xgEdge

Expected goals

Bodø/Glimt expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

Bodø/Glimt's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Bodø/Glimt xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.31 xG per match
#1/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
48.51 21 matches
Defence
0.90 xGA per match
#1/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
18.97 21 matches
xG difference
+1.41 xGD per match
#1/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
+29.54 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.24 xPts per match
#1/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
47.05 vs 50 actual pts

What the xG says

Bodø/Glimt's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.41 per match, driven by both the league's highest shot volume and the league's best chance quality. Their 53 goals are 4.49 above 48.51 xG, while 50 points are 2.95 above 47.05 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 5.95 xG from penalties
53 48.51 +4.49 scored 4.49 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
19 18.97 +0.03 conceded 0.03 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
50 47.05 +2.95 2.95 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Bodø/Glimt are 4.49 goals above their xG after 21 matches. The gap was widest at +4.99, against Fredrikstad FK on Fri 04/09.

Goals
53
xG
48.51
Gap
+4.49
Mon 06/04 Sat 11/04 Wed 15/04 Sat 18/04 Sun 26/04 Thu 30/04 Mon 04/05 Sat 16/05 Wed 20/05 Sun 24/05 Fri 29/05 Sun 12/07 Fri 17/07 Wed 22/07 Sun 26/07 Fri 31/07 Sat 08/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Mon 14/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +0.83 +0.23 -1.04 -1.67 -0.59 +1.14 -1.58 -0.17 +0.82 +0.99 +1.19 +1.43 +0.19 +0.69 +1.51 +3.36 +3.47 +4.54 +4.99 +4.83 +4.49 +0.83 -0.60 -1.27 -0.63 +1.08 +1.73 -2.72 +1.41 +0.99 +0.17 +0.20 +0.24 -1.24 +0.50 +0.82 +1.85 +0.11 +1.07 +0.45 -0.16 -0.34 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Bodø/Glimt: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 06/04 Kristiansund BK 3 2.17 +0.83 +0.83
Sat 11/04 Viking FK 0 0.60 -0.60 +0.23
Wed 15/04 Sarpsborg 08 1 2.27 -1.27 -1.04
Sat 18/04 Aalesunds FK 3 3.63 -0.63 -1.67
Sun 26/04 Lillestrøm SK 2 0.92 +1.08 -0.59
Thu 30/04 IK Start 5 3.27 +1.73 +1.14
Mon 04/05 Molde FK 0 2.72 -2.72 -1.58
Sat 16/05 Tromsø IL 5 3.59 +1.41 -0.17
Wed 20/05 IK Start 4 3.01 +0.99 +0.82
Sun 24/05 SK Brann 3 2.83 +0.17 +0.99
Fri 29/05 Rosenborg BK 2 1.80 +0.20 +1.19
Sun 12/07 KFUM Oslo 2 1.76 +0.24 +1.43
Fri 17/07 Fredrikstad FK 1 2.24 -1.24 +0.19
Wed 22/07 HamKam 3 2.50 +0.50 +0.69
Sun 26/07 Sandefjord Fotball 3 2.18 +0.82 +1.51
Fri 31/07 Lillestrøm SK 4 2.15 +1.85 +3.36
Sat 08/08 Vålerenga IF 2 1.89 +0.11 +3.47
Sun 30/08 Rosenborg BK 4 2.93 +1.07 +4.54
Fri 04/09 Fredrikstad FK 2 1.55 +0.45 +4.99
Mon 14/09 Sandefjord Fotball 3 3.16 -0.16 +4.83
Sun 20/09 SK Brann 1 1.34 -0.34 +4.49

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Bodø/Glimt xG trend

Current form +1.17 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 18 of 21 matches. The worst was against Viking FK on Sat 11/04 (-1.94).

npxG · last 6
1.98
npxGA · last 6
0.81
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +1.85 Mon 06/04 -1.94 Sat 11/04 -0.68 Wed 15/04 +3.10 Sat 18/04 -0.45 Sun 26/04 +1.60 Thu 30/04 +2.12 Mon 04/05 +2.61 Sat 16/05 +1.32 Wed 20/05 +1.62 Sun 24/05 +0.65 Fri 29/05 +0.42 Sun 12/07 +1.38 Fri 17/07 +2.15 Wed 22/07 +1.47 Sun 26/07 +1.22 Fri 31/07 +0.72 Sat 08/08 +1.62 Sun 30/08 +0.96 Fri 04/09 +1.89 Mon 14/09 +0.60 Sun 20/09 +1.15 season avg
Bodø/Glimt: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 06/04 Kristiansund BK 2.17 0.32 +1.85 +1.85
Sat 11/04 Viking FK 0.60 2.54 -1.94 -0.04
Wed 15/04 Sarpsborg 08 0.97 1.65 -0.68 -0.26
Sat 18/04 Aalesunds FK 3.77 0.67 +3.10 +0.58
Sun 26/04 Lillestrøm SK 0.63 1.08 -0.45 +0.38
Thu 30/04 IK Start 3.13 1.53 +1.60 +0.58
Mon 04/05 Molde FK 3.11 0.99 +2.12 +0.80
Sat 16/05 Tromsø IL 2.78 0.17 +2.61 +1.03
Wed 20/05 IK Start 1.93 0.61 +1.32 +1.06
Sun 24/05 SK Brann 1.92 0.30 +1.62 +1.11
Fri 29/05 Rosenborg BK 1.99 1.34 +0.65 +1.07
Sun 12/07 KFUM Oslo 1.53 1.11 +0.42 +1.02
Fri 17/07 Fredrikstad FK 1.55 0.17 +1.38 +1.05
Wed 22/07 HamKam 2.45 0.30 +2.15 +1.12
Sun 26/07 Sandefjord Fotball 2.15 0.68 +1.47 +1.15
Fri 31/07 Lillestrøm SK 1.57 0.35 +1.22 +1.15
Sat 08/08 Vålerenga IF 1.91 1.19 +0.72 +1.13
Sun 30/08 Rosenborg BK 2.66 1.04 +1.62 +1.15
Fri 04/09 Fredrikstad FK 1.55 0.59 +0.96 +1.14
Mon 14/09 Sandefjord Fotball 2.87 0.98 +1.89 +1.18
Sun 20/09 SK Brann 1.32 0.72 +0.60 +1.15

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.03 npxG and 0.87 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 15 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · number 15 hardest of 16

  1. SK Brann Away 0.00
  2. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13
  3. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  4. Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
  5. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
  6. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  7. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  8. HamKam Home −0.51
  9. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  10. KFUM Oslo Away −0.52
  11. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  12. SK Brann Home 0.00
  13. IK Start Away +0.04
  14. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  15. Molde FK Home +0.35
  16. IK Start Home +0.04
  17. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  18. Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
  19. Sarpsborg 08 Away +0.08
  20. Viking FK Away +0.35
  21. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36

Last 5

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 16

  1. SK Brann Away 0.00
  2. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13
  3. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  4. Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
  5. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Bodø/Glimt shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. Bodø/Glimt take 17.7 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #1 in Eliteserien for volume and #1 for quality. 77% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 18% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.7 shots per match
#1/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
372 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#1/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
42.56 npxG from 372 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
8.3 shots per match
#1/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
174 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#15/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
18.33 npxGA from 174 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

77% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 287 of 372 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 118 of 175 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

82% open play · 18% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 7.5 of 42.3 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

81% open play · 19% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 3.4 of 18.2 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Bodø/Glimt home and away xG

Bodø/Glimt per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 10 11
xG / match 2.90 1.77
xGA / match 0.57 1.20
xGD / match +2.33 +0.57
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.72 1.80

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Bodø/Glimt match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
11
xG / match
1.77
xGA / match
1.20
xGD / match
+0.57
Points
23 of 33
  1. Sun 20/09 SK Brann A xG 1.34 xGA 0.76 xGD +0.58
  2. Fri 04/09 Fredrikstad FK A xG 1.55 xGA 0.59 xGD +0.96
  3. Sat 08/08 Vålerenga IF A xG 1.89 xGA 1.30 xGD +0.59
  4. Sun 26/07 Sandefjord Fotball A xG 2.18 xGA 0.69 xGD +1.49
  5. Sun 12/07 KFUM Oslo A xG 1.76 xGA 1.02 xGD +0.74
  6. Fri 29/05 Rosenborg BK A xG 1.80 xGA 1.60 xGD +0.20
  7. Wed 20/05 IK Start A xG 3.01 P xGA 1.74 P xGD +1.27
  8. Sun 26/04 Lillestrøm SK A xG 0.92 xGA 1.08 xGD -0.16
  9. Wed 15/04 Sarpsborg 08 A xG 2.27 P xGA 1.71 xGD +0.56
  10. Sat 11/04 Viking FK A Weakest underlying xG 0.60 xGA 2.42 xGD -1.82
  11. Mon 06/04 Kristiansund BK A Best underlying xG 2.17 xGA 0.32 xGD +1.85

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.01. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Bodø/Glimt in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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