xgEdge

Expected goals

Widzew Łódź expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 4 Oct

Widzew Łódź's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Widzew Łódź xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.57 xG per match
#6/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
14.11 9 matches
Defence
1.67 xGA per match
#13/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
15.00 9 matches
xG difference
-0.10 xGD per match
#11/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.89 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.29 xPts per match
#11/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
11.63 vs 9 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Widzew Łódź's underlying numbers sit close to the Ekstraklasa average. They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.10 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 13 goals are 1.11 below 14.11 xG, while 9 points are 2.63 below 11.63 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
13 14.11 -1.11 scored 1.11 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 15.00 -2.00 conceded 2.00 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
9 11.63 -2.63 2.63 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Widzew Łódź are 1.11 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -2.69, against MKS Korona Kielce on Sat 15/08.

Goals
13
xG
14.11
Gap
-1.11
Sun 26/07 Fri 31/07 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.49 -2.28 -1.38 -2.69 -0.98 +0.22 -1.37 -1.97 -1.11 -0.49 -1.79 +0.90 -1.31 +1.71 +1.20 -1.59 -0.60 +0.86 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Widzew Łódź: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 Motor Lublin 2 2.49 -0.49 -0.49
Fri 31/07 Wisła Płock 0 1.79 -1.79 -2.28
Sun 09/08 Jagiellonia Białystok 2 1.10 +0.90 -1.38
Sat 15/08 MKS Korona Kielce 1 2.31 -1.31 -2.69
Sat 22/08 Śląsk Wrocław 3 1.29 +1.71 -0.98
Sun 30/08 Lech Poznań 2 0.80 +1.20 +0.22
Sat 05/09 Radomiak Radom 0 1.59 -1.59 -1.37
Sun 13/09 Legia Warszawa 1 1.60 -0.60 -1.97
Fri 18/09 Wieczysta Kraków 2 1.14 +0.86 -1.11

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Widzew Łódź xG trend

Current form -0.42 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches. The worst was against Lech Poznań on Sun 30/08 (-1.08).

npxG · last 6
1.53
npxGA · last 6
1.95
-2 -1 0 +1 +0.45 Sun 26/07 +0.18 Fri 31/07 +0.01 Sun 09/08 +0.18 Sat 15/08 -0.73 Sat 22/08 -1.08 Sun 30/08 -0.14 Sat 05/09 +0.29 Sun 13/09 -1.03 Fri 18/09 -0.21 season avg
Widzew Łódź: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 Motor Lublin 1.70 1.25 +0.45 +0.45
Fri 31/07 Wisła Płock 1.78 1.60 +0.18 +0.31
Sun 09/08 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.11 1.10 +0.01 +0.21
Sat 15/08 MKS Korona Kielce 2.31 2.13 +0.18 +0.21
Sat 22/08 Śląsk Wrocław 1.42 2.15 -0.73 +0.02
Sun 30/08 Lech Poznań 0.81 1.89 -1.08 -0.17
Sat 05/09 Radomiak Radom 1.59 1.73 -0.14 -0.16
Sun 13/09 Legia Warszawa 1.80 1.51 +0.29 -0.10
Fri 18/09 Wieczysta Kraków 1.24 2.27 -1.03 -0.21

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.53 npxG and 1.74 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 12 hardest of 18

  1. Wieczysta Kraków Home +0.03
  2. Legia Warszawa Away +0.14
  3. Radomiak Radom Home −0.29
  4. Lech Poznań Home +0.65
  5. Śląsk Wrocław Away −0.29
  6. MKS Korona Kielce Home −0.13
  7. Jagiellonia Białystok Away −0.10
  8. Wisła Płock Away +0.01
  9. Motor Lublin Home −0.15

Last 5

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 18

  1. Wieczysta Kraków Home +0.03
  2. Legia Warszawa Away +0.14
  3. Radomiak Radom Home −0.29
  4. Lech Poznań Home +0.65
  5. Śląsk Wrocław Away −0.29

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Widzew Łódź shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Widzew Łódź take 15.3 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #9 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 39% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.3 shots per match
#5/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
138 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#9/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
13.76 npxG from 138 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.9 shots per match
#8/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
134 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#17/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
15.63 npxGA from 134 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

64% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 88 of 138 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 82 of 134 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

61% open play · 39% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 5.3 of 13.5 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.4 of 15.2 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Widzew Łódź home and away xG

Widzew Łódź per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 1.67 1.45
xGA / match 1.82 1.48
xGD / match -0.15 -0.03
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.25 1.34

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Widzew Łódź match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
5
xG / match
1.67
xGA / match
1.82
xGD / match
-0.15
Points
3 of 15
  1. Fri 18/09 Wieczysta Kraków H Weakest underlying xG 1.14 xGA 2.27 xGD -1.13
  2. Sat 05/09 Radomiak Radom H xG 1.59 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.10
  3. Sun 30/08 Lech Poznań H xG 0.80 xGA 1.89 xGD -1.09
  4. Sat 15/08 MKS Korona Kielce H xG 2.31 xGA 2.09 xGD +0.22
  5. Sun 26/07 Motor Lublin H Best underlying xG 2.49 P xGA 1.15 xGD +1.34

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Widzew Łódź in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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