xgEdge

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 18:45

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo 1:3 PSV Eindhoven

Heracles Almelo Home 1.22 xG
PSV Eindhoven Away 3.26 xG
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo PSV Eindhoven
Shots
15
24
On target
3
15
Inside the box
9
20
xG per shot
0.08
0.14

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Heracles Almelo

1.32 xG created 1.84 xGA

  • L 0.78 created, 2.53 conceded against FC Twente
  • L 2.05 created, 1.48 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.01 created, 0.60 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 1.16 created, 2.55 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • L 1.12 created, 1.26 conceded against NAC Breda
  • L 0.80 created, 2.60 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven

2.41 xG created 0.92 xGA

  • W 3.03 created, 0.33 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • D 1.79 created, 1.50 conceded against NAC Breda
  • W 1.95 created, 0.35 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.74 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Groningen
  • L 1.69 created, 1.18 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 3.27 created, 1.28 conceded against SC Heerenveen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heracles Almelo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.