Expected goals
Kristiansund BK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 4 Oct
Kristiansund BK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Kristiansund BK xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 2.31 |
| #2 | Viking FK | 2.09 |
| #3 | Molde FK | 1.83 |
| #4 | Tromsø IL | 1.60 |
| #5 | SK Brann | 1.58 |
| #6 | Rosenborg BK | 1.56 |
| #7 | Lillestrøm SK | 1.56 |
| #8 | Vålerenga IF | 1.55 |
| #9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.51 |
| #10 | Aalesunds FK | 1.40 |
| #11 | IK Start | 1.36 |
| #12 | Fredrikstad FK | 1.20 |
| #13 | Sandefjord Fotball | 1.18 |
| #14 | HamKam | 1.14 |
| #15 | KFUM Oslo | 1.09 |
| #16 | Kristiansund BK | 0.97 |
- League avg
- 1.50
- Total
- 20.41 21 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.90 |
| #2 | Viking FK | 1.16 |
| #3 | Molde FK | 1.17 |
| #4 | Tromsø IL | 1.23 |
| #5 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.40 |
| #6 | Rosenborg BK | 1.42 |
| #7 | Lillestrøm SK | 1.46 |
| #8 | SK Brann | 1.53 |
| #9 | Sandefjord Fotball | 1.59 |
| #10 | IK Start | 1.61 |
| #11 | Vålerenga IF | 1.63 |
| #12 | HamKam | 1.66 |
| #13 | Fredrikstad FK | 1.67 |
| #14 | Kristiansund BK | 1.72 |
| #15 | KFUM Oslo | 1.78 |
| #16 | Aalesunds FK | 1.98 |
- League avg
- 1.50
- Total
- 36.14 21 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | +1.41 |
| #2 | Viking FK | +0.93 |
| #3 | Molde FK | +0.66 |
| #4 | Tromsø IL | +0.37 |
| #5 | Rosenborg BK | +0.14 |
| #6 | Sarpsborg 08 | +0.11 |
| #7 | Lillestrøm SK | +0.10 |
| #8 | SK Brann | +0.05 |
| #9 | Vålerenga IF | -0.08 |
| #10 | IK Start | -0.25 |
| #11 | Sandefjord Fotball | -0.41 |
| #12 | Fredrikstad FK | -0.47 |
| #13 | HamKam | -0.52 |
| #14 | Aalesunds FK | -0.58 |
| #15 | KFUM Oslo | -0.69 |
| #16 | Kristiansund BK | -0.75 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -15.73 21 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 2.24 |
| #2 | Viking FK | 1.97 |
| #3 | Molde FK | 1.80 |
| #4 | Tromsø IL | 1.68 |
| #5 | Rosenborg BK | 1.52 |
| #6 | Lillestrøm SK | 1.46 |
| #7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.45 |
| #8 | SK Brann | 1.40 |
| #9 | Vålerenga IF | 1.33 |
| #10 | IK Start | 1.19 |
| #11 | Fredrikstad FK | 1.10 |
| #12 | Sandefjord Fotball | 1.09 |
| #13 | HamKam | 1.05 |
| #14 | Aalesunds FK | 1.04 |
| #15 | Kristiansund BK | 0.95 |
| #16 | KFUM Oslo | 0.94 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 19.88 vs 19 actual pts
What the xG says
Kristiansund BK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Eliteserien. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.75 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 21 goals are 0.59 above 20.41 xG, while 19 points are 0.88 below 19.88 xPts.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Kristiansund BK are 0.59 goals above their xG after 21 matches. The gap was widest at +0.64, against SK Brann on Sun 15/03.
- Goals
- 21
- xG
- 20.41
- Gap
- +0.59
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 15/03 | SK Brann | 3 | 2.36 | +0.64 | +0.64 |
| Mon 06/04 | Bodø/Glimt | 0 | 0.32 | -0.32 | +0.32 |
| Sat 11/04 | Tromsø IL | 0 | 0.74 | -0.74 | -0.42 |
| Sun 19/04 | Fredrikstad FK | 2 | 2.00 | +0.00 | -0.42 |
| Sun 26/04 | Aalesunds FK | 1 | 1.08 | -0.08 | -0.50 |
| Sun 03/05 | HamKam | 1 | 1.11 | -0.11 | -0.61 |
| Sun 10/05 | Sandefjord Fotball | 0 | 0.85 | -0.85 | -1.46 |
| Sat 16/05 | Molde FK | 0 | 0.94 | -0.94 | -2.40 |
| Wed 20/05 | Lillestrøm SK | 2 | 1.04 | +0.96 | -1.44 |
| Sun 24/05 | Viking FK | 1 | 0.70 | +0.30 | -1.14 |
| Fri 29/05 | Vålerenga IF | 1 | 0.92 | +0.08 | -1.06 |
| Sun 12/07 | Rosenborg BK | 0 | 0.63 | -0.63 | -1.69 |
| Sat 18/07 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0 | 0.71 | -0.71 | -2.40 |
| Sat 25/07 | IK Start | 1 | 0.54 | +0.46 | -1.94 |
| Sun 02/08 | KFUM Oslo | 1 | 1.22 | -0.22 | -2.16 |
| Sun 09/08 | Molde FK | 2 | 0.66 | +1.34 | -0.82 |
| Sun 16/08 | Fredrikstad FK | 0 | 1.28 | -1.28 | -2.10 |
| Sun 30/08 | HamKam | 2 | 1.13 | +0.87 | -1.23 |
| Sun 06/09 | Tromsø IL | 2 | 0.65 | +1.35 | +0.12 |
| Sun 13/09 | Viking FK | 1 | 0.70 | +0.30 | +0.42 |
| Sat 19/09 | Rosenborg BK | 1 | 0.83 | +0.17 | +0.59 |
Kristiansund BK xG trend
Current form -0.90 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 8 of 21 matches. The worst was against Viking FK on Sun 13/09 (-2.88).
- npxG · last 6
- 0.87
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.77
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 15/03 | SK Brann | 1.57 | 1.21 | +0.36 | +0.36 |
| Mon 06/04 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.32 | 2.17 | -1.85 | -0.74 |
| Sat 11/04 | Tromsø IL | 0.66 | 1.41 | -0.75 | -0.75 |
| Sun 19/04 | Fredrikstad FK | 2.11 | 2.91 | -0.80 | -0.76 |
| Sun 26/04 | Aalesunds FK | 1.27 | 1.64 | -0.37 | -0.68 |
| Sun 03/05 | HamKam | 1.15 | 0.79 | +0.36 | -0.51 |
| Sun 10/05 | Sandefjord Fotball | 0.89 | 0.52 | +0.37 | -0.38 |
| Sat 16/05 | Molde FK | 0.94 | 1.22 | -0.28 | -0.37 |
| Wed 20/05 | Lillestrøm SK | 1.06 | 0.78 | +0.28 | -0.30 |
| Sun 24/05 | Viking FK | 0.70 | 1.20 | -0.50 | -0.32 |
| Fri 29/05 | Vålerenga IF | 1.12 | 2.72 | -1.60 | -0.43 |
| Sun 12/07 | Rosenborg BK | 0.55 | 1.44 | -0.89 | -0.47 |
| Sat 18/07 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0.71 | 0.97 | -0.26 | -0.46 |
| Sat 25/07 | IK Start | 0.41 | 1.72 | -1.31 | -0.52 |
| Sun 02/08 | KFUM Oslo | 1.25 | 1.10 | +0.15 | -0.47 |
| Sun 09/08 | Molde FK | 0.66 | 2.40 | -1.74 | -0.55 |
| Sun 16/08 | Fredrikstad FK | 1.21 | 0.90 | +0.31 | -0.50 |
| Sun 30/08 | HamKam | 1.13 | 0.71 | +0.42 | -0.45 |
| Sun 06/09 | Tromsø IL | 0.65 | 0.35 | +0.30 | -0.41 |
| Sun 13/09 | Viking FK | 0.74 | 3.62 | -2.88 | -0.53 |
| Sat 19/09 | Rosenborg BK | 0.83 | 2.62 | -1.79 | -0.59 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.95 npxG and 1.54 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
- +0.03 xG vs league average
- Over 21 league matches
- Last 5
- number 10 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
- −0.03 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.03 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16
- Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
- Viking FK Away +0.35
- Tromsø IL Home +0.08
- HamKam Away −0.51
- Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
- Molde FK Home +0.35
- KFUM Oslo Away −0.52
- IK Start Home +0.04
- Sarpsborg 08 Home +0.08
- Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
- Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
- Viking FK Home +0.35
- Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
- Molde FK Away +0.35
- Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
- HamKam Home −0.51
- Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
- Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
- Tromsø IL Away +0.08
- Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
- SK Brann Home 0.00
Last 5
−0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 16
- Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
- Viking FK Away +0.35
- Tromsø IL Home +0.08
- HamKam Away −0.51
- Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
Kristiansund BK shots and chance quality
Average volume, low quality. Kristiansund BK take 12.5 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #13 in Eliteserien for volume and #15 for quality. 60% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 29% of their npxG (league 24%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 17.7 |
| =2 | Viking FK | 16.2 |
| =2 | Vålerenga IF | 16.2 |
| #4 | Aalesunds FK | 15.6 |
| #5 | Molde FK | 15.4 |
| #6 | Sandefjord Fotball | 14.5 |
| #7 | SK Brann | 14.1 |
| #8 | IK Start | 14.0 |
| #9 | Rosenborg BK | 13.6 |
| #10 | Tromsø IL | 13.5 |
| #11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 13.3 |
| #12 | Lillestrøm SK | 12.5 |
| #13 | Kristiansund BK | 12.5 |
| #14 | Fredrikstad FK | 11.3 |
| #15 | KFUM Oslo | 10.5 |
| #16 | HamKam | 10.4 |
- League avg
- 13.8
- Total
- 262 shots from 21 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.11 |
| #2 | Tromsø IL | 0.11 |
| #3 | Viking FK | 0.11 |
| #4 | Molde FK | 0.11 |
| #5 | Lillestrøm SK | 0.10 |
| #6 | Rosenborg BK | 0.10 |
| #7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0.10 |
| #8 | Fredrikstad FK | 0.10 |
| #9 | HamKam | 0.10 |
| #10 | SK Brann | 0.10 |
| #11 | KFUM Oslo | 0.09 |
| #12 | IK Start | 0.09 |
| #13 | Vålerenga IF | 0.09 |
| #14 | Aalesunds FK | 0.09 |
| #15 | Kristiansund BK | 0.08 |
| #16 | Sandefjord Fotball | 0.07 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 19.93 npxG from 262 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bodø/Glimt | 8.3 |
| #2 | Tromsø IL | 11.2 |
| #3 | Molde FK | 12.0 |
| #4 | Viking FK | 13.0 |
| #5 | Sarpsborg 08 | 13.1 |
| #6 | Rosenborg BK | 13.3 |
| #7 | Lillestrøm SK | 13.9 |
| #8 | SK Brann | 14.4 |
| #9 | IK Start | 14.4 |
| #10 | KFUM Oslo | 14.7 |
| #11 | Vålerenga IF | 14.8 |
| #12 | Fredrikstad FK | 15.0 |
| =13 | Kristiansund BK | 15.0 |
| =13 | Sandefjord Fotball | 15.0 |
| #15 | HamKam | 16.4 |
| #16 | Aalesunds FK | 16.9 |
- League avg
- 13.8
- Total
- 316 shots allowed from 21 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Viking FK | 0.08 |
| #2 | Sandefjord Fotball | 0.09 |
| #3 | Lillestrøm SK | 0.09 |
| #4 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0.09 |
| #5 | Molde FK | 0.09 |
| #6 | IK Start | 0.10 |
| #7 | SK Brann | 0.10 |
| #8 | Vålerenga IF | 0.10 |
| #9 | Fredrikstad FK | 0.10 |
| #10 | HamKam | 0.10 |
| #11 | Kristiansund BK | 0.10 |
| #12 | Rosenborg BK | 0.10 |
| #13 | Tromsø IL | 0.10 |
| #14 | KFUM Oslo | 0.10 |
| #15 | Bodø/Glimt | 0.11 |
| #16 | Aalesunds FK | 0.11 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 32.40 npxGA from 316 shots
Shot profile
60% inside the box
League avg 69%
From 158 of 262 shots over 21 matches
72% allowed inside the box
League avg 69%
From 229 of 316 shots allowed over 21 matches
71% open play · 29% set pieces
League avg 24% set pieces
From 5.8 of 19.9 npxG over 21 matches
78% open play · 22% set pieces
League avg 24% set pieces
From 7.2 of 32.4 npxG allowed over 21 matches
Kristiansund BK home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| xG / match | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| xGA / match | 1.76 | 1.68 |
| xGD / match | -0.77 | -0.73 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.89 | 0.99 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Kristiansund BK match by xG
At home this season
- Matches
- 10
- xG / match
- 0.99
- xGA / match
- 1.76
- xGD / match
- -0.77
- Points
- 14 of 30
- Sat 19/09 Rosenborg BK H xG 0.83 xGA 2.55 xGD -1.72 xPts 0.35
- Sun 06/09 Tromsø IL H xG 0.65 xGA 0.35 xGD +0.30 xPts 1.62
- Sun 09/08 Molde FK H Against the chances xG 0.66 xGA 3.21 P xGD -2.55 xPts 0.14
- Sat 25/07 IK Start H xG 0.54 xGA 1.47 xGD -0.93 xPts 0.56
- Sat 18/07 Sarpsborg 08 H xG 0.71 xGA 0.97 xGD -0.26 xPts 1.07
- Sun 24/05 Viking FK H xG 0.70 xGA 1.20 xGD -0.50 xPts 0.89
- Sun 03/05 HamKam H xG 1.11 xGA 0.79 xGD +0.32 xPts 1.63
- Sun 19/04 Fredrikstad FK H xG 2.00 xGA 2.91 xGD -0.91 xPts 0.85
- Mon 06/04 Bodø/Glimt H xG 0.32 xGA 2.17 xGD -1.85 xPts 0.20
- Sun 15/03 SK Brann H Best underlying xG 2.36 P xGA 2.00 P xGD +0.36 xPts 1.63
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.21. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Kristiansund BK in Eliteserien
Attack
- xG / match #16 of 16
- Shots / match #13 of 16
- Chance quality #15 of 16
- Home xG #16 of 16
- Away xG #15 of 16
Defence
- xGA / match #14 of 16
- Shots allowed =13 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #11 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.