xgEdge

Expected goals

Rosenborg BK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

Rosenborg BK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Rosenborg BK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.56 xG per match
#6/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
32.73 21 matches
Defence
1.42 xGA per match
#6/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
29.81 21 matches
xG difference
+0.14 xGD per match
#5/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.92 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.52 xPts per match
#5/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
31.88 vs 33 actual pts

What the xG says

Rosenborg BK's underlying numbers are among the best in Eliteserien. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.14 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 39 goals are 6.27 above 32.73 xG, while 33 points are 1.12 above 31.88 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 3.48 xG from penalties
39 32.73 +6.27 scored 6.27 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
30 29.81 +0.19 conceded 0.19 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
33 31.88 +1.12 1.12 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Rosenborg BK are 6.27 goals above their xG after 21 matches.

Goals
39
xG
32.73
Gap
+6.27
Sat 14/03 Sun 22/03 Mon 06/04 Sun 12/04 Sat 18/04 Sat 25/04 Fri 01/05 Sun 10/05 Sat 16/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Sun 12/07 Sat 18/07 Mon 27/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -5 -3 -1 +1 +3 +5 +7 -0.81 -1.83 -2.09 -1.69 -3.02 -3.29 -4.19 -4.07 -3.20 -4.11 -3.71 -2.98 -1.55 -0.09 -0.02 -0.47 +0.16 +1.12 +2.63 +5.82 +6.27 -0.81 -1.02 -0.26 +0.40 -1.33 -0.27 -0.90 +0.12 +0.87 -0.91 +0.40 +0.73 +1.43 +1.46 +0.07 -0.45 +0.63 +0.96 +1.51 +3.19 +0.45 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Rosenborg BK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 14/03 Molde FK 0 0.81 -0.81 -0.81
Sun 22/03 Vålerenga IF 0 1.02 -1.02 -1.83
Mon 06/04 Tromsø IL 0 0.26 -0.26 -2.09
Sun 12/04 Sarpsborg 08 2 1.60 +0.40 -1.69
Sat 18/04 Sandefjord Fotball 0 1.33 -1.33 -3.02
Sat 25/04 SK Brann 1 1.27 -0.27 -3.29
Fri 01/05 Viking FK 0 0.90 -0.90 -4.19
Sun 10/05 Lillestrøm SK 2 1.88 +0.12 -4.07
Sat 16/05 Aalesunds FK 2 1.13 +0.87 -3.20
Mon 25/05 KFUM Oslo 0 0.91 -0.91 -4.11
Fri 29/05 Bodø/Glimt 2 1.60 +0.40 -3.71
Sun 12/07 Kristiansund BK 3 2.27 +0.73 -2.98
Sat 18/07 IK Start 3 1.57 +1.43 -1.55
Mon 27/07 Fredrikstad FK 4 2.54 +1.46 -0.09
Sun 02/08 SK Brann 2 1.93 +0.07 -0.02
Sun 09/08 Lillestrøm SK 2 2.45 -0.45 -0.47
Fri 14/08 Viking FK 2 1.37 +0.63 +0.16
Sun 30/08 Bodø/Glimt 2 1.04 +0.96 +1.12
Sat 05/09 HamKam 4 2.49 +1.51 +2.63
Sat 12/09 Tromsø IL 5 1.81 +3.19 +5.82
Sat 19/09 Kristiansund BK 3 2.55 +0.45 +6.27

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Rosenborg BK xG trend

Current form +0.37 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 14 of 21 matches. The worst was against Tromsø IL on Mon 06/04 (-2.69).

npxG · last 6
1.94
npxGA · last 6
1.58
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.49 Sat 14/03 +0.25 Sun 22/03 -2.69 Mon 06/04 +0.47 Sun 12/04 +0.14 Sat 18/04 +0.10 Sat 25/04 -1.42 Fri 01/05 +0.68 Sun 10/05 +0.08 Sat 16/05 -1.73 Mon 25/05 -0.65 Fri 29/05 +0.89 Sun 12/07 +0.13 Sat 18/07 +2.05 Mon 27/07 +0.38 Sun 02/08 +0.08 Sun 09/08 -0.48 Fri 14/08 -1.62 Sun 30/08 +2.03 Sat 05/09 +0.40 Sat 12/09 +1.79 Sat 19/09 +0.02 season avg
Rosenborg BK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 14/03 Molde FK 0.81 1.30 -0.49 -0.49
Sun 22/03 Vålerenga IF 1.02 0.77 +0.25 -0.12
Mon 06/04 Tromsø IL 0.26 2.95 -2.69 -0.98
Sun 12/04 Sarpsborg 08 1.62 1.15 +0.47 -0.62
Sat 18/04 Sandefjord Fotball 1.22 1.08 +0.14 -0.46
Sat 25/04 SK Brann 1.27 1.17 +0.10 -0.37
Fri 01/05 Viking FK 0.95 2.37 -1.42 -0.52
Sun 10/05 Lillestrøm SK 1.09 0.41 +0.68 -0.37
Sat 16/05 Aalesunds FK 1.13 1.05 +0.08 -0.32
Mon 25/05 KFUM Oslo 0.91 2.64 -1.73 -0.46
Fri 29/05 Bodø/Glimt 1.34 1.99 -0.65 -0.48
Sun 12/07 Kristiansund BK 1.44 0.55 +0.89 -0.36
Sat 18/07 IK Start 0.78 0.65 +0.13 -0.33
Mon 27/07 Fredrikstad FK 2.61 0.56 +2.05 -0.16
Sun 02/08 SK Brann 1.15 0.77 +0.38 -0.12
Sun 09/08 Lillestrøm SK 2.32 2.24 +0.08 -0.11
Fri 14/08 Viking FK 1.38 1.86 -0.48 -0.13
Sun 30/08 Bodø/Glimt 1.04 2.66 -1.62 -0.21
Sat 05/09 HamKam 2.51 0.48 +2.03 -0.09
Sat 12/09 Tromsø IL 1.78 1.38 +0.40 -0.07
Sat 19/09 Kristiansund BK 2.62 0.83 +1.79 +0.02

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.39 npxG and 1.37 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
tied number 3 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36
  2. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  3. HamKam Home −0.51
  4. Bodø/Glimt Away +0.79
  5. Viking FK Home +0.35
  6. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  7. SK Brann Away 0.00
  8. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  9. IK Start Away +0.04
  10. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  11. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  12. KFUM Oslo Away −0.52
  13. Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
  14. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  15. Viking FK Away +0.35
  16. SK Brann Home 0.00
  17. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  18. Sarpsborg 08 Home +0.08
  19. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  20. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  21. Molde FK Away +0.35

Last 5

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 3 hardest of 16

  1. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36
  2. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  3. HamKam Home −0.51
  4. Bodø/Glimt Away +0.79
  5. Viking FK Home +0.35

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Rosenborg BK shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Rosenborg BK take 13.6 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #9 in Eliteserien for volume and #6 for quality. 71% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 18% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.6 shots per match
#9/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
286 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#6/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
29.25 npxG from 286 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.3 shots per match
#6/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
280 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#12/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
28.86 npxGA from 280 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

71% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 203 of 286 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 194 of 280 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

82% open play · 18% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 5.3 of 29.3 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 8.4 of 28.7 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Rosenborg BK home and away xG

Rosenborg BK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10
xG / match 1.73 1.38
xGA / match 1.09 1.78
xGD / match +0.63 -0.40
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.81 1.20

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Rosenborg BK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
1.85
xGA / match
1.66
xGD / match
+0.19
Points
12 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Kristiansund BK A xG 2.55 xGA 0.83 xGD +1.72
  2. Sat 12/09 Tromsø IL H xG 1.81 xGA 2.20 P xGD -0.39
  3. Sat 05/09 HamKam H Best underlying xG 2.49 xGA 0.48 xGD +2.01
  4. Sun 30/08 Bodø/Glimt A Weakest underlying xG 1.04 xGA 2.93 xGD -1.89
  5. Fri 14/08 Viking FK H xG 1.37 xGA 1.86 xGD -0.49

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Rosenborg BK in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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