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Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

AFC Ajax 1:1 NEC Nijmegen

AFC Ajax Home 1.48 xG
NEC Nijmegen Away 1.16 xG
11 AFC Ajax had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AFC Ajax NEC Nijmegen
Shots
9
18
On target
4
9
Inside the box
8
9
xG per shot
0.16
0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AFC Ajax

1.90 xG created 0.88 xGA

  • W 1.74 created, 0.77 conceded against SC Telstar
  • D 3.43 created, 0.86 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • W 3.44 created, 0.31 conceded against FC Volendam
  • D 0.63 created, 0.80 conceded against Excelsior
  • D 0.97 created, 1.68 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • W 1.18 created, 0.84 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen

1.60 xG created 1.26 xGA

  • W 1.19 created, 0.82 conceded against NAC Breda
  • W 1.50 created, 0.71 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • W 1.36 created, 1.39 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • W 2.55 created, 1.16 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • L 1.99 created, 1.78 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • D 0.99 created, 1.70 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AFC Ajax: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.