xgEdge

Expected goals

Ethnikos Achnas expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Cypriot First Division · after 31 matches · updated 1 Oct

Ethnikos Achnas's attacking and defensive expected goals in Cypriot First Division 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Ethnikos Achnas xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.14 xG per match
#11/14
Attack (xG per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.26
#2 AEK Larnaca 1.72
#3 Aris Limassol 1.68
#4 Pafos FC 1.63
#5 Apollon Limassol 1.57
#6 APOEL Nicosia 1.37
#7 Omonia Aradippou 1.26
#8 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.20
#9 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.16
#10 Akritas Chlorakas 1.14
#11 Ethnikos Achnas 1.14
#12 AEL Limassol 1.06
#13 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.97
#14 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 0.51
League avg
1.35
Total
35.34 31 matches
Defence
1.58 xGA per match
#13/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 0.83
#2 Apollon Limassol 0.98
#3 Aris Limassol 1.10
#4 APOEL Nicosia 1.10
#5 AEK Larnaca 1.13
#6 Pafos FC 1.25
#7 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.46
#8 AEL Limassol 1.48
#9 Akritas Chlorakas 1.50
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.51
#11 Omonia Aradippou 1.52
#12 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.53
#13 Ethnikos Achnas 1.58
#14 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 2.17
League avg
1.35
Total
49.01 31 matches
xG difference
-0.44 xGD per match
#12/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia +1.43
#2 Apollon Limassol +0.59
#3 AEK Larnaca +0.59
#4 Aris Limassol +0.58
#5 Pafos FC +0.38
#6 APOEL Nicosia +0.27
#7 Omonia Aradippou -0.26
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta -0.30
#9 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC -0.32
#10 Akritas Chlorakas -0.36
#11 AEL Limassol -0.42
#12 Ethnikos Achnas -0.44
#13 Olympiakos Nicosia -0.56
#14 Enosis Neon Paralimniou -1.65
League avg
0.00
Total
-13.67 31 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.15 xPts per match
#12/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.24
#2 Apollon Limassol 1.79
#3 Aris Limassol 1.76
#4 AEK Larnaca 1.66
#5 Pafos FC 1.55
#6 APOEL Nicosia 1.52
#7 Omonia Aradippou 1.25
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.24
#9 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.19
#10 Akritas Chlorakas 1.19
#11 AEL Limassol 1.16
#12 Ethnikos Achnas 1.15
#13 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.98
#14 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 0.44
League avg
1.39
Total
35.79 vs 33 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 31 of 33 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Ethnikos Achnas's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Cypriot First Division. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.44 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 29 goals are 6.34 below 35.34 xG, while 27 points are 8.79 below 35.79 xPts — both over the 31 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.30 xG from penalties
29 35.34 -6.34 scored 6.34 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
51 49.01 +1.99 conceded 1.99 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
27 35.79 -8.79 8.79 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Ethnikos Achnas are 6.34 goals below their xG after 31 matches.

Goals
29
xG
35.34
Gap
-6.34
Sun 24/08 Sun 31/08 Sun 14/09 Sat 20/09 Fri 26/09 Sun 05/10 Fri 17/10 Sat 25/10 Sat 01/11 Sat 08/11 Sat 22/11 Sat 29/11 Sat 06/12 Sat 13/12 Mon 22/12 Sat 03/01 Sun 11/01 Sat 17/01 Sat 24/01 Sat 31/01 Sat 07/02 Sun 15/02 Sat 21/02 Sat 28/02 Sat 07/03 Mon 16/03 Sun 22/03 Sun 05/04 Sun 19/04 Fri 01/05 Fri 15/05 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +3 -0.81 -0.02 +0.67 +1.24 +0.16 +0.03 -0.89 +1.75 +2.28 +2.05 +2.88 +1.96 +2.04 +1.12 +0.35 -0.31 -1.22 -1.67 -2.13 -1.52 -1.90 +0.18 -0.08 -0.53 -0.64 -1.70 -2.25 -2.99 -4.82 -5.76 -6.34 -0.81 +0.79 +0.69 +0.57 -1.08 -0.13 -0.92 +2.64 +0.53 -0.23 +0.83 -0.92 +0.08 -0.92 -0.77 -0.66 -0.91 -0.45 -0.46 +0.61 -0.38 +2.08 -0.26 -0.45 -0.11 -1.06 -0.55 -0.74 -1.83 -0.94 -0.58 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Ethnikos Achnas: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 24/08 Akritas Chlorakas 0 0.81 -0.81 -0.81
Sun 31/08 Omonia Nicosia 2 1.21 +0.79 -0.02
Sun 14/09 AEL Limassol 2 1.31 +0.69 +0.67
Sat 20/09 Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1.43 +0.57 +1.24
Fri 26/09 Aris Limassol 0 1.08 -1.08 +0.16
Sun 05/10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1 1.13 -0.13 +0.03
Fri 17/10 Pafos FC 0 0.92 -0.92 -0.89
Sat 25/10 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 5 2.36 +2.64 +1.75
Sat 01/11 APOEL Nicosia 1 0.47 +0.53 +2.28
Sat 08/11 Apollon Limassol 0 0.23 -0.23 +2.05
Sat 22/11 Omonia Aradippou 2 1.17 +0.83 +2.88
Sat 29/11 Olympiakos Nicosia 0 0.92 -0.92 +1.96
Sat 06/12 AEK Larnaca 1 0.92 +0.08 +2.04
Sat 13/12 Akritas Chlorakas 1 1.92 -0.92 +1.12
Mon 22/12 Omonia Nicosia 0 0.77 -0.77 +0.35
Sat 03/01 AEL Limassol 0 0.66 -0.66 -0.31
Sun 11/01 Anorthosis Famagusta 0 0.91 -0.91 -1.22
Sat 17/01 Aris Limassol 0 0.45 -0.45 -1.67
Sat 24/01 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0 0.46 -0.46 -2.13
Sat 31/01 Pafos FC 2 1.39 +0.61 -1.52
Sat 07/02 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 2 2.38 -0.38 -1.90
Sun 15/02 APOEL Nicosia 3 0.92 +2.08 +0.18
Sat 21/02 Apollon Limassol 0 0.26 -0.26 -0.08
Sat 28/02 Omonia Aradippou 0 0.45 -0.45 -0.53
Sat 07/03 Olympiakos Nicosia 1 1.11 -0.11 -0.64
Mon 16/03 AEK Larnaca 0 1.06 -1.06 -1.70
Sun 22/03 AEL Limassol 1 1.55 -0.55 -2.25
Sun 05/04 Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1.74 -0.74 -2.99
Sun 19/04 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1 2.83 -1.83 -4.82
Fri 01/05 Akritas Chlorakas 0 0.94 -0.94 -5.76
Fri 15/05 Omonia Aradippou 1 1.58 -0.58 -6.34

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Ethnikos Achnas xG trend

Current form +0.25 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 12 of 31 matches. The worst was against AEK Larnaca on Sat 06/12 (-2.40).

npxG · last 6
1.48
npxGA · last 6
1.23
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.53 Sun 24/08 +0.00 Sun 31/08 +0.62 Sun 14/09 +0.86 Sat 20/09 -1.20 Fri 26/09 -0.04 Sun 05/10 -1.90 Fri 17/10 +2.15 Sat 25/10 -2.15 Sat 01/11 -2.01 Sat 08/11 -0.77 Sat 22/11 -0.23 Sat 29/11 -2.40 Sat 06/12 +0.37 Sat 13/12 -0.95 Mon 22/12 -0.71 Sat 03/01 -0.91 Sun 11/01 -0.74 Sat 17/01 -0.79 Sat 24/01 +0.44 Sat 31/01 +2.10 Sat 07/02 -0.33 Sun 15/02 -1.97 Sat 21/02 -0.90 Sat 28/02 +0.19 Sat 07/03 -1.02 Mon 16/03 +0.66 Sun 22/03 +1.34 Sun 05/04 +0.43 Sun 19/04 +0.11 Fri 01/05 -0.02 Fri 15/05 -0.30 season avg
Ethnikos Achnas: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 24/08 Akritas Chlorakas 0.81 0.28 +0.53 +0.53
Sun 31/08 Omonia Nicosia 1.21 1.21 +0.00 +0.27
Sun 14/09 AEL Limassol 1.31 0.69 +0.62 +0.38
Sat 20/09 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.43 0.57 +0.86 +0.50
Fri 26/09 Aris Limassol 1.08 2.28 -1.20 +0.16
Sun 05/10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.37 0.41 -0.04 +0.13
Fri 17/10 Pafos FC 0.93 2.83 -1.90 -0.16
Sat 25/10 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 2.36 0.21 +2.15 +0.13
Sat 01/11 APOEL Nicosia 0.47 2.62 -2.15 -0.13
Sat 08/11 Apollon Limassol 0.24 2.25 -2.01 -0.31
Sat 22/11 Omonia Aradippou 1.17 1.94 -0.77 -0.36
Sat 29/11 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.92 1.15 -0.23 -0.35
Sat 06/12 AEK Larnaca 0.92 3.32 -2.40 -0.50
Sat 13/12 Akritas Chlorakas 1.16 0.79 +0.37 -0.44
Mon 22/12 Omonia Nicosia 0.77 1.72 -0.95 -0.47
Sat 03/01 AEL Limassol 0.66 1.37 -0.71 -0.49
Sun 11/01 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.91 1.82 -0.91 -0.51
Sat 17/01 Aris Limassol 0.45 1.19 -0.74 -0.53
Sat 24/01 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.46 1.25 -0.79 -0.54
Sat 31/01 Pafos FC 1.39 0.95 +0.44 -0.49
Sat 07/02 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 2.38 0.28 +2.10 -0.37
Sun 15/02 APOEL Nicosia 0.92 1.25 -0.33 -0.37
Sat 21/02 Apollon Limassol 0.26 2.23 -1.97 -0.44
Sat 28/02 Omonia Aradippou 0.45 1.35 -0.90 -0.46
Sat 07/03 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.11 0.92 +0.19 -0.43
Mon 16/03 AEK Larnaca 1.06 2.08 -1.02 -0.45
Sun 22/03 AEL Limassol 1.55 0.89 +0.66 -0.41
Sun 05/04 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.74 0.40 +1.34 -0.35
Sun 19/04 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 2.07 1.64 +0.43 -0.32
Fri 01/05 Akritas Chlorakas 0.94 0.83 +0.11 -0.31
Fri 15/05 Omonia Aradippou 1.54 1.56 -0.02 -0.30

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.07 npxG and 1.36 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 11 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 33 league matches
Last 5
number 13 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
−0.39 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 33 matches · tied number 11 hardest of 14

  1. Omonia Aradippou Home −0.01
  2. Enosis Neon Paralimniou Away −1.16
  3. Akritas Chlorakas Away −0.30
  4. Olympiakos Nicosia Home −0.18
  5. Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.29
  6. Anorthosis Famagusta Home −0.27
  7. AEL Limassol Away −0.21
  8. AEK Larnaca Home +0.23
  9. Olympiakos Nicosia Away −0.18
  10. Omonia Aradippou Home −0.01
  11. Apollon Limassol Away +0.52
  12. APOEL Nicosia Home +0.16
  13. Enosis Neon Paralimniou Away −1.16
  14. Pafos FC Home +0.45
  15. Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.29
  16. Aris Limassol Home +0.51
  17. Anorthosis Famagusta Away −0.27
  18. AEL Limassol Home −0.21
  19. Omonia Nicosia Away +0.77
  20. Akritas Chlorakas Away −0.30
  21. AEK Larnaca Away +0.23
  22. Olympiakos Nicosia Home −0.18
  23. Omonia Aradippou Away −0.01
  24. Apollon Limassol Home +0.52
  25. APOEL Nicosia Away +0.16
  26. Enosis Neon Paralimniou Home −1.16
  27. Pafos FC Away +0.45
  28. Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Home −0.29
  29. Aris Limassol Away +0.51
  30. Anorthosis Famagusta Home −0.27
  31. AEL Limassol Away −0.21
  32. Omonia Nicosia Home +0.77
  33. Akritas Chlorakas Home −0.30

Last 5

−0.39 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 14

  1. Omonia Aradippou Home −0.01
  2. Enosis Neon Paralimniou Away −1.16
  3. Akritas Chlorakas Away −0.30
  4. Olympiakos Nicosia Home −0.18
  5. Enosis Neon Ypsona FC Away −0.29

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Ethnikos Achnas shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Ethnikos Achnas take 9.5 shots a match (league 10.9) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #12 in Cypriot First Division for volume and #6 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.5 shots per match
#12/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 14.0
#2 Aris Limassol 13.7
#3 Apollon Limassol 13.1
#4 APOEL Nicosia 12.9
#5 AEK Larnaca 12.2
#6 Omonia Aradippou 11.7
#7 Pafos FC 11.5
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 9.8
=9 AEL Limassol 9.5
=9 Olympiakos Nicosia 9.5
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 9.5
#12 Ethnikos Achnas 9.5
#13 Akritas Chlorakas 8.9
#14 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 5.3
League avg
10.9
Total
294 shots from 31 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#6/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Omonia Nicosia 0.15
#2 Pafos FC 0.13
#3 AEK Larnaca 0.12
#4 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.11
#5 Akritas Chlorakas 0.11
#6 Ethnikos Achnas 0.11
#7 Apollon Limassol 0.11
#8 Aris Limassol 0.11
#9 Omonia Aradippou 0.10
#10 AEL Limassol 0.10
#11 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.09
#12 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.09
#13 APOEL Nicosia 0.09
#14 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
33.04 npxG from 294 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.3 shots per match
#12/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Aris Limassol 8.6
#2 Apollon Limassol 9.1
#3 APOEL Nicosia 9.4
#4 Omonia Nicosia 9.6
#5 AEK Larnaca 9.7
#6 Anorthosis Famagusta 10.2
#7 AEL Limassol 10.4
#8 Pafos FC 10.4
#9 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 11.7
#10 Omonia Aradippou 11.8
#11 Olympiakos Nicosia 12.3
#12 Ethnikos Achnas 12.3
#13 Akritas Chlorakas 12.8
#14 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 15.4
League avg
10.9
Total
381 shots allowed from 31 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#9/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Omonia Nicosia 0.08
#2 Apollon Limassol 0.10
#3 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.10
#4 Akritas Chlorakas 0.10
#5 Omonia Aradippou 0.11
#6 Pafos FC 0.11
#7 APOEL Nicosia 0.11
#8 Aris Limassol 0.11
#9 Ethnikos Achnas 0.11
#10 AEK Larnaca 0.11
#11 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.12
#12 Enosis Neon Paralimniou 0.12
#13 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.13
#14 AEL Limassol 0.14
League avg
0.11
Total
42.28 npxGA from 381 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 184 of 294 shots over 31 matches

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 241 of 381 shots allowed over 31 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Ethnikos Achnas home and away xG

Ethnikos Achnas per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 15 with xG 17 16 with xG
xG / match 1.09 1.19
xGA / match 1.23 1.91
xGD / match -0.14 -0.72
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.30 1.02

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Ethnikos Achnas match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
33 31 with xG
xG / match
1.14
xGA / match
1.58
xGD / match
-0.44
Points
33 of 99
  1. Fri 15/05 Omonia Aradippou H xG 1.58 xGA 1.55 xGD +0.03
  2. Sat 09/05 Enosis Neon Paralimniou A
  3. Fri 01/05 Akritas Chlorakas A xG 0.94 xGA 1.59 P xGD -0.65
  4. Sun 26/04 Olympiakos Nicosia H
  5. Sun 19/04 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC A Against the chances xG 2.83 P xGA 1.64 xGD +1.19
  6. Sun 05/04 Anorthosis Famagusta H xG 1.74 xGA 0.40 xGD +1.34
  7. Sun 22/03 AEL Limassol A xG 1.55 xGA 0.89 xGD +0.66
  8. Mon 16/03 AEK Larnaca H xG 1.06 xGA 2.84 P xGD -1.78
  9. Sat 07/03 Olympiakos Nicosia A xG 1.11 xGA 0.92 xGD +0.19
  10. Sat 28/02 Omonia Aradippou H xG 0.45 xGA 1.35 xGD -0.90
  11. Sat 21/02 Apollon Limassol A xG 0.26 xGA 2.23 xGD -1.97
  12. Sun 15/02 APOEL Nicosia H xG 0.92 xGA 1.25 xGD -0.33
  13. Sat 07/02 Enosis Neon Paralimniou A Best underlying xG 2.38 xGA 0.18 xGD +2.20
  14. Sat 31/01 Pafos FC H xG 1.39 xGA 0.95 xGD +0.44
  15. Sat 24/01 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC A xG 0.46 xGA 2.01 P xGD -1.55
  16. Sat 17/01 Aris Limassol H xG 0.45 xGA 1.19 xGD -0.74
  17. Sun 11/01 Anorthosis Famagusta A xG 0.91 xGA 2.58 P xGD -1.67
  18. Sat 03/01 AEL Limassol H xG 0.66 xGA 1.37 xGD -0.71
  19. Mon 22/12 Omonia Nicosia A xG 0.77 xGA 3.24 P xGD -2.47
  20. Sat 13/12 Akritas Chlorakas A Against the chances xG 1.92 P xGA 0.79 xGD +1.13
  21. Sat 06/12 AEK Larnaca A xG 0.92 xGA 3.32 xGD -2.40
  22. Sat 29/11 Olympiakos Nicosia H xG 0.92 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.23
  23. Sat 22/11 Omonia Aradippou A xG 1.17 xGA 1.94 xGD -0.77
  24. Sat 08/11 Apollon Limassol H xG 0.23 xGA 2.25 xGD -2.02
  25. Sat 01/11 APOEL Nicosia A Weakest underlying xG 0.47 xGA 3.38 P xGD -2.91
  26. Sat 25/10 Enosis Neon Paralimniou H xG 2.36 xGA 0.97 P xGD +1.39
  27. Fri 17/10 Pafos FC A xG 0.92 xGA 2.83 xGD -1.91
  28. Sun 05/10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC H xG 1.13 P xGA 0.41 xGD +0.72
  29. Fri 26/09 Aris Limassol A xG 1.08 xGA 2.28 xGD -1.20
  30. Sat 20/09 Anorthosis Famagusta H xG 1.43 xGA 0.57 xGD +0.86
  31. Sun 14/09 AEL Limassol A xG 1.31 xGA 0.69 xGD +0.62
  32. Sun 31/08 Omonia Nicosia H xG 1.21 xGA 1.97 P xGD -0.76
  33. Sun 24/08 Akritas Chlorakas H xG 0.81 xGA 0.28 xGD +0.53

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.38. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Ethnikos Achnas in Cypriot First Division

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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