Cypriot First Division expected points table 2026/2027
Every Cypriot First Division club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
APOEL Nicosia lead on expected points with 7.86 over 4 matches with xG. That is 0.93 clear of Aris Limassol. Apollon Limassol sit 6 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 5 against 11 on expected points. APOEL Nicosia sit 8 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 9 against 1 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APOEL Nicosia APO | 4 | 4 | 7.86 | −3.86 | 9 | 8 places below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | Aris Limassol ARI | 4 | 5 | 6.94 | −1.94 | 8 | 6 places below its expected-points rank |
| 3 | Omonia Nicosia OMO | 4 | 8 | 6.78 | −1.78 | 3 | Same place as on expected points |
| 4 | Pafos FC PAF | 4 | 7 | 6.61 | +0.39 | 4 | Same place as on expected points |
| 5 | AEK Larnaca AEK | 4 | 9 | 6.12 | +2.88 | 1 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 6 | AEL Limassol AEL | 4 | 9 | 6.05 | +2.95 | 2 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 7 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC ENO | 4 | 0 | 4.85 | −4.85 | 14 | 7 places below its expected-points rank |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou OMO | 4 | 6 | 4.65 | +1.35 | 6 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 9 | Olympiakos Nicosia OLY | 4 | 4 | 4.44 | −1.44 | 10 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 10 | Anorthosis Famagusta ANO | 4 | 3 | 4.37 | −1.37 | 13 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 11 | Apollon Limassol APO | 4 | 6 | 4.17 | +1.83 | 5 | 6 places above its expected-points rank |
| 12 | Nea Salamina Famagusta NEA | 4 | 4 | 3.86 | +0.14 | 11 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 13 | ALS Omonia ALS | 4 | 5 | 3.04 | +0.96 | 7 | 6 places above its expected-points rank |
| 14 | Karmiotissa Polemidion KAR | 4 | 3 | 2.60 | +0.40 | 12 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
xG is available for 3 of 4 matches for Omonia Nicosia. xG is available for 3 of 4 matches for ALS Omonia. xG is available for 3 of 4 matches for Olympiakos Nicosia. xG is available for 3 of 4 matches for Enosis Neon Ypsona FC. For those clubs every expected figure counts only the matches with xG, and the goals it is compared with come from those same matches.
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.