xgEdge

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 18:45

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Match report · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven 2:3 NEC Nijmegen

PSV Eindhoven Home 1.53 xG
NEC Nijmegen Away 2.09 xG
23 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

PSV Eindhoven NEC Nijmegen
Shots
12
17
On target
6
6
Inside the box
9
12
xG per shot
0.13
0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
PSV Eindhoven

2.54 xG created 1.09 xGA

  • W 1.95 created, 0.35 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.74 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Groningen
  • L 1.69 created, 1.18 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 3.27 created, 1.28 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • W 3.26 created, 1.22 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • W 2.33 created, 1.60 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen

1.60 xG created 1.50 xGA

  • W 2.55 created, 1.16 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • L 1.99 created, 1.78 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • D 0.99 created, 1.70 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 1.16 created, 1.48 conceded against AFC Ajax
  • L 1.46 created, 2.45 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 1.44 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Volendam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

PSV Eindhoven: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.