	1	0.69	+0.31	+0.31
Fri 29/08	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	3	1.65	+1.35	+1.66
Sat 13/09	Omonia Nicosia	0	0.65	-0.65	+1.01
Sat 20/09	APOEL Nicosia	0	0.41	-0.41	+0.60
Sat 27/09	AEL Limassol	3	2.12	+0.88	+1.48
Sat 04/10	Apollon Limassol	0	0.81	-0.81	+0.67
Sat 18/10	Anorthosis Famagusta	1	1.69	-0.69	-0.02
Sun 26/10	Omonia Aradippou	0	1.94	-1.94	-1.96
Fri 31/10	Aris Limassol	0	0.08	-0.08	-2.04
Sat 08/11	Olympiakos Nicosia	1	2.24	-1.24	-3.28
Mon 24/11	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	3	2.39	+0.61	-2.67
Mon 01/12	AEK Larnaca	1	0.78	+0.22	-2.45
Fri 05/12	Pafos FC	0	1.07	-1.07	-3.52
Sat 13/12	Ethnikos Achnas	3	0.54	+2.46	-1.06
Sat 20/12	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	3	1.45	+1.55	+0.49
Sat 03/01	Omonia Nicosia	0	0.04	-0.04	+0.45
Sat 10/01	APOEL Nicosia	0	0.22	-0.22	+0.23
Sat 17/01	AEL Limassol	0	1.32	-1.32	-1.09
Sat 24/01	Apollon Limassol	0	0.18	-0.18	-1.27
Sun 01/02	Anorthosis Famagusta	3	2.16	+0.84	-0.43
Mon 09/02	Omonia Aradippou	0	0.59	-0.59	-1.02
Sat 14/02	Aris Limassol	1	1.13	-0.13	-1.15
Sat 21/02	Olympiakos Nicosia	3	1.49	+1.51	+0.36
Sun 01/03	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	0	0.39	-0.39	-0.03
Fri 06/03	AEK Larnaca	0	0.46	-0.46	-0.49
Sat 14/03	Pafos FC	0	0.50	-0.50	-0.99
Sat 21/03	Anorthosis Famagusta	0	0.91	-0.91	-1.90
Mon 06/04	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	0	1.27	-1.27	-3.17
Sun 19/04	Olympiakos Nicosia	3	2.12	+0.88	-2.29
Sat 25/04	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	3	1.99	+1.01	-1.28
Fri 01/05	Ethnikos Achnas	3	1.90	+1.10	-0.18
Sat 09/05	Omonia Aradippou	0	1.13	-1.13	-1.31
Fri 15/05	AEL Limassol	0	2.82	-2.82	-4.13

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Akritas Chlorakas xG trend

Current form +0.55 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 14 of 33 matches. The worst was against Omonia Nicosia on Sat 03/01 (-4.24).

npxG · last 6: 1.64
npxGA · last 6: 1.09

Akritas Chlorakas: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date	Opponent	npxG	npxGA	npxGD	Avg so far
Sun 24/08	Ethnikos Achnas	0.28	0.81	-0.53	-0.53
Fri 29/08	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0.65	0.33	+0.32	-0.11
Sat 13/09	Omonia Nicosia	0.71	1.57	-0.86	-0.36
Sat 20/09	APOEL Nicosia	0.38	1.54	-1.16	-0.56
Sat 27/09	AEL Limassol	1.09	0.32	+0.77	-0.29
Sat 04/10	Apollon Limassol	0.69	1.28	-0.59	-0.34
Sat 18/10	Anorthosis Famagusta	1.69	1.28	+0.41	-0.23
Sun 26/10	Omonia Aradippou	0.86	0.90	-0.04	-0.21
Fri 31/10	Aris Limassol	0.37	2.37	-2.00	-0.41
Sat 08/11	Olympiakos Nicosia	0.98	0.67	+0.31	-0.34
Mon 24/11	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	0.86	0.40	+0.46	-0.26
Mon 01/12	AEK Larnaca	0.57	1.17	-0.60	-0.29
Fri 05/12	Pafos FC	1.49	1.81	-0.32	-0.29
Sat 13/12	Ethnikos Achnas	0.79	1.16	-0.37	-0.30
Sat 20/12	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0.81	0.68	+0.13	-0.27
Sat 03/01	Omonia Nicosia	0.99	5.23	-4.24	-0.52
Sat 10/01	APOEL Nicosia	0.71	1.31	-0.60	-0.52
Sat 17/01	AEL Limassol	0.69	0.67	+0.02	-0.49
Sat 24/01	Apollon Limassol	0.33	2.26	-1.93	-0.57
Sun 01/02	Anorthosis Famagusta	1.87	0.84	+1.03	-0.49
Mon 09/02	Omonia Aradippou	0.00	1.75	-1.75	-0.55
Sat 14/02	Aris Limassol	1.11	1.04	+0.07	-0.52
Sat 21/02	Olympiakos Nicosia	2.08	1.16	+0.92	-0.46
Sun 01/03	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	1.00	1.90	-0.90	-0.48
Fri 06/03	AEK Larnaca	1.29	2.89	-1.60	-0.52
Sat 14/03	Pafos FC	0.59	1.70	-1.11	-0.54
Sat 21/03	Anorthosis Famagusta	0.80	0.63	+0.17	-0.52
Mon 06/04	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	1.12	1.23	-0.11	-0.50
Sun 19/04	Olympiakos Nicosia	2.25	1.19	+1.06	-0.45
Sat 25/04	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	1.21	0.51	+0.70	-0.41
Fri 01/05	Ethnikos Achnas	0.83	0.94	-0.11	-0.40
Sat 09/05	Omonia Aradippou	1.54	1.87	-0.33	-0.40
Fri 15/05	AEL Limassol	2.87	0.80	+2.07	-0.32

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.02 npxG and 1.34 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far: tied number 8 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division; −0.05 xG vs league average; Over 33 league matches
Last 5: number 10 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division; −0.35 xG vs league average; Over 5 league matches

Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 33 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 14

AEL Limassol Home −0.21
Omonia Aradippou Away −0.01
Ethnikos Achnas Home −0.21
Enosis Neon Paralimniou Away −1.16
Olympiakos Nicosia Away −0.18
Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Home −0.29
Anorthosis Famagusta Away −0.27
Pafos FC Home +0.45
AEK Larnaca Away +0.23
Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Home −0.29
Olympiakos Nicosia Away −0.18
Aris Limassol Home +0.51
Omonia Aradippou Away −0.01
Anorthosis Famagusta Home −0.27
Apollon Limassol Away +0.52
AEL Limassol Home −0.21
APOEL Nicosia Away +0.16
Omonia Nicosia Home +0.77
Enosis Neon Paralimniou Away −1.16
Ethnikos Achnas Home −0.21
Pafos FC Away +0.45
AEK Larnaca Home +0.23
Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.29
Olympiakos Nicosia Home −0.18
Aris Limassol Away +0.51
Omonia Aradippou Home −0.01
Anorthosis Famagusta Away −0.27
Apollon Limassol Home +0.52
AEL Limassol Away −0.21
APOEL Nicosia Home +0.16
Omonia Nicosia Away +0.77
Enosis Neon Paralimniou Home −1.16
Ethnikos Achnas Away −0.21

Last 5

−0.35 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 14

AEL Limassol Home −0.21
Omonia Aradippou Away −0.01
Ethnikos Achnas Home −0.21
Enosis Neon Paralimniou Away −1.16
Olympiakos Nicosia Away −0.18

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Akritas Chlorakas shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Akritas Chlorakas take 8.9 shots a match (league 10.9) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #13 in Cypriot First Division for volume and #5 for quality. 59% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume

8.9 shots per match

#13/14

Shot volume (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Omonia Nicosia	14.0
#2	Aris Limassol	13.7
#3	Apollon Limassol	13.1
#4	APOEL Nicosia	12.9
#5	AEK Larnaca	12.2
#6	Omonia Aradippou	11.7
#7	Pafos FC	11.5
#8	Anorthosis Famagusta	9.8
=9	AEL Limassol	9.5
=9	Olympiakos Nicosia	9.5
#11	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	9.5
#12	Ethnikos Achnas	9.5
#13	Akritas Chlorakas	8.9
#14	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	5.3

League avg: 10.9
Total: 295 shots from 33 matches

Chance quality

0.11 npxG per shot

#5/14

Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	npxG per shot
#1	Omonia Nicosia	0.15
#2	Pafos FC	0.13
#3	AEK Larnaca	0.12
#4	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	0.11
#5	Akritas Chlorakas	0.11
#6	Ethnikos Achnas	0.11
#7	Apollon Limassol	0.11
#8	Aris Limassol	0.11
#9	Omonia Aradippou	0.10
#10	AEL Limassol	0.10
#11	Anorthosis Famagusta	0.09
#12	Olympiakos Nicosia	0.09
#13	APOEL Nicosia	0.09
#14	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0.08

League avg: 0.11
Total: 33.50 npxG from 295 shots

Defence

Shots allowed

12.8 shots per match

#13/14

Shots allowed (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Aris Limassol	8.6
#2	Apollon Limassol	9.1
#3	APOEL Nicosia	9.4
#4	Omonia Nicosia	9.6
#5	AEK Larnaca	9.7
#6	Anorthosis Famagusta	10.2
#7	AEL Limassol	10.4
#8	Pafos FC	10.4
#9	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	11.7
#10	Omonia Aradippou	11.8
#11	Olympiakos Nicosia	12.3
#12	Ethnikos Achnas	12.3
#13	Akritas Chlorakas	12.8
#14	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	15.4

League avg: 10.9
Total: 422 shots allowed from 33 matches

Chance quality allowed

0.10 npxGA per shot

#4/14

Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank	Club	npxGA per shot
#1	Omonia Nicosia	0.08
#2	Apollon Limassol	0.10
#3	Enosis Neon Ypsona FC	0.10
#4	Akritas Chlorakas	0.10
#5	Omonia Aradippou	0.11
#6	Pafos FC	0.11
#7	APOEL Nicosia	0.11
#8	Aris Limassol	0.11
#9	Ethnikos Achnas	0.11
#10	AEK Larnaca	0.11
#11	Olympiakos Nicosia	0.12
#12	Enosis Neon Paralimniou	0.12
#13	Anorthosis Famagusta	0.13
#14	AEL Limassol	0.14

League avg: 0.11
Total: 44.21 npxGA from 422 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

59% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 175 of 295 shots over 33 matches

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 256 of 422 shots allowed over 33 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Akritas Chlorakas home and away xG

Akritas Chlorakas per-match figures at home and away
Measure	Home	Away
Matches	16	17
xG / match	1.17	1.11
xGA / match	1.43	1.56
xGD / match	-0.26	-0.45
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →	1.24	1.13

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Akritas Chlorakas match by xG

Window

Season Last 10 Last 5

Venue

All Home Away

Sort

Date xGD

Last 10

Matches: 10
xG / match: 1.50
xGA / match: 1.51
xGD / match: -0.01
Points: 9 of 30

Date Opponent Score xG Chances xGA xGD xPts Model

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.63. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

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Akritas Chlorakas in Cypriot First Division

Attack

xG / match #10 of 14
Shots / match #13 of 14
Chance quality #5 of 14
Home xG #10 of 14
Away xG #9 of 14

Defence

xGA / match #9 of 14
Shots allowed #13 of 14
Chance quality allowed #4 of 14

Overall

About the data

xG data: Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics: xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics: xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →