xgEdge

FC Slovan Liberec's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

7 pts 6–2 goals +4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.74 – 2.62
1.94 – 0.66 per match
xGD
+5.12
+1.28 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

7 pts 8.8 xPts

−1.8 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

FC Slovan Liberec's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches, for +5.12 xG difference overall on 7.74–2.62. Their points total of 7 sits 1.8 below the model's 8.8 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results FC Slovan Liberec are 1.78 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -2.35, against SK Slavia Praha on Sun 16/08.

Points
7
xPts
8.78
Gap
-1.78
Sat 01/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 12/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.30 -2.35 -2.01 -1.78 -1.30 -1.05 +0.34 +0.23 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
FC Slovan Liberec: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 01/08 FK Teplice 0 1.30 -1.30 -1.30
Sun 16/08 SK Slavia Praha 1 2.05 -1.05 -2.35
Sun 30/08 FC Hradec Králové 3 2.66 +0.34 -2.01
Sat 12/09 Mladá Boleslav 3 2.77 +0.23 -1.78

Scores and xG

FC Slovan Liberec first

  • Home Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.19

    xGA 0.69

    xGD +2.50

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Mladá Boleslav, Sat 12/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.77
    Points minus xPts
    +0.23

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.19

    xGA 0.36

    xGD +1.83

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Hradec Králové, Sun 30/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.66
    Points minus xPts
    +0.34

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.48

    xGA 0.67

    xGD +0.81

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Slavia Praha, Sun 16/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.04
    Points minus xPts
    -1.04

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss with even chances

    xG 0.88

    xGA 0.90

    xGD -0.02

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Teplice, Sat 01/08

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.30
    Points minus xPts
    -1.30

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →