xgEdge

Expected goals

GKS Katowice expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

GKS Katowice's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

GKS Katowice xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.77 xG per match
#3/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
14.13 8 matches
Defence
2.00 xGA per match
#16/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
15.96 8 matches
xG difference
-0.23 xGD per match
#14/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.83 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.30 xPts per match
#9/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
10.40 vs 12 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

GKS Katowice's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ekstraklasa. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.23 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 16 goals are 1.87 above 14.13 xG, while 12 points are 1.60 above 10.40 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.90 xG from penalties
16 14.13 +1.87 scored 1.87 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 15.96 -2.96 conceded 2.96 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
12 10.40 +1.60 1.60 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

GKS Katowice are 1.87 goals above their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at +3.44, against Górnik Zabrze on Sun 30/08.

Goals
16
xG
14.13
Gap
+1.87
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.20 +1.00 -0.10 +2.00 +3.44 +1.89 +1.59 +1.87 -0.20 +1.20 -1.10 +2.10 +1.44 -1.55 -0.30 +0.28 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
GKS Katowice: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 Wisła Kraków 1 1.20 -0.20 -0.20
Sun 02/08 Radomiak Radom 3 1.80 +1.20 +1.00
Sun 16/08 Motor Lublin 0 1.10 -1.10 -0.10
Sun 23/08 Wisła Płock 5 2.90 +2.10 +2.00
Sun 30/08 Górnik Zabrze 3 1.56 +1.44 +3.44
Fri 04/09 Piast Gliwice 0 1.55 -1.55 +1.89
Sat 12/09 Zagłębie Lubin 1 1.30 -0.30 +1.59
Sat 19/09 Cracovia 3 2.72 +0.28 +1.87

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

GKS Katowice xG trend

Current form -0.48 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 8 matches. The worst was against Zagłębie Lubin on Sat 12/09 (-2.08).

npxG · last 6
1.48
npxGA · last 6
1.96
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.68 Sun 26/07 +1.37 Sun 02/08 -1.85 Sun 16/08 +0.38 Sun 23/08 -0.12 Sun 30/08 +0.68 Fri 04/09 -2.08 Sat 12/09 +0.10 Sat 19/09 -0.28 season avg
GKS Katowice: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 Wisła Kraków 1.29 1.97 -0.68 -0.68
Sun 02/08 Radomiak Radom 2.09 0.72 +1.37 +0.35
Sun 16/08 Motor Lublin 1.10 2.95 -1.85 -0.39
Sun 23/08 Wisła Płock 2.11 1.73 +0.38 -0.20
Sun 30/08 Górnik Zabrze 1.62 1.74 -0.12 -0.18
Fri 04/09 Piast Gliwice 1.55 0.87 +0.68 -0.04
Sat 12/09 Zagłębie Lubin 0.54 2.62 -2.08 -0.33
Sat 19/09 Cracovia 1.93 1.83 +0.10 -0.28

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.53 npxG and 1.80 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 8 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · number 8 hardest of 18

  1. Cracovia Home +0.15
  2. Zagłębie Lubin Away −0.15
  3. Piast Gliwice Away −0.09
  4. Górnik Zabrze Away +0.27
  5. Wisła Płock Home +0.01
  6. Motor Lublin Away −0.15
  7. Radomiak Radom Home −0.29
  8. Wisła Kraków Away +0.40

Last 5

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. Cracovia Home +0.15
  2. Zagłębie Lubin Away −0.15
  3. Piast Gliwice Away −0.09
  4. Górnik Zabrze Away +0.27
  5. Wisła Płock Home +0.01

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

GKS Katowice shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. GKS Katowice take 16.8 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #3 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #13 for quality. 71% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.8 shots per match
#3/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
134 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#13/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.23 npxG from 134 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.9 shots per match
#15/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
135 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#14/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
14.43 npxGA from 135 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

71% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 95 of 134 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 96 of 135 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.4 of 12.2 npxG over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

70% open play · 30% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.3 of 14.5 npxG allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

GKS Katowice home and away xG

GKS Katowice per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 5
xG / match 2.47 1.34
xGA / match 1.43 2.33
xGD / match +1.04 -0.99
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.10 0.82

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every GKS Katowice match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
2.01
xGA / match
1.91
xGD / match
+0.10
Points
9 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Cracovia H xG 2.72 P xGA 1.83 xGD +0.89
  2. Sat 12/09 Zagłębie Lubin A Weakest underlying xG 1.30 P xGA 2.62 xGD -1.32
  3. Fri 04/09 Piast Gliwice A xG 1.55 xGA 0.87 xGD +0.68
  4. Sun 30/08 Górnik Zabrze A xG 1.56 xGA 2.50 P xGD -0.94
  5. Sun 23/08 Wisła Płock H Best underlying xG 2.90 P xGA 1.73 xGD +1.17

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

GKS Katowice in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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