xgEdge

Expected goals

Jagiellonia Białystok expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

Jagiellonia Białystok's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Jagiellonia Białystok xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.50 xG per match
#10/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
11.98 8 matches
Defence
1.52 xGA per match
#9/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
12.19 8 matches
xG difference
-0.03 xGD per match
#8/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.21 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.23 xPts per match
#14/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
9.80 vs 12 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Jagiellonia Białystok's underlying numbers sit close to the Ekstraklasa average. They rank #8 for xG difference at -0.03 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 12 goals are 0.02 above 11.98 xG, while 12 points are 2.20 above 9.80 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.37 xG from penalties
12 11.98 +0.02 scored 0.02 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 12.19 +0.81 conceded 0.81 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
12 9.80 +2.20 2.20 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Jagiellonia Białystok are 0.02 goals above their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at +1.56, against Śląsk Wrocław on Sun 06/09.

Goals
12
xG
11.98
Gap
+0.02
Sat 25/07 Fri 31/07 Sun 09/08 Sun 30/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.16 +0.95 -0.13 +0.43 +0.95 +1.56 +1.32 +0.02 -0.16 +1.11 -1.08 +0.56 +0.52 +0.61 -0.24 -1.30 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Jagiellonia Białystok: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 MKS Korona Kielce 1 1.16 -0.16 -0.16
Fri 31/07 Motor Lublin 2 0.89 +1.11 +0.95
Sun 09/08 Widzew Łódź 0 1.08 -1.08 -0.13
Sun 30/08 Raków Częstochowa 5 4.44 +0.56 +0.43
Thu 03/09 Lech Poznań 1 0.48 +0.52 +0.95
Sun 06/09 Śląsk Wrocław 2 1.39 +0.61 +1.56
Fri 11/09 Wisła Kraków 0 0.24 -0.24 +1.32
Sun 20/09 Legia Warszawa 1 2.30 -1.30 +0.02

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Jagiellonia Białystok xG trend

Current form -0.02 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 8 matches. The worst was against Lech Poznań on Thu 03/09 (-1.26).

npxG · last 6
1.27
npxGA · last 6
1.29
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.31 Sat 25/07 -1.13 Fri 31/07 -0.01 Sun 09/08 +1.67 Sun 30/08 -1.26 Thu 03/09 +0.30 Sun 06/09 -1.24 Fri 11/09 +0.43 Sun 20/09 -0.12 season avg
Jagiellonia Białystok: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 MKS Korona Kielce 1.08 0.77 +0.31 +0.31
Fri 31/07 Motor Lublin 0.89 2.02 -1.13 -0.41
Sun 09/08 Widzew Łódź 1.10 1.11 -0.01 -0.28
Sun 30/08 Raków Częstochowa 2.91 1.24 +1.67 +0.21
Thu 03/09 Lech Poznań 0.50 1.76 -1.26 -0.08
Sun 06/09 Śląsk Wrocław 1.38 1.08 +0.30 -0.02
Fri 11/09 Wisła Kraków 0.24 1.48 -1.24 -0.19
Sun 20/09 Legia Warszawa 1.51 1.08 +0.43 -0.12

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.20 npxG and 1.32 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.14 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 18

  1. Legia Warszawa Home +0.14
  2. Wisła Kraków Away +0.40
  3. Śląsk Wrocław Home −0.29
  4. Lech Poznań Away +0.65
  5. Raków Częstochowa Away −0.23
  6. Widzew Łódź Home −0.10
  7. Motor Lublin Away −0.15
  8. MKS Korona Kielce Home −0.13

Last 5

+0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Legia Warszawa Home +0.14
  2. Wisła Kraków Away +0.40
  3. Śląsk Wrocław Home −0.29
  4. Lech Poznań Away +0.65
  5. Raków Częstochowa Away −0.23

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Jagiellonia Białystok shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Jagiellonia Białystok take 13.4 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #16 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #15 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 16% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.4 shots per match
#16/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
107 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#15/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
9.61 npxG from 107 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.1 shots per match
=12/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
129 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#4/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
10.54 npxGA from 129 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 59 of 107 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 80 of 129 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.5 of 9.5 npxG over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.8 of 10.4 npxG allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Jagiellonia Białystok home and away xG

Jagiellonia Białystok per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 4
xG / match 1.48 1.51
xGA / match 1.37 1.68
xGD / match +0.11 -0.17
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.45 1.00

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Jagiellonia Białystok match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
4
xG / match
1.48
xGA / match
1.37
xGD / match
+0.11
Points
6 of 12
  1. Sun 20/09 Legia Warszawa H xG 2.30 P xGA 1.75 P xGD +0.55
  2. Sun 06/09 Śląsk Wrocław H xG 1.39 xGA 1.86 P xGD -0.47
  3. Sun 09/08 Widzew Łódź H xG 1.08 xGA 1.10 xGD -0.02
  4. Sat 25/07 MKS Korona Kielce H xG 1.16 xGA 0.77 xGD +0.39

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Jagiellonia Białystok in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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