Expected goals
Enosis Neon Paralimniou expected goals (xG) 2025/2026
Cypriot First Division · after 30 matches · updated 1 Oct
Enosis Neon Paralimniou's attacking and defensive expected goals in Cypriot First Division 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Enosis Neon Paralimniou xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Omonia Nicosia | 2.26 |
| #2 | AEK Larnaca | 1.72 |
| #3 | Aris Limassol | 1.68 |
| #4 | Pafos FC | 1.63 |
| #5 | Apollon Limassol | 1.57 |
| #6 | APOEL Nicosia | 1.37 |
| #7 | Omonia Aradippou | 1.26 |
| #8 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 1.20 |
| #9 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1.16 |
| #10 | Akritas Chlorakas | 1.14 |
| #11 | Ethnikos Achnas | 1.14 |
| #12 | AEL Limassol | 1.06 |
| #13 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0.97 |
| #14 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | 0.51 |
- League avg
- 1.35
- Total
- 15.40 30 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Omonia Nicosia | 0.83 |
| #2 | Apollon Limassol | 0.98 |
| #3 | Aris Limassol | 1.10 |
| #4 | APOEL Nicosia | 1.10 |
| #5 | AEK Larnaca | 1.13 |
| #6 | Pafos FC | 1.25 |
| #7 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1.46 |
| #8 | AEL Limassol | 1.48 |
| #9 | Akritas Chlorakas | 1.50 |
| #10 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 1.51 |
| #11 | Omonia Aradippou | 1.52 |
| #12 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1.53 |
| #13 | Ethnikos Achnas | 1.58 |
| #14 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | 2.17 |
- League avg
- 1.35
- Total
- 65.00 30 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Omonia Nicosia | +1.43 |
| #2 | Apollon Limassol | +0.59 |
| #3 | AEK Larnaca | +0.59 |
| #4 | Aris Limassol | +0.58 |
| #5 | Pafos FC | +0.38 |
| #6 | APOEL Nicosia | +0.27 |
| #7 | Omonia Aradippou | -0.26 |
| #8 | Anorthosis Famagusta | -0.30 |
| #9 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | -0.32 |
| #10 | Akritas Chlorakas | -0.36 |
| #11 | AEL Limassol | -0.42 |
| #12 | Ethnikos Achnas | -0.44 |
| #13 | Olympiakos Nicosia | -0.56 |
| #14 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | -1.65 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -49.60 30 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Omonia Nicosia | 2.24 |
| #2 | Apollon Limassol | 1.79 |
| #3 | Aris Limassol | 1.76 |
| #4 | AEK Larnaca | 1.66 |
| #5 | Pafos FC | 1.55 |
| #6 | APOEL Nicosia | 1.52 |
| #7 | Omonia Aradippou | 1.25 |
| #8 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1.24 |
| #9 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 1.19 |
| #10 | Akritas Chlorakas | 1.19 |
| #11 | AEL Limassol | 1.16 |
| #12 | Ethnikos Achnas | 1.15 |
| #13 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0.98 |
| #14 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | 0.44 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 13.25 vs 5 actual pts
Expected goals here are summed over 30 of 33 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.
What the xG says
Enosis Neon Paralimniou's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Cypriot First Division. They rank #14 for xG difference at -1.65 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 8 goals are 7.40 below 15.40 xG, while 2 points are 11.25 below 13.25 xPts — both over the 30 matches with xG.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Enosis Neon Paralimniou are 7.40 goals below their xG after 30 matches. The gap was widest at -7.48, against AEL Limassol on Fri 17/04.
- Goals
- 8
- xG
- 15.40
- Gap
- -7.40
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 29/08 | Akritas Chlorakas | 0 | 0.33 | -0.33 | -0.33 |
| Sun 14/09 | APOEL Nicosia | 0 | 0.18 | -0.18 | -0.51 |
| Sun 21/09 | Apollon Limassol | 0 | 1.02 | -1.02 | -1.53 |
| Wed 24/09 | Pafos FC | 0 | 0.29 | -0.29 | -1.82 |
| Sun 28/09 | Omonia Aradippou | 0 | 0.48 | -0.48 | -2.30 |
| Sat 04/10 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1 | 1.04 | -0.04 | -2.34 |
| Sat 18/10 | AEK Larnaca | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | -2.34 |
| Sat 25/10 | Ethnikos Achnas | 1 | 0.97 | +0.03 | -2.31 |
| Sat 01/11 | Omonia Nicosia | 0 | 0.78 | -0.78 | -3.09 |
| Fri 07/11 | AEL Limassol | 0 | 0.42 | -0.42 | -3.51 |
| Sun 23/11 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 2 | 0.89 | +1.11 | -2.40 |
| Sat 29/11 | Aris Limassol | 0 | 0.76 | -0.76 | -3.16 |
| Fri 05/12 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0 | 1.05 | -1.05 | -4.21 |
| Sun 14/12 | Pafos FC | 0 | 0.15 | -0.15 | -4.36 |
| Sat 20/12 | Akritas Chlorakas | 0 | 0.68 | -0.68 | -5.04 |
| Sat 03/01 | APOEL Nicosia | 0 | 0.12 | -0.12 | -5.16 |
| Sun 11/01 | Apollon Limassol | 0 | 0.43 | -0.43 | -5.59 |
| Mon 19/01 | Omonia Aradippou | 1 | 0.16 | +0.84 | -4.75 |
| Sat 31/01 | AEK Larnaca | 0 | 0.07 | -0.07 | -4.82 |
| Sat 07/02 | Ethnikos Achnas | 0 | 0.18 | -0.18 | -5.00 |
| Sat 14/02 | Omonia Nicosia | 0 | 0.76 | -0.76 | -5.76 |
| Fri 20/02 | AEL Limassol | 0 | 0.41 | -0.41 | -6.17 |
| Sat 28/02 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0 | 0.75 | -0.75 | -6.92 |
| Sun 08/03 | Aris Limassol | 0 | 0.09 | -0.09 | -7.01 |
| Mon 16/03 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0 | 0.41 | -0.41 | -7.42 |
| Sat 04/04 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1 | 0.89 | +0.11 | -7.31 |
| Fri 17/04 | AEL Limassol | 1 | 1.17 | -0.17 | -7.48 |
| Sat 25/04 | Akritas Chlorakas | 1 | 0.51 | +0.49 | -6.99 |
| Sat 02/05 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0 | 0.05 | -0.05 | -7.04 |
| Sun 17/05 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0 | 0.36 | -0.36 | -7.40 |
Enosis Neon Paralimniou xG trend
Current form -1.15 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 1 of 30 matches. The worst was against AEK Larnaca on Sat 31/01 (-5.47).
- npxG · last 6
- 0.44
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.59
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 29/08 | Akritas Chlorakas | 0.33 | 0.65 | -0.32 | -0.32 |
| Sun 14/09 | APOEL Nicosia | 0.18 | 1.18 | -1.00 | -0.66 |
| Sun 21/09 | Apollon Limassol | 1.02 | 1.59 | -0.57 | -0.63 |
| Wed 24/09 | Pafos FC | 0.29 | 1.04 | -0.75 | -0.66 |
| Sun 28/09 | Omonia Aradippou | 0.48 | 2.34 | -1.86 | -0.90 |
| Sat 04/10 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1.04 | 1.23 | -0.19 | -0.78 |
| Sat 18/10 | AEK Larnaca | 0.00 | 1.37 | -1.37 | -0.87 |
| Sat 25/10 | Ethnikos Achnas | 0.21 | 2.36 | -2.15 | -1.03 |
| Sat 01/11 | Omonia Nicosia | 0.78 | 1.71 | -0.93 | -1.02 |
| Fri 07/11 | AEL Limassol | 0.42 | 1.24 | -0.82 | -1.00 |
| Sun 23/11 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0.89 | 1.64 | -0.75 | -0.97 |
| Sat 29/11 | Aris Limassol | 0.76 | 1.95 | -1.19 | -0.99 |
| Fri 05/12 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0.29 | 1.88 | -1.59 | -1.04 |
| Sun 14/12 | Pafos FC | 0.15 | 3.25 | -3.10 | -1.18 |
| Sat 20/12 | Akritas Chlorakas | 0.68 | 0.81 | -0.13 | -1.11 |
| Sat 03/01 | APOEL Nicosia | 0.12 | 1.83 | -1.71 | -1.15 |
| Sun 11/01 | Apollon Limassol | 0.43 | 2.49 | -2.06 | -1.21 |
| Mon 19/01 | Omonia Aradippou | 0.16 | 2.82 | -2.66 | -1.29 |
| Sat 31/01 | AEK Larnaca | 0.07 | 5.54 | -5.47 | -1.51 |
| Sat 07/02 | Ethnikos Achnas | 0.28 | 2.38 | -2.10 | -1.54 |
| Sat 14/02 | Omonia Nicosia | 0.76 | 3.08 | -2.32 | -1.57 |
| Fri 20/02 | AEL Limassol | 0.41 | 1.05 | -0.64 | -1.53 |
| Sat 28/02 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0.75 | 2.22 | -1.47 | -1.53 |
| Sun 08/03 | Aris Limassol | 0.09 | 2.42 | -2.33 | -1.56 |
| Mon 16/03 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0.41 | 3.48 | -3.07 | -1.62 |
| Sat 04/04 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0.13 | 1.52 | -1.39 | -1.61 |
| Fri 17/04 | AEL Limassol | 1.17 | 1.11 | +0.06 | -1.55 |
| Sat 25/04 | Akritas Chlorakas | 0.51 | 1.21 | -0.70 | -1.52 |
| Sat 02/05 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0.05 | 1.04 | -0.99 | -1.50 |
| Sun 17/05 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0.36 | 1.16 | -0.80 | -1.48 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.44 npxG and 1.92 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 7 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
- +0.03 xG vs league average
- Over 33 league matches
- Last 5
- number 9 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
- −0.26 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.03 xG vs league average · over 33 matches · number 7 hardest of 14
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.29
- Ethnikos Achnas Home −0.21
- Anorthosis Famagusta Away −0.27
- Akritas Chlorakas Home −0.30
- AEL Limassol Away −0.21
- Olympiakos Nicosia Home −0.18
- Omonia Aradippou Away −0.01
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.29
- Aris Limassol Home +0.51
- Anorthosis Famagusta Away −0.27
- AEL Limassol Home −0.21
- Omonia Nicosia Away +0.77
- Ethnikos Achnas Home −0.21
- AEK Larnaca Away +0.23
- Olympiakos Nicosia Home −0.18
- Omonia Aradippou Away −0.01
- Apollon Limassol Home +0.52
- APOEL Nicosia Away +0.16
- Akritas Chlorakas Home −0.30
- Pafos FC Home +0.45
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Home −0.29
- Aris Limassol Away +0.51
- Anorthosis Famagusta Home −0.27
- AEL Limassol Away −0.21
- Omonia Nicosia Home +0.77
- Ethnikos Achnas Away −0.21
- AEK Larnaca Home +0.23
- Olympiakos Nicosia Away −0.18
- Omonia Aradippou Home −0.01
- Pafos FC Away +0.45
- Apollon Limassol Away +0.52
- APOEL Nicosia Home +0.16
- Akritas Chlorakas Away −0.30
Last 5
−0.26 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 14
- Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.29
- Ethnikos Achnas Home −0.21
- Anorthosis Famagusta Away −0.27
- Akritas Chlorakas Home −0.30
- AEL Limassol Away −0.21
Enosis Neon Paralimniou shots and chance quality
Low volume, low quality. Enosis Neon Paralimniou take 5.3 shots a match (league 10.9) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #14 in Cypriot First Division for volume and #14 for quality. 45% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Omonia Nicosia | 14.0 |
| #2 | Aris Limassol | 13.7 |
| #3 | Apollon Limassol | 13.1 |
| #4 | APOEL Nicosia | 12.9 |
| #5 | AEK Larnaca | 12.2 |
| #6 | Omonia Aradippou | 11.7 |
| #7 | Pafos FC | 11.5 |
| #8 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 9.8 |
| =9 | AEL Limassol | 9.5 |
| =9 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 9.5 |
| #11 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 9.5 |
| #12 | Ethnikos Achnas | 9.5 |
| #13 | Akritas Chlorakas | 8.9 |
| #14 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | 5.3 |
- League avg
- 10.9
- Total
- 159 shots from 30 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Omonia Nicosia | 0.15 |
| #2 | Pafos FC | 0.13 |
| #3 | AEK Larnaca | 0.12 |
| #4 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0.11 |
| #5 | Akritas Chlorakas | 0.11 |
| #6 | Ethnikos Achnas | 0.11 |
| #7 | Apollon Limassol | 0.11 |
| #8 | Aris Limassol | 0.11 |
| #9 | Omonia Aradippou | 0.10 |
| #10 | AEL Limassol | 0.10 |
| #11 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0.09 |
| #12 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0.09 |
| #13 | APOEL Nicosia | 0.09 |
| #14 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | 0.08 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 13.22 npxG from 159 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Aris Limassol | 8.6 |
| #2 | Apollon Limassol | 9.1 |
| #3 | APOEL Nicosia | 9.4 |
| #4 | Omonia Nicosia | 9.6 |
| #5 | AEK Larnaca | 9.7 |
| #6 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 10.2 |
| #7 | AEL Limassol | 10.4 |
| #8 | Pafos FC | 10.4 |
| #9 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 11.7 |
| #10 | Omonia Aradippou | 11.8 |
| #11 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 12.3 |
| #12 | Ethnikos Achnas | 12.3 |
| #13 | Akritas Chlorakas | 12.8 |
| #14 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | 15.4 |
- League avg
- 10.9
- Total
- 463 shots allowed from 30 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Omonia Nicosia | 0.08 |
| #2 | Apollon Limassol | 0.10 |
| #3 | Enosis Neon Ypsona FC | 0.10 |
| #4 | Akritas Chlorakas | 0.10 |
| #5 | Omonia Aradippou | 0.11 |
| #6 | Pafos FC | 0.11 |
| #7 | APOEL Nicosia | 0.11 |
| #8 | Aris Limassol | 0.11 |
| #9 | Ethnikos Achnas | 0.11 |
| #10 | AEK Larnaca | 0.11 |
| #11 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0.12 |
| #12 | Enosis Neon Paralimniou | 0.12 |
| #13 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0.13 |
| #14 | AEL Limassol | 0.14 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 57.59 npxGA from 463 shots
Shot profile
45% inside the box
League avg 60%
From 71 of 159 shots over 30 matches
62% allowed inside the box
League avg 60%
From 288 of 463 shots allowed over 30 matches
Enosis Neon Paralimniou home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 14 with xG | 17 16 with xG |
| xG / match | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| xGA / match | 1.85 | 2.45 |
| xGD / match | -1.37 | -1.90 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.49 | 0.40 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Enosis Neon Paralimniou match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 33 30 with xG
- xG / match
- 0.51
- xGA / match
- 2.17
- xGD / match
- -1.65
- Points
- 5 of 99
- Sun 17/05 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC A xG 0.36 xGA 1.16 xGD -0.80 xPts 0.59
- Sat 09/05 Ethnikos Achnas H
- Sat 02/05 Anorthosis Famagusta A xG 0.05 xGA 1.80 P xGD -1.75 xPts 0.13
- Sat 25/04 Akritas Chlorakas H xG 0.51 xGA 1.21 xGD -0.70 xPts 0.70
- Fri 17/04 AEL Limassol A xG 1.17 xGA 2.63 P xGD -1.46 xPts 0.49
- Sat 04/04 Olympiakos Nicosia H xG 0.89 P xGA 1.52 xGD -0.63 xPts 0.85
- Fri 20/03 Omonia Aradippou A
- Mon 16/03 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC A xG 0.41 xGA 4.23 P xGD -3.82 xPts 0.03
- Sun 08/03 Aris Limassol H xG 0.09 xGA 3.18 P xGD -3.09 xPts 0.03
- Sat 28/02 Anorthosis Famagusta A xG 0.75 xGA 3.73 P xGD -2.98 xPts 0.10
- Fri 20/02 AEL Limassol H xG 0.41 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.64 xPts 0.68
- Sat 14/02 Omonia Nicosia A xG 0.76 xGA 3.84 P xGD -3.08 xPts 0.09
- Sat 07/02 Ethnikos Achnas H xG 0.18 xGA 2.38 xGD -2.20 xPts 0.11
- Sat 31/01 AEK Larnaca A Weakest underlying xG 0.07 xGA 5.54 xGD -5.47 xPts 0.00
- Mon 26/01 Olympiakos Nicosia H
- Mon 19/01 Omonia Aradippou A xG 0.16 xGA 3.58 P xGD -3.42 xPts 0.03
- Sun 11/01 Apollon Limassol H xG 0.43 xGA 2.48 xGD -2.05 xPts 0.17
- Sat 03/01 APOEL Nicosia A xG 0.12 xGA 1.82 xGD -1.70 xPts 0.18
- Sat 20/12 Akritas Chlorakas H Best underlying xG 0.68 xGA 0.81 xGD -0.13 xPts 1.16
- Sun 14/12 Pafos FC H xG 0.15 xGA 3.25 xGD -3.10 xPts 0.04
- Fri 05/12 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC H xG 1.05 P xGA 1.88 xGD -0.83 xPts 0.76
- Sat 29/11 Aris Limassol A xG 0.76 xGA 1.95 xGD -1.19 xPts 0.51
- Sun 23/11 Anorthosis Famagusta H xG 0.89 xGA 1.50 xGD -0.61 xPts 0.86
- Fri 07/11 AEL Limassol A xG 0.42 xGA 1.24 xGD -0.82 xPts 0.59
- Sat 01/11 Omonia Nicosia H xG 0.78 xGA 1.71 xGD -0.93 xPts 0.63
- Sat 25/10 Ethnikos Achnas A xG 0.97 P xGA 2.36 xGD -1.39 xPts 0.48
- Sat 18/10 AEK Larnaca H xG 0.00 xGA 1.37 xGD -1.37 xPts 0.19
- Sat 04/10 Olympiakos Nicosia A xG 1.04 xGA 1.23 xGD -0.19 xPts 1.18
- Sun 28/09 Omonia Aradippou H xG 0.48 xGA 2.34 xGD -1.86 xPts 0.21
- Wed 24/09 Pafos FC A xG 0.29 xGA 1.80 P xGD -1.51 xPts 0.26
- Sun 21/09 Apollon Limassol A xG 1.02 xGA 1.59 xGD -0.57 xPts 0.90
- Sun 14/09 APOEL Nicosia H xG 0.18 xGA 1.17 xGD -0.99 xPts 0.42
- Fri 29/08 Akritas Chlorakas A xG 0.33 xGA 0.65 xGD -0.32 xPts 0.90
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 5.54. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Enosis Neon Paralimniou in Cypriot First Division
Attack
- xG / match #14 of 14
- Shots / match #14 of 14
- Chance quality #14 of 14
- Home xG #14 of 14
- Away xG #14 of 14
Defence
- xGA / match #14 of 14
- Shots allowed #14 of 14
- Chance quality allowed #12 of 14
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.