xgEdge

Expected goals

SK Sigma Olomouc expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 9 matches · updated 4 Oct

SK Sigma Olomouc's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SK Sigma Olomouc xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.23 xG per match
#11/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
11.05 9 matches
Defence
1.21 xGA per match
#7/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
10.89 9 matches
xG difference
+0.02 xGD per match
#7/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.16 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.39 xPts per match
#8/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
12.48 vs 16 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SK Sigma Olomouc's underlying numbers sit close to the Czech First League average. They rank #7 for xG difference at +0.02 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 16 goals are 4.95 above 11.05 xG, while 16 points are 3.52 above 12.48 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
16 11.05 +4.95 scored 4.95 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 10.89 +2.11 conceded 2.11 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
16 12.48 +3.52 3.52 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SK Sigma Olomouc are 4.95 goals above their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at +5.81, against Viktoria Plzeň on Sun 13/09.

Goals
16
xG
11.05
Gap
+4.95
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +0.63 +0.15 +1.32 +1.30 +2.82 +2.19 +3.41 +5.81 +4.95 +0.63 -0.48 +1.17 -0.02 +1.52 -0.63 +1.22 +2.40 -0.86 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SK Sigma Olomouc: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FK Jablonec 1 0.37 +0.63 +0.63
Sun 02/08 Mladá Boleslav 2 2.48 -0.48 +0.15
Sun 09/08 SK Líšeň 2 0.83 +1.17 +1.32
Sat 15/08 1. FC Slovácko 2 2.02 -0.02 +1.30
Sun 23/08 FK Pardubice 3 1.48 +1.52 +2.82
Sat 29/08 Baník Ostrava 0 0.63 -0.63 +2.19
Sat 05/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 3 1.78 +1.22 +3.41
Sun 13/09 Viktoria Plzeň 3 0.60 +2.40 +5.81
Sun 20/09 AC Sparta Praha 0 0.86 -0.86 +4.95

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

SK Sigma Olomouc xG trend

Current form +0.08 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 9 matches. The worst was against AC Sparta Praha on Sun 20/09 (-1.15).

npxG · last 6
1.18
npxGA · last 6
1.11
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.00 Sun 26/07 +1.30 Sun 02/08 -0.56 Sun 09/08 +0.92 Sat 15/08 -0.11 Sun 23/08 +0.40 Sat 29/08 +1.36 Sat 05/09 -0.96 Sun 13/09 -1.15 Sun 20/09 +0.02 season avg
SK Sigma Olomouc: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 FK Jablonec 0.37 1.37 -1.00 -1.00
Sun 02/08 Mladá Boleslav 2.48 1.18 +1.30 +0.15
Sun 09/08 SK Líšeň 0.83 1.39 -0.56 -0.09
Sat 15/08 1. FC Slovácko 2.00 1.08 +0.92 +0.17
Sun 23/08 FK Pardubice 1.23 1.34 -0.11 +0.11
Sat 29/08 Baník Ostrava 0.62 0.22 +0.40 +0.16
Sat 05/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.78 0.42 +1.36 +0.33
Sun 13/09 Viktoria Plzeň 0.60 1.56 -0.96 +0.17
Sun 20/09 AC Sparta Praha 0.86 2.01 -1.15 +0.02

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.20 npxG and 1.17 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 12 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.04 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
tied number 4 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.04 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 12 hardest of 16

  1. AC Sparta Praha Home +0.37
  2. Viktoria Plzeň Away +0.36
  3. Bohemians Praha 1905 Home 0.00
  4. Baník Ostrava Away −0.24
  5. FK Pardubice Home −0.03
  6. 1. FC Slovácko Away −0.30
  7. SK Líšeň Away −0.32
  8. Mladá Boleslav Home −0.38
  9. FK Jablonec Away +0.21

Last 5

+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 16

  1. AC Sparta Praha Home +0.37
  2. Viktoria Plzeň Away +0.36
  3. Bohemians Praha 1905 Home 0.00
  4. Baník Ostrava Away −0.24
  5. FK Pardubice Home −0.03

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SK Sigma Olomouc shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. SK Sigma Olomouc take 10.8 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #15 in Czech First League for volume and #3 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.8 shots per match
#15/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
97 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#3/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
10.77 npxG from 97 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.4 shots per match
=6/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
112 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#9/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
10.57 npxGA from 112 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

57% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 55 of 97 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 74 of 112 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.2 of 10.7 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

58% open play · 42% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 4.4 of 10.4 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

SK Sigma Olomouc home and away xG

SK Sigma Olomouc per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.65 0.89
xGA / match 1.16 1.25
xGD / match +0.49 -0.36
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.74 1.10

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SK Sigma Olomouc match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
4
xG / match
1.65
xGA / match
1.16
xGD / match
+0.49
Points
7 of 12
  1. Sun 20/09 AC Sparta Praha H xG 0.86 xGA 1.88 xGD -1.02
  2. Sat 05/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 H xG 1.78 xGA 0.42 xGD +1.36
  3. Sun 23/08 FK Pardubice H xG 1.48 xGA 1.15 xGD +0.33
  4. Sun 02/08 Mladá Boleslav H xG 2.48 xGA 1.17 xGD +1.31

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SK Sigma Olomouc in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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