xgEdge

Expected goals

Radomiak Radom expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Radomiak Radom's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Radomiak Radom xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.41 xG per match
#13/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
12.69 9 matches
Defence
2.05 xGA per match
#17/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
18.41 9 matches
xG difference
-0.64 xGD per match
#16/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.72 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.99 xPts per match
#16/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
8.91 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Radomiak Radom's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ekstraklasa. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.64 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 7 goals are 5.69 below 12.69 xG, while 8 points are 0.91 below 8.91 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.62 xG from penalties
7 12.69 -5.69 scored 5.69 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
20 18.41 +1.59 conceded 1.59 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 8.91 -0.91 0.91 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Radomiak Radom are 5.69 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -5.71, against Piast Gliwice on Mon 14/09.

Goals
7
xG
12.69
Gap
-5.69
Fri 24/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Mon 14/09 Sun 20/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.33 +0.60 -0.64 -1.02 -1.80 -1.69 -3.38 -5.71 -5.69 +0.33 +0.27 -1.24 -0.38 -0.78 +0.11 -1.69 -2.33 +0.02 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Radomiak Radom: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 24/07 Wieczysta Kraków 2 1.67 +0.33 +0.33
Sun 02/08 GKS Katowice 1 0.73 +0.27 +0.60
Sat 08/08 Górnik Zabrze 1 2.24 -1.24 -0.64
Fri 14/08 Legia Warszawa 0 0.38 -0.38 -1.02
Sun 23/08 Zagłębie Lubin 0 0.78 -0.78 -1.80
Sat 29/08 Cracovia 2 1.89 +0.11 -1.69
Sat 05/09 Widzew Łódź 0 1.69 -1.69 -3.38
Mon 14/09 Piast Gliwice 0 2.33 -2.33 -5.71
Sun 20/09 Lech Poznań 1 0.98 +0.02 -5.69

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Radomiak Radom xG trend

Current form -0.70 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 9 matches. The worst was against Lech Poznań on Sun 20/09 (-3.05).

npxG · last 6
1.24
npxGA · last 6
1.93
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.29 Fri 24/07 -1.37 Sun 02/08 -0.26 Sat 08/08 -1.15 Fri 14/08 -0.51 Sun 23/08 -0.92 Sat 29/08 +0.14 Sat 05/09 +1.31 Mon 14/09 -3.05 Sun 20/09 -0.68 season avg
Radomiak Radom: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 24/07 Wieczysta Kraków 1.71 2.00 -0.29 -0.29
Sun 02/08 GKS Katowice 0.72 2.09 -1.37 -0.83
Sat 08/08 Górnik Zabrze 1.23 1.49 -0.26 -0.64
Fri 14/08 Legia Warszawa 0.49 1.64 -1.15 -0.77
Sun 23/08 Zagłębie Lubin 0.78 1.29 -0.51 -0.72
Sat 29/08 Cracovia 1.10 2.02 -0.92 -0.75
Sat 05/09 Widzew Łódź 1.73 1.59 +0.14 -0.62
Mon 14/09 Piast Gliwice 2.32 1.01 +1.31 -0.38
Sun 20/09 Lech Poznań 0.99 4.04 -3.05 -0.68

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.23 npxG and 1.91 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Lech Poznań Away +0.65
  2. Piast Gliwice Home −0.09
  3. Widzew Łódź Away −0.10
  4. Cracovia Home +0.15
  5. Zagłębie Lubin Home −0.15
  6. Legia Warszawa Away +0.14
  7. Górnik Zabrze Home +0.27
  8. GKS Katowice Away −0.04
  9. Wieczysta Kraków Home +0.03

Last 5

+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 18

  1. Lech Poznań Away +0.65
  2. Piast Gliwice Home −0.09
  3. Widzew Łódź Away −0.10
  4. Cracovia Home +0.15
  5. Zagłębie Lubin Home −0.15

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Radomiak Radom shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Radomiak Radom take 14.7 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =9 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #16 for quality. 67% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 33% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.7 shots per match
=9/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
132 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#16/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
11.07 npxG from 132 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.6 shots per match
#18/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
158 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#15/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
17.17 npxGA from 158 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

67% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 88 of 132 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 97 of 158 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

67% open play · 33% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.6 of 11.1 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.5 of 17.0 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Radomiak Radom home and away xG

Radomiak Radom per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 1.78 0.95
xGA / match 1.87 2.26
xGD / match -0.09 -1.32
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.29 0.62

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Radomiak Radom match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.41
xGA / match
2.05
xGD / match
-0.64
Points
8 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 Lech Poznań A Weakest underlying xG 0.98 xGA 3.98 xGD -3.00
  2. Mon 14/09 Piast Gliwice H Best underlying xG 2.33 xGA 1.79 P xGD +0.54
  3. Sat 05/09 Widzew Łódź A xG 1.69 xGA 1.59 xGD +0.10
  4. Sat 29/08 Cracovia H xG 1.89 P xGA 2.02 xGD -0.13
  5. Sun 23/08 Zagłębie Lubin H xG 0.78 xGA 1.27 xGD -0.49
  6. Fri 14/08 Legia Warszawa A xG 0.38 xGA 1.68 xGD -1.30
  7. Sat 08/08 Górnik Zabrze H xG 2.24 P xGA 2.28 P xGD -0.04
  8. Sun 02/08 GKS Katowice A xG 0.73 xGA 1.80 xGD -1.07
  9. Fri 24/07 Wieczysta Kraków H xG 1.67 xGA 2.00 xGD -0.33

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.98. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Radomiak Radom in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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