xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Slovan Liberec expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Slovan Liberec's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Slovan Liberec xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.66 xG per match
#3/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
14.92 9 matches
Defence
0.86 xGA per match
#1/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
7.72 9 matches
xG difference
+0.80 xGD per match
#2/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
+7.20 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.90 xPts per match
#2/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
17.14 vs 20 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC Slovan Liberec's underlying numbers are among the best in Czech First League. They rank #2 for xG difference at +0.80 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 13 goals are 1.92 below 14.92 xG, while 20 points are 2.86 above 17.14 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
13 14.92 -1.92 scored 1.92 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 7.72 -3.72 conceded 3.72 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
20 17.14 +2.86 2.86 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Slovan Liberec are 1.92 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -2.95, against FC Hradec Králové on Sun 30/08.

Goals
13
xG
14.92
Gap
-1.92
Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Fri 07/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.50 -0.38 -2.13 -2.61 -2.76 -2.95 -1.27 -1.46 -1.92 +0.50 -0.88 -1.75 -0.48 -0.15 -0.19 +1.68 -0.19 -0.46 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Slovan Liberec: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Viktoria Plzeň 3 2.50 +0.50 +0.50
Sat 01/08 FK Teplice 0 0.88 -0.88 -0.38
Fri 07/08 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1 2.75 -1.75 -2.13
Sun 16/08 SK Slavia Praha 1 1.48 -0.48 -2.61
Sat 22/08 FC Zlín 1 1.15 -0.15 -2.76
Sun 30/08 FC Hradec Králové 2 2.19 -0.19 -2.95
Sun 06/09 FK Jablonec 2 0.32 +1.68 -1.27
Sat 12/09 Mladá Boleslav 3 3.19 -0.19 -1.46
Sat 19/09 SK Líšeň 0 0.46 -0.46 -1.92

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FC Slovan Liberec xG trend

Current form +0.58 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 9 matches. The worst was against FK Jablonec on Sun 06/09 (-2.26).

npxG · last 6
1.48
npxGA · last 6
0.89
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.43 Sat 25/07 -0.02 Sat 01/08 +2.41 Fri 07/08 +0.81 Sun 16/08 +0.77 Sat 22/08 +1.83 Sun 30/08 -2.26 Sun 06/09 +2.57 Sat 12/09 -0.23 Sat 19/09 +0.92 season avg
FC Slovan Liberec: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 Viktoria Plzeň 2.71 0.28 +2.43 +2.43
Sat 01/08 FK Teplice 0.88 0.90 -0.02 +1.20
Fri 07/08 FC Zbrojovka Brno 3.12 0.71 +2.41 +1.61
Sun 16/08 SK Slavia Praha 1.48 0.67 +0.81 +1.41
Sat 22/08 FC Zlín 1.15 0.38 +0.77 +1.28
Sun 30/08 FC Hradec Králové 2.19 0.36 +1.83 +1.37
Sun 06/09 FK Jablonec 0.32 2.58 -2.26 +0.85
Sat 12/09 Mladá Boleslav 3.25 0.68 +2.57 +1.07
Sat 19/09 SK Líšeň 0.46 0.69 -0.23 +0.92

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.73 npxG and 0.81 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 9 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 16 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.20 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 9 hardest of 16

  1. SK Líšeň Away −0.32
  2. Mladá Boleslav Home −0.38
  3. FK Jablonec Away +0.21
  4. FC Hradec Králové Home −0.08
  5. FC Zlín Away −0.45
  6. SK Slavia Praha Home +0.82
  7. FC Zbrojovka Brno Away −0.12
  8. FK Teplice Home −0.14
  9. Viktoria Plzeň Away +0.36

Last 5

−0.20 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 16 hardest of 16

  1. SK Líšeň Away −0.32
  2. Mladá Boleslav Home −0.38
  3. FK Jablonec Away +0.21
  4. FC Hradec Králové Home −0.08
  5. FC Zlín Away −0.45

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Slovan Liberec shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. FC Slovan Liberec take 16.2 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #3 in Czech First League for volume and #5 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 35% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.2 shots per match
#3/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
146 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#5/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
15.56 npxG from 146 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.8 shots per match
#2/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
97 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#1/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
7.25 npxGA from 97 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

64% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 93 of 146 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 66 of 97 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

65% open play · 35% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 5.4 of 15.4 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.1 of 7.2 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Slovan Liberec home and away xG

FC Slovan Liberec per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.94 1.44
xGA / match 0.66 1.02
xGD / match +1.28 +0.42
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.19 1.67

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Slovan Liberec match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.66
xGA / match
0.86
xGD / match
+0.80
Points
20 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 SK Líšeň A xG 0.46 xGA 0.66 xGD -0.20
  2. Sat 12/09 Mladá Boleslav H Best underlying xG 3.19 xGA 0.69 xGD +2.50
  3. Sun 06/09 FK Jablonec A Against the chances xG 0.32 xGA 2.47 xGD -2.15
  4. Sun 30/08 FC Hradec Králové H xG 2.19 xGA 0.36 xGD +1.83
  5. Sat 22/08 FC Zlín A xG 1.15 xGA 0.38 xGD +0.77
  6. Sun 16/08 SK Slavia Praha H xG 1.48 xGA 0.67 xGD +0.81
  7. Fri 07/08 FC Zbrojovka Brno A xG 2.75 xGA 0.52 xGD +2.23
  8. Sat 01/08 FK Teplice H xG 0.88 xGA 0.90 xGD -0.02
  9. Sat 25/07 Viktoria Plzeň A xG 2.50 xGA 1.07 P xGD +1.43

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.19. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Slovan Liberec in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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