Excelsior 0:1 Go Ahead Eagles: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior Home 1.86 xG

Go Ahead Eagles Away 0.43 xG

01 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Excelsior Go Ahead Eagles

Shots: 19; 7
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 13; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Excelsior

0.96 xG created 1.45 xGA

D 1.12 created, 1.85 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 0.99 created, 1.20 conceded against FC Twente
D 0.80 created, 0.63 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 0.86 created, 1.08 conceded against NAC Breda
L 0.75 created, 2.01 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
L 1.23 created, 1.93 conceded against Fortuna Sittard

Go Ahead Eagles

1.25 xG created 1.97 xGA

D 0.86 created, 3.43 conceded against AFC Ajax
D 0.80 created, 1.22 conceded against FC Volendam
D 2.34 created, 1.58 conceded against SC Telstar
L 0.77 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 0.12 created, 2.99 conceded against Feyenoord
W 2.60 created, 0.80 conceded against Heracles Almelo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Excelsior: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Go Ahead Eagles 2:0 Excelsior 26/10/2025 xG 1.81 – 0.54

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.