xgEdge

AEK Larnaca right now

AEK Larnaca have made a strong start and sit 1st in Cypriot First Division. A +1.46 xG difference backs up 9 points from 4 matches, which suggests the results rest on strong underlying performances. They have outscored their 7.70 xG by 1.30, while conceding 2.24 fewer than the 6.24 xG against them. It is still early: all of this rests on 4 matches.

How AEK Larnaca compares

Open the match page for Omonia Aradippou

Next match Cypriot First Division · Mon 12/10

Home Omonia Aradippou

1.68 Projected expected goals 1.23
Model probability
AEK Larnaca
47%
Draw
28%
Omonia Aradippou
25%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for ALS Omonia

Last result Cypriot First Division · Fri 18/09

Away ALS Omonia

2:1 Win

Expected goals
3.21 – 1.42
xG difference
+1.79

A win the chances back up

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.0 0.0 Sat 29/08 Fri 18/09 Sat 29/08 APOEL Nicosia · Expected goals 0.44 Sun 06/09 Nea Salamina Famagusta · Expected goals 2.70 Sun 13/09 Pafos FC · Expected goals 1.35 Fri 18/09 ALS Omonia · Expected goals 3.21 Sat 29/08 APOEL Nicosia · Expected goals conceded 1.51 Sun 06/09 Nea Salamina Famagusta · Expected goals conceded 0.94 Sun 13/09 Pafos FC · Expected goals conceded 2.37 Fri 18/09 ALS Omonia · Expected goals conceded 1.42
The season so far 4 matches, as they add up +1.46 xG difference +0.37 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: AEK Larnaca's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 29/08 APOEL Nicosia Home 3:1 0.44 1.51 -1.07 3
Sun 06/09 Nea Salamina Famagusta Away 4:1 2.70 0.94 +1.76 4
Sun 13/09 Pafos FC Home 0:1 1.35 2.37 -1.02 0
Fri 18/09 ALS Omonia Away 2:1 3.21 1.42 +1.79 2
The season so far 7.70 6.24 9

Finishing

+1.30

Goals vs xG

Defending

-2.24

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+2.88

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Cypriot First Division 2026/2027 How the model works →